Fallon Sherrock (Picture: Lawrence Lustig/PDC)
Fallon Sherrock (Picture: Lawrence Lustig/PDC)

Grand Slam of Darts: Day four predictions, betting tips, acca, order of play and TV time


The group stage of the Cazoo Grand Slam of Darts concludes on Tuesday night so check out Chris Hammer's match-by-match predictions, best bets and an acca.

The players in Groups E-H play their third and final games tonight and much of the focus will be on whether Fallon Sherrock can become the first woman to reach the knockout stages.

Darts betting tips: Grand Slam of Darts day four

1pt Fallon Sherrock (+1.5 legs) to beat Gabriel Clemens at 11/10 (Paddy Power, Betfair)

1pt over 3.5 180s in Cullen v Ashton at 6/5 (bet365)

1pt MVG to beat Henderson and hit most 180s at 11/8 (Paddy Power)

1pt Wright to beat De Decker and hit most 180s at 6/5 (Paddy Power)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

Tuesday November 15: Groups E-H

  • Evening Session (1900 GMT)
  • TV Coverage: Sky Sports
  • Format: Best of nine legs sets

SL Acca: Click here to back Humphries, Suljovic & Anderson at 4/1 with Sky Bet

Michael Smith (1/33) v Joe Davis (18/1) (H)

  • Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 2-0 (0-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 96.56 – 84.53
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.28 – 0.11
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 38.37% - N/A
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 11.19% - 3.88%

This has sadly turned out to be the biggest mis-match of the tournament in terms of the odds but hopefully Joe Davis will still take some positive memories from his maiden major against three of the biggest names of the sport despite this troubling injury that saw his chances go from slim to none.

Davis is averaging less than 70 and the bookies won't even offer you odds on Smith winning 5-0.

Prediction: 5-0

Joe Cullen (1/6) v Lisa Ashton (9/2) (G)

  • Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 2-0 (0-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 95.88 – 86.30
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.31 – 0.14
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 38.53% - 36.36%
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 10.86% - 11.32%

Lisa Ashton could feasibly still go through if she thrashes Joe Cullen 5-0 and Michael van Gerwen defeats John Henderson but realistically she'll now just be happy to bow out with her first ever victory in her ninth Grand Slam of Darts match spanning the past three seasons.

However, while a high 90s or 100+ average is well within her capabilities over this kind of format, Cullen is just playing so well right now and his heavy 5-2 defeat to MVG was only because his opponent produced the tournament's record average of 115.19!

Even when being battered by such a barrage of quality, the Rockstar still managed to throw four 180s in seven legs to add to the four he managed during his 5-0 thrashing of Henderson.

Ashton has managed one in each of her heavy defeats so perhaps the best value here is to take the 2/1 available on there being over 4.5 maximums in the match. Even if Cullen pulls off a whitewash it's still feasible on what we've seen. You can also get 6/5 on there being over 3.5.

Prediction: 5-2

Michael van Gerwen (1/6) v John Henderson (6/1) (G)

  • Head to Head (TV): 10-1, 1 draw (0-1, 1 draw)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 2-0 (1-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 99.37 – 91.77
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.22 – 0.24
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 43.60% - 28.57%
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 14.32% - 13.71%

The head-to-head record is clearly resounding in Michael van Gerwen's favour but interestingly he's never beaten John Henderson on the two occasions they've met in individual televised tournaments - the 2017 World Grand Prix (2-1) and the 2019 Premier League (6-6).

MVG did of course beat Hendo 4-1 in a World Cup singles match this year but it was the popular Scotsman who had the last laugh when pinning the winning double in a decisive doubles rubber to send him and Peter Wright through to the semi-finals of an event they won.

All that said, MVG's Grand Slam record average of 115.19 is further evidence of his resurgence and he should have far too much for Hendo.

You can get him at 11/8 to win and hit most 180s which is tempting considering he's hit five so far compared to Henderson's two although seasonally the latter's maximum per leg is marginally better.

Prediction: 5-2

Mensur Suljovic (2/5) v Matt Campbell (23/10) (F)

  • Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 94.05 – 85.81
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.17 – 0.14
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 38.84% - N/A
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 9.09% - 11.11%

Mensur Suljovic has destiny in his own hands but a very narrow win would mean he'd have to sweat on whether Luke Humphries defeats Jose de Sousa and forces a three-way tie on four points. We could in fact see a nine-dart shoot-out if the leg differences are the same and that isn't that unfeasible when you check out the group standings.

Matt Campbell did push Luke Humphries quite hard in losing 5-3 but he's averaged in the 80s during both matches so you'd expect Suljovic, who averaged 101 and 92, to wrap this one up relatively comfortably.

Backing the Austrian on the handicap is arguably the best way forward in this rather than, for example, throwing in 180s because he's only hit five in 17 legs.

