15:55 Wincanton

Sunday 27 October 2019

All13:0013:3514:1014:4515:2015:5516:30

Ascot Insurance Group Combat Stress Centenary Novices' Hurdle

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 4  |   1m 7f 65y  |   Good (Good to Soft in places)  |   17 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:55  |   Winning time: 3m 38.30s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
Horse silk
Avarchie475
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: Bridget Andrews| T: D Skelton
7/1
Ran in three bumpers for three different trainers, improving notably on the last run when winning at Worcester (2m, good) by 3¾L in July 2018. Off since and now fourth trainer for hurdling debut and interesting to see what the market says.
2
Horse silk
Bells Of Barnack18
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: Alan Johns| T: Tim Vaughan
100/1
Cost €15,000; his dam (1m1f Flat winner) is a half-sister to good dual purpose horse Manyriverstocross. Beaten 10½L finishing fourth of five on his bumper debut over C&D (good) 18 days ago and attentions quickly switched to hurdles. Best watched.
3
Horse silk
Blazing Saddles115
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: Kieron Edgar| T: J Scott
12/1
A record 1/10 on the level, included a win over 1m4f. Bought for 25,000 gns and is a half-brother to dual-hurdle winner Outcrop. Yard's horses are running well and had plenty of potential for the NH game.
4
Horse silk
Eritage196
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: Harry Cobden| T: P F Nicholls| CD
1/1
Joined the Nicholls yard after winning a French bumper and built on a promising GB debut to win over C&D (good) back in April. Plenty of jump winners in his pedigree, including his dam, and has plenty of potential switched to hurdles.
5
Horse silk
Escapability20
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: Tom Cannon| T: A King
4/1
A twelve-raced but fair maiden on the Flat who was placed on seven occasions (1m-1m4f). Only beaten a short head at Windsor (1m3½f, soft) when last seen three weeks ago and this trip should be within range on hurdling debut.
6
Horse silk
Et Apres Thou196
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: T J O'Brien| T: P Hobbs & J White
25/1
Well beaten in two bumpers last season, including when 29L behind Eritage over C&D (good) when last seen in April. Half-brother to two winners over jumps and is in good hands so may be open to further improvement.
7
Horse silk
Huccabyh1,t10
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: T Scudamore| T: D Pipe
100/1
Scarcely beaten a rival in three outings, most recