Get this Betfair Sign Up Offer – 50/1 Double Chance on Man City in Man City v Liverpool 

Claim the Betfair sign up offer for new customers and get an amazing 50/1 enhanced odds special on Manchester City to Win or Draw (Double Chance) in their match. You can check out our other free bet offers here.

A compelling face off this weekend as Manchester City host Liverpool at the Etihad - with Man City the favourite for the win (the odds have them at 5/6 to win at time of writing, versus 11/4 draw and 11/4 for a Liverpool win) - though Liverpool will hope to recreate their winning ways from their last trip to the Etihad - winning that 2-0. For data-driven bettors, this is one of those fixtures where narrative and numbers meet head-on: as Guardiola’s team look to return from an average 24/25 season (by their standards) and Slot looks to follow up on his dream first season with Liverpool. Manchester City are in strong form having won 4 of the last 5, but Liverpool have struggled recently after a flying start – winning just 1 of their past 5. 

Manchester City

Their average possession sits at 57%, increasing to 58% when playing at home, and their expected goals (xG) at home is 1.88 vs 1.09 expected goals against (xGA). They’re converting that xG into 2 goals/match at current whilst conceding just 0.8 goals/match – explaining their good run. At the Etihad, their points-per-game average (2.4) underlines how hard they are to stop on home turf.

They have won 80% of their home games this season, with no draws and losing the other 20%. They score more goals per match at home (2.6) than they do away (1.4) – whilst they number of goals they concede remains the same (0.8 per match). They fail to score in just 20% of their games.

Their higher scoring levels at home are supported by higher shots taken per match (15.6 vs 12 away), and more of these shots results in a goal (17% vs 12% away). At home they also commit less fouls than when away (7.2 v 10.6) – and have slightly less fouls committed against them (10.4 v 11.6).

For over/under and BTTS backers there have been over 1.5 goals in 100% of Man City matches at the Etihad this season, 60% over 2.5 and 40% over 3.5. Both teams have scored in 40% of matches – home and away. 

Liverpool

Liverpool’s having a tougher time of it right now having lost 4 of their last 5 games – losing their last 3 away games. They score 1.8 goals per match, which is just shy of Man City’s 2 per game. However, when you look at their away form they are scoring 1.6 goals per match whilst conceding 1.8 goals – their home form being much better. However, the underlying xG figures tell a slightly different story – their xG is better away than at home currently (1.38 away v 1.14 home) – though they do concede more xGA away (1.38 v 1.14)

They have won 40% of their away games this season, losing the other 60%. Despite this, they don’t lack scoring threats and have failed to score in none of their games this season – home or away. Unfortunately, they concede more than they score – keeping a clean sheet in just 20% of away gmes so far this season. 

They consistently take a high number of shots, home or away – with their 16.4 shots per match higher than Man City’s home figure – but their shot conversion rate away is poor, putting just 10% away – versus Man City’s 17% at home. Their fouling levels are quite consistent – around 10 fouls per match, slightly lower than Man City – and they have a similar level of fouls committed against them (10.4 away, 11 home). 

For over/under and BTTS backs there has been over 1.5 goals in 80% of Liverpool’s away matches, same for over 2.5 goals – and 40% for 3.5. Both teams have scored in 70% of matches, rising to 80% for Liverpool’s away games. 

Get this Betfair Sign Up Offer – 50/1 Double Chance on Man City in Man City v Liverpool 

Who can take part?

• New customers only. Available to residents of the UK and Ireland

How & when can I qualify?

• Open a new account using promo code ZFBECJ
• Deposit a minimum of £10 by Pay by Bank, Cards or Apple Pay.
• Place a max £1 bet on “Manchester City Win and Draw” in the Double Chance market in Manchester City v Liverpool on Sunday 9th November.
• Exchange, Cashed Out, Partially Cashed Out and Oddsboost bets will not count towards the promotion. If you place a qualifying bet and subsequently use Cash Out on the bet, you will no longer be eligible for the promotion.

What can I win?

• If your bet is successful, you will be paid in cash based on the normal price on site and will have the extra amount, bringing the bet up to the cumulative 50/1 payout, credited in free bet builder bets.

When will I get my prize?

• You will receive your Free bet builder bet after your qualifying bet settles.
• All Free bet builder bets are valid for 30 days.

What else do I need to know?

• Best odds guaranteed does not apply to bets placed with a free bet, or partial free bet.
• You can use part of your free bets and save the rest for later as long as you use it before they expire. Stakes are not returned with winnings if your free bet wins. Your winnings will be credited to your main wallet.
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• The offer excludes the following bet types: Canadian, Goliath, Heinz, Lucky 15, Lucky 31, Lucky 63, Patent, Super Heinz, Trixie & Yankee.

Other essential stuff:

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Get this Betfair Sign Up Offer – 50/1 Double Chance on Man City in Man City v Liverpool