14:30 Doncaster

Saturday 3 June 2017

All13:5514:3015:0515:4016:1517:1017:40

Betfred TV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

  • 2YO only  |   Class 4  |   6f 111y  |   Soft (Good to Soft in places)  |   13 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:32  |   Winning time: 1m 22.74s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
2
(12)
Horse silk
66/1
Cost a mere £800 as a yearling, nothing exciting in pedigree and unless there are vibes to the contrary, looks best watched for this racecourse bow.
3
(4)
Horse silk
Daffrah
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-0| J: M Harley| T: J Tate
20/1
50,000 gns half-sister to two winners, including useful 1m scorer Billingsgate. Any market support for this debut run would likely be worth heeding.
4
(6)
Horse silk
20/1
Cost €60,000 as a yearling and nicely related to a smart winner at up to 1m1f in Fathayer. Notable jockey booking for this debut run and trainer has been amongst the winners of late
5
(2)
Horse silk
9/1
Ran a decent race on debut a Thirsk over 5f (soft, good to soft in places) on debut a fortnight ago to be fifth of 11. Step up in trip is viewed as a positive on breeding and can build on that.
52,000 gns yearling out of a 2yo 7f winner, is one of two for the trainer in this line-up and worth a market check with Spencer booked. May come on for this run.
Cost a hefty €235,000 and is a sister to 2yo 6f winner Juliette Fair, newcomer and trainer is also responsible for Sensory in the same colours.
Dam was a 2yo winner up to 1m1f, Dutch Art filly is respected on debut for top yard though jockey bookings suggest she may be second string.
9
(9)
Horse silk
Natural
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon
11/10
Kodiac filly cost €305,000 as a yearling and has a host of winners in her pedigree. Trainer has a 22 per-cent win rate with 2yos this year and could easily enhance it here.
10
(15)
Horse silk
16/1
52,000 gns yearling has the potential to stay a bit further than this in time. One of two for the trainer and jockey bookings suggest she is the one to follow, market check is warranted.
12
(13)
Horse silk
8/1
Cost 170,000 but introduced at a modest level on the AW at Kempton recently over this trip. Was a bit keen early on and beaten just over 4L at the line, respected for connections and could leave that form behind very soon.
Dutch Art filly was fourth of ten (beaten 6½L) on debut at Goodwood a week ago over this trip (good) and is open to plenty improvement having exhibited no shortage of greenness there.
14
(7)
Horse silk
50/1
Is a half-sister to three winners and will be of interest in time, this is a tough starting point however and yard aren't noted for first-time-out winners.
15
(14)
Horse silk
12/1
Also out of Dutch Art and with plenty winners in her line, represents a powerful trainer with 2yo strike rate in excess of 21 per-cent this year, ensuring she's of interest on debut.

Non-Runners

1
(11)
Horse silk
Alacritas
Weight: 9-0|  Age: 2
T: D M Simcock  J: S Donohoe
NR
11
(10)
Horse silk
Reflect Alexander12
Weight: 9-0|  Age: 2
T: P D Evans  J: A Mullen
NR

Forecasts

Natural (11/10), Reflect Alexander (6/1), Silca Mistress (8/1), Juliet Capulet (8/1), Sensory (8/1), Dubai Classic (9/1), Time Change (12/1), Falcon's Vision (14/1), Paramount Love (16/1), Alacritas (16/1), Mountain Meadow (18/1), Deadly Reel (20/1), Daffrah (20/1), Thundercloud (50/1), Boss Koko (66/1)

Verdict

The likes of Sensory, Silca Mistress, Reflect Alexander and Dubai Classic have all shown enough on debut to merit consideration coming back out and each has their merits for this. They may however be vulnerable to some smart debutants with plenty of appeal on paper. Juliet Capulet, stablemate to Sensory, is one but there is much to support the claims of NATURAL on her debut, she's well-bred and her trainer is hitting the mark with one in every five 2yos this year, so any market vibes behind her are worth noting.
  1. Natural
  2. Sensory
  3. Reflect Alexander

Prize Money

1st: £4,528.002nd: £1,348.003rd: £673.004th: £337.00

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