Paddy Power Sign up Offer - 50/1 on Man Utd or 80/1 on Newcastle to win
Kick-off & Context
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Date & Time: Friday 26 December 2025, 20:00 GMT
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Competition: Premier League
Two historic clubs go head-to-head at Old Trafford in one of the biggest festive fixtures of the season. United will be eager to produce a response after a tough recent period, while Newcastle arrive buoyed by some strong form.
Paddy Power are offering two standout new-customer prices for this game:
Both have long odds appeal — but the shape of each squad and momentum going into this clash makes one option arguably stronger value than the other.
Recent Form & Momentum
Manchester United
United’s season has been one of inconsistency. Performances have fluctuated, and while there have been encouraging moments at Old Trafford, results haven’t always followed. Defensively, United have struggled to keep clean sheets, but they’ve generally remained competitive in home fixtures, even against strong opposition.
The absence of key creative players has forced United to adapt tactically, relying more on pace, directness and moments of individual quality rather than sustained control.
Newcastle United
Newcastle arrive with a stronger run of results overall, having picked up important wins in recent weeks. Their midfield and attacking units are functioning well, and they continue to play with intensity and confidence.
However, away from home they’ve been less convincing, and defensive injuries have disrupted their back line, leading to goals conceded even in matches they’ve won.
Team News & Squad Overview
Manchester United
United head into Boxing Day with several notable absences:
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Bruno Fernandes is sidelined, removing creativity and leadership from midfield.
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Kobbie Mainoo is also unavailable.
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Several squad players are missing due to international commitments.
The positives for United include the return of experienced midfielders and a group of young, hungry attackers likely to be given responsibility in a big fixture. Old Trafford on Boxing Day often brings an extra edge — especially for players looking to make a statement.
Newcastle United
Newcastle’s injury list is concentrated heavily in defence:
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Multiple first-choice defenders remain unavailable.
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The back four is likely to be makeshift, with players operating outside their preferred roles.
While Newcastle still possess strong options in midfield and attack, the lack of defensive continuity could prove costly against a United side that will look to play quickly and directly.
Predicted Line-ups
Manchester United (3-4-2-1)
GK: Senne Lammens
DEF: Diogo Dalot, Lennny Yoro, Ayden Heaven, Luke Shaw, Patrick Dorgu
MID: Casemiro, Manuel Ugarte
ATT: Mateus Cunha, Mason Mount,
ST: Benjamin Sesko
Newcastle United (4-3-3)
GK: Aaron Ramsdale
DEF: Lewis Hall, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schär, Lewis Miley
MID: Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton
ATT: Anthony Gordon, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltenmade
Key Match Factors
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Home advantage: Old Trafford on Boxing Day is rarely a comfortable place for visiting sides.
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Defensive issues: Newcastle’s injury-hit defence could struggle against United’s pace and movement.
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Midfield battle: Without Fernandes, United will need discipline and experience to prevent Newcastle dominating the centre of the pitch.
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Transitions: Both sides are strongest when games become open — which suits United at home.
Which Paddy Power Offer Should You Choose?
The Case for 50/1 on Manchester United to Win
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United’s home performances remain stronger than their away form.
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Newcastle’s defensive absences weaken their biggest strength from recent seasons.
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United still have match-winners capable of producing decisive moments.
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At 50/1, you’re backing a home win in a fixture that is far from one-sided.
The Case for 80/1 on Newcastle to Win
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Newcastle are arguably the more consistent side overall.
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They have attacking quality capable of hurting United.
However, their away inconsistency and defensive injuries make a clean, controlled win at Old Trafford unlikely — which is reflected in the massive price.
Verdict
While both offers are tempting, the 50/1 on Manchester United to win feels like the better-balanced option. Home advantage, Newcastle’s defensive issues and the unpredictable nature of Boxing Day football all tilt the value towards United.
Players to Watch
Mason Mount (Manchester United)
With creative responsibility increased, Mount’s energy and late runs could be crucial.
Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle United)
Newcastle’s midfield controller — everything good usually goes through him.
Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United)
A constant threat on the break, especially if space opens up in wide areas.
Final Thoughts
This is a fixture where narrative, atmosphere and squad disruption matter just as much as league position. Newcastle may arrive in better overall form, but Manchester United at Old Trafford on Boxing Day is never straightforward.
For Paddy Power new customers, 50/1 on a Manchester United win looks like the smarter long-shot — risky, yes, but grounded in home advantage and matchup dynamics.
Paddy Power Offers: Terms and Conditions
50/1 MAN UTD TO BEAT NEWCASTLE
Who can take part?
- New customers only. Available to residents of the UK & Republic of Ireland.
How & when can I qualify?
- Open a new account using promo codeYFBDEY
- Deposit a minimum of £5 by Pay by Bank, Debit Cards or Apple Pay.
- Place a max £1 bet on the Match odds market on Man Utd to beat Newcastle in the English Premier League match on Friday, December 26th.
- Cashed Out, Partially Cashed Out and Power Price bets will not count towards the promotion. If you place a qualifying bet and subsequently use Cash Out on the bet, you will no longer be eligible for the promotion.
What can I win?
- If your bet is successful, you will be paid in cash based on the normal price on site and will have the extra amount, bringing the bet up to the cumulative 50/1 payout, credited in free bet builders
When will I get my prize?
- You will receive your Free bet builders after your qualifying bet settles. Free bet builders are valid for 30 days.
What else do I need to know?
- Best odds guaranteed does not apply to bets placed with a free bet, or partial free bet.
- You can use part of your free bets and save the rest for later as long as you use it before they expire. Stakes are not returned with winnings if your free bet wins. Your winnings will be credited to your main wallet.
- If we find that you have taken part in this promotion using a duplicate account or that you have used more than one account to participate, we reserve the right to withhold your free bets and any winnings earned on the duplicate account.
- Deposits made with e-wallets including: PayPal, Skrill, Paysafe and Neteller will not count towards this promotion.
- The offer excludes the following bet types: Canadian, Goliath, Heinz, Lucky 15, Lucky 31, Lucky 63, Patent, Super Heinz, Trixie & Yankee.
Other essential stuff:
- Paddy Power reserves the right in its discretion to exclude and/or limit the availability of the offer to certain customers.
- The full terms and conditions of Paddypower.com also apply to this offer.
80/1 NEWCASTLE TO BEAT MAN UTD
Who can take part?
- New customers only. Available to residents of the UK & Republic of Ireland.
How & when can I qualify?
- Open a new account using promo code
- Deposit a minimum of £5 by Pay by Bank, Debit Cards or Apple Pay.
- Place a max £1 bet on the Match odds market on Newcastle to beat Man Utd in the English Premier League match on Friday, December 26th.
- Cashed Out, Partially Cashed Out and Power Price bets will not count towards the promotion. If you place a qualifying bet and subsequently use Cash Out on the bet, you will no longer be eligible for the promotion.
What can I win?
- If your bet is successful, you will be paid in cash based on the normal price on site and will have the extra amount, bringing the bet up to the cumulative 80/1 payout, credited in free bets.
When will I get my prize?
- You will receive your Free bet after your qualifying bet settles. Free bet builders are valid for 30 days.
What else do I need to know?
- Best odds guaranteed does not apply to bets placed with a free bet, or partial free bet.
- You can use part of your free bets and save the rest for later as long as you use it before they expire. Stakes are not returned with winnings if your free bet wins. Your winnings will be credited to your main wallet.
- If we find that you have taken part in this promotion using a duplicate account or that you have used more than one account to participate, we reserve the right to withhold your free bets and any winnings earned on the duplicate account.
- Deposits made with e-wallets including: PayPal, Skrill, Paysafe and Neteller will not count towards this promotion.
- The offer excludes the following bet types: Canadian, Goliath, Heinz, Lucky 15, Lucky 31, Lucky 63, Patent, Super Heinz, Trixie & Yankee.
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