Gerwyn Price and Michael van Gerwen

Premier League Darts 2025: Night nine predictions, betting tips, acca, order of play and Sky Sports TV time

By Chris Hammer

Darts

Wed April 09, 2025 · 8M ago

The BetMGM Premier League Darts regular season continues in Berlin on Thursday so check out our match-by-match guide to the action.

Premier League night nine: Who wins in Berlin?

Ahead of each week of the Premier League season, our predictive model, which is based on player performance data, is being used to chart each player's potential opponent and give a percentage chance of them beating each one, as well as forecasting the likelihood of them winning the whole night.

By Chris Hammer

This current format of Premier League Darts may only be in its fourth season but the fact Luke Littler has the chance to break another record in just the ninth week is extraordinary.

Never before has a player managed to win five nightly titles in a single campaign - mainly because we were supposed to be in an era where there was no longer a dominant force anymore - but the defending champion already has four to his name and will almost certainly surpass this target before the season ends.

He's obviously favourite to do it as early as tonight and the way he's been playing, it'll take a brave punter to back against him.

When he's playing at his mind-boggling best, everyone else struggles to keep up - as we saw with Stephen Bunting last week - and even when he's only managing to produce his C-game of mid-90s averages, many of his opponents seem beaten before a dart is thrown anyway.

He strolled past both Rob Cross and Luke Humphries last week when operating at those mediocre levels and while his lack of titles at this week's Players Championship events may give his rivals a tiny glimmer of hope, I expect one way traffic in Berlin tonight.

The only sticking point might be if he faces Gerwyn Price in the semi-finals considering the Iceman has an astonishing six-match winning run over Littler but that kind of record can't be maintained when there's such a gulf in glass.

The Premier League stats after week eight

Probability table and seasonal stats tables to appear here later this morning

Night nine quarter-final stats & tips: Thursday, April 3

TV Coverage: Sky Sports (1900 GMT)
Format: Quarter-Finals, best of 11 legs
Venue: Berlin

SL ACCA: 1pt Bunting, Littler (-2.5) & Price all to win at 5/1 with Sky Bet

Nathan Aspinall (10/11) v Stephen Bunting (10/11)

Head-to-Head: 5-6 (TV: 1-3)
Average (2025 all comps): 95.77 - 96.24
180s per leg (2025 all comps): 0.37 - 0.33
Checkout % (2025 all comps): 39.21% - 39.07%

Stephen Bunting may well be out of realistic contention of qualifying for the Premier League play-offs - unless he starts playing like a peak Luke Littler for the rest of the season - but he probably wants a match win more than anyone else right now.

Although he won't be happy with a fair few of his performances, his total of zero points is an extremely unjust punishment considering the general standard he's been producing and even last week managed an average of 102 in a 6-0 defeat to the phenomenal Littler. That means he's averaged over 100 in half of his eight matches!

Obviously it's not a 'true' 102 average when you only have four attempts at a double but even so, this is getting painfully agonising to watch.

As the streak continues, the pressure on his shoulders to break the duck intensifies - especially when he comes up against one of the more 'beatable' opponents like Nathan Aspinall.

That's meant as no disrespect to the Asp, who has enjoyed some fine results in recent weeks including a European Tour title, but the Bullet would rather face him than a Littler or Humphries.

He's averaging higher than Aspinall in the Premier League and in all competitions this year, while he managed a string of 100+ averages during the Players Championship events this week to boost his confidence. So if he can get off to a good start and find his rhythm then the wait for his huge army of fans will end.

Score prediction: 3-6

CLICK HERE to bet on Aspinall v Bunting with Sky Bet

Luke Humphries (4/9) v Rob Cross (6/5)

Head-to-Head: 10-14 (TV: 6-6)
Average (2025 all comps): 99.04 – 97.18
180s per leg (2025 all comps): 0.31 - 0.28
Checkout % (2025 all comps): 41.3% - 42.36%

Luke Humphries is obviously the worthy favourite due to his lofty position in the table and world number one status but if you isolate the last month or so, there's not really much in it from a performance point of view.

