15:35 Doncaster

Wednesday 7 September 2022

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:20

Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3)

Off time: 15:36 | Winning time: 1m 24.57s

(5)

Bounce The Blues¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: W Buick| T: A M Balding| OR: 102| D

5/1

Established as a useful mare. Creditable 4¾ lengths fifth of 11 to Potapova in Atalanta Stakes at Sandown over 1m and return to 7f won't inconvenience. Has the services of William Buick.

Form: 82-2275

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(6)

Divine Magic³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: N Callan| T: M Botti| OR: 92| D

10/1

Improved again to resume winning ways in 6-runner handicap at Leicester (7f) in July. Excellent second both starts since but this is a step up in class.

Form: 7-33122

(4)

Nizaaka¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Cieren Fallon| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 98| D

8/1

Landed the odds in the manner of a very useful filly at Newmarket in July, completing a hat-trick of 7f handicaps. Failed to land a blow up in class/trip at Sandown but could be worth another chance back in trip.

Form: 1-21117

(9)

Novemba⁴⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Bauyrzhan Murzabayev| T: P Schiergen| OR: 110| D

3/1

German Guineas winner last season. Respectable 4½ lengths fourth of 7 to Saffron Beach in Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot but latest third at that track suggests she's not the same force as a 4-y-o. Should still be a factor at this level.

Form: 053-543

(3)

Romantic Rival⁴⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: K Stott| T: G Boughey| OR: 89

150/1

Back to form with a bang when winning 8-runner handicap at Kempton (1m) in June. No impact upped in grade at Ascot and has failed to beat a rival in 3 starts at listed or pattern level.

Form: 31-7619

(1)

Sunset Bay¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Rob Hornby| T: E Walker| OR: 89| D

125/1

Won a brace of 7f handicaps last summer. Limitations rather exposed at listed/Group level since and a big career best is needed.

Form: 2709-66

(11)

Umm Kulthum⁶¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: O J Orr| T: R A Fahey| OR: 104

13/2

Smart filly, winning Newmarket listed on reappearance. Never able to land a blow in stronger company since but now looks ready for another crack at 7f and she has the form to play a big role.

Form: 3/83-107

(2)

Adaay In Asia²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Dylan Hogan| T: H J L Dunlop| OR: 98| D

7/1

Arrives in top form having completed a handicap 4-timer, latterly on first try over 7f at York 3 weeks ago. Well worth a shot at black type and demands respect in current mood.

Form: 331111

(7)

Heredia⁴²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| OR: 105| D

5/1

Won first 4 starts, notably the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot in June. The turn of foot she showed at Ascot wasn't in evidence when a slightly disappointing third at Sandown and she didn't fare much better at Goodwood. Clearly a threat to all if back on her game.

Form: 11-1138

(8)

Honey Sweet²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: C Lee| T: K R Burke| OR: 97

33/1

Established as a useful filly and soon back to form when fourth in listed company at Pontefract last month. Form is a notch below this level, though.

Form: 295204

(10)

Nectaris²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 99| D

16/1

Useful form when winning a handicap at the Curragh in May. Sound-enough efforts in defeat since without thinking she's obviously capable of better.

Form: 914237

Forecasts

Novemba (3/1), Bounce The Blues (5/1), Heredia (5/1), Umm Kulthum (13/2), Adaay In Asia (7/1), Nizaaka (8/1), Divine Magic (10/1), Nectaris (16/1), Honey Sweet (33/1), Sunset Bay (125/1), Romantic Rival (150/1)

There's an open feel to this Group 3 with UMM KULTHUM just about the most persuasive option given she now looks ready for another crack at 7f having not been seen to best effect at York. Heredia looked a filly on the up this summer and is dangerous if recapturing her best form, with progressive handicapper Adaay In Asia well worth a shot at this level.