Prediction: 5-2

Jose de Sousa (4/6) v Luke Humphries (13/10) (F)

  • Head to Head (TV): 5-1 (1-0)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 3-0 (1-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 3-0 (0-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 98.24 – 95.58
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.35 – 0.26
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 39.11% - 38.06%
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 11.67% - 11.75%

Jose de Sousa is very much in the box seat to qualify after two wins out of two but he's 'only' averaging in the mid 90s and managed just three 180s across 15 legs of darts which is obviously inferior to the levels he was managing earlier in the season, but in keeping with his standards in the past couple of months.

Luke Humphries managed five despite averaging just 88 in his 5-3 victory over Matt Campbell but just one when reaching 101 in his 5-3 defeat to Mensur Suljovic on opening night - so it's hard to know what we're going to get with Cool Hand right now.

Many aspects of this match feel like a flip of a coin so it might just be safer and play it simple and go with the outsider, who I've always fancied to get through this group from the start.

Prediction: 3-5

Peter Wright (2/9) v Mike De Decker (39/10) (E)

  • Head to Head (TV): 4-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 5-0 (1-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 97.92 – 91.22
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.30 – 0.24
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 39.41% - N/A
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 12.46% - 11.07%

Everyone will expect Peter Wright to beat a player who was brutally destroyed 5-0 by Fallon Sherrock but complacency could be his biggest threat to being knocked out in the group stage for the second year running.

Last year he only averaged 83 in losing his final game 5-2 against Devon Petersen, who managed 88, while last time out he only managed 92 in a 5-4 defeat to Gabriel Clemens. A similar performance will leave the door open for Mike De Decker to earn a morale-boosting victory.

I'm fairly sure he'll knuckle down and produce a strong enough performance that's more than enough, while you can back him at 6/5 to win with the most 180s. He's hit eight in 15 legs while De Decker has managed three in 11.

Prediction: 5-2

Gabriel Clemens (7/15) v Fallon Sherrock (19/10) (E)

  • Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 92.98 – 85.54
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.29 – 0.20
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 36.15% - 38.46%
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 10.58% - 5.98%

Two years ago at the Ally Pally I was fortunate to be present for Fallon Sherrock's unbelievable victory over Mensur Suljovic.

At the time the general feeling was 'the Ted Evetts victory was great, but she can't do it again'. But as cool and composed as you like, she did indeed do it again.

It wasn't a shock by any stretch of the imagination that she beat Mike De Decker two nights ago, although it's hard to deny the manner of her 5-0 triumph - that she achieved with the highest televised average for a woman - was an impressive eye-opener.

Sherrock, who brilliantly shocked Dimitri Van den Bergh at the televised Nordic Darts Masters earlier this winter before narrowly losing the final to Michael van Gerwen, would have got much closer to Peter Wright had she not missed so many doubles and there's no reason why she can't qualify for the next round with victory over Gabriel Clemens. She can cope with the pressure of the big stage and continues to prove she can raise her game to levels required against the men. Imagine how good she'll become when she wins a PDC Tour Card and competes against them week in week out?

Don't be fooled into thinking she can't do it again.

Prediction: 3-5

Gary Anderson (5/6) v Raymond van Barneveld (6/5) (H)

  • Head to Head (TV): 23-19, 3 draws (16-17, 3 draws)
  • 2021 Head to Head (TV): 0-0 (0-0)
  • 2021 Titles (TV): 0-1 (0-0)
  • Three-Dart Average (2021): 95.50 – 94.57
  • 180’s per leg (2021): 0.26 – 0.24
  • Checkout Percentage (Stage Events 2021): 36.50% - 50.00%
  • 100+ checkouts per leg won (2021): 11.85% - 12.40%

Gary Anderson has never failed to get through the group stage of the Grand Slam of Darts dating back to his debut back in 2007 but he's in real danger here against the returning legend.

Raymond van Barneveld fell at this stage on his last appearance back in 2018 but having bounced back from a 5-4 defeat to Michael Smith - in which he averaged a respectable 96.48 - he put a wounded Joe Davis to the sword 5-0 with an average of 94.

Anderson, by contrast, averaged 94 in losing to Smith (5-2) and in the low 80s during his 5-1 victory over Davis so he will need to up his game to see off Barney.

We've learned never to write off the Flying Scotsman because we know he's still prone to pulling out those show stoppers just when he needs it while Barney could let the emotion and pressure of the occasion get the better of him like it did against Smith.

I think Anderson will win this but from a betting angle, going under 3.5 180s in the match at evens is a reasonable play considering they've only managed one each so far.

Prediction: 5-3

CLICK HERE FOR PAUL NICHOLSON'S GRAND SLAM OF DARTS COLUMN

CLICK HERE FOR GRAND SLAM OF DARTS GROUP STANDINGS AND SCHEDULE

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