Since the start of March, Humphries has averaged 99.6 in all competitions compared to the 99.3 that Rob Cross has managed, while they've both produced 100+ averages in almost half of their games (Humphries 11 from 23, Cross 9 from 22).

On top of that, Voltage beat Cool Hand in their last Premier League encounter to level up their seasonal head-to-head record at 1-1 and their overall record in televised events at 6-6.

I wouldn't put anyone off siding with the marginal outsider here but it does feel too close to call.

Score prediction: 5-6

CLICK HERE to bet on Humphries v Cross with Sky Bet

Chris Dobey (9/2) v Luke Littler (1/8)

Head-to-Head: 1-3 (TV: 0-3)
Average (2025 all comps): 96.54 - 102.58
180s per leg (2025 all comps): 0.35 - 0.50
Checkout % (2025 all comps): 38.66% - 43.99%

SELECTION: 1pt 7+ 180s and 2+ 100+ checkouts in the match at 2/1 (Sky Bet)

Luke Littler winning Premier League nights is far from a big deal now - but he still manages to do it with a statistic that blows our minds.

Last week's 6-1 victory over Luke Humphries in the final wasn't exactly his finest hour considering both players only managed low 90s averages but earlier in the night, the world number one brought up his 100th 180 of the campaign before any of his rivals had reached 50!

His current total of 102 is just 26 fewer than his tournament record of 128 that he set last year.

Luke Littler's crazy 180 stats compared to everyone else at the halfway stage of the Premier League season.

The record for a full season is 128, which he set last year. At this rate he could end up with 200. pic.twitter.com/xUskIFi8m8
— Chris Hammer (@ChrisHammer180) March 27, 2025

Littler's averages all year have been ridiculous for all to see and if we just look at stats in March, we went over 100 in 26 of his 333 matches.

However, the crumb of comfort to Chris Dobey is that so far in April, Littler has yet to average 100+ in any of his five matches. Granted, those matches came in just one day of Players Championship action on Tuesday, but Littler's opponents need as much encouragement as they can get right now!

All that said, I'd expect the Nuke to explode back into life when he's on the big stage again and blow the struggling Dobey away.

I'd be tempted to go high on 180s in this match even if the result is one-sided due to the fact Hollywood boasts a very healthy 180 per leg ratio too, while 100+ checkouts are par for the course right now.

Score prediction: 2-6

CLICK HERE to bet on Dobey v Littler with Sky Bet

CLICK HERE to back 7+ 180s and 2+ 100+ checkouts with Sky Bet

Michael van Gerwen (10/11) v Gerwyn Price (10/11)

Head-to-Head: 36-16, 1 draw (TV: 26-10, 1 draw)
Average (2025 all comps): 97.78 – 98.18
180s per leg (2025 all comps): 0.28 - 0.32
Checkout % (2025 all comps): 38.54% - 44.47%

The oldest rivalry in the Premier League may not be as headline-making as it once was, but we can still rely on Michael van Gerwen and Gerwyn Price to give us some drama and pumped up celebrations when they face each other.

MVG, who won 18 of their first 19 meetings before Price battled back significantly in recent seasons, has enjoyed a spell of domination since the start of 2024, winning five of their seven encounters but in this year's Premier League it's currently one apiece.

Price has enjoyed the better year overall of course having picked up a couple of Pro Tour titles as MVG's wait to open his account for 2025 continues and statistically he also boasts slightly superior numbers in the key areas.

While the Iceman is enjoying something of a revival this year after an extremely difficult 2024, he's not operating in a different league from MVG and it's proving hard to predict which version of either player will turn up.

However, I'm giving the edge to Price on this occasion due to his more reliable consistency (just!) and the fact he has produced some extremely high numbers at times this year, including a 114 average en route to a Players Championship title this week.

Score prediction: 4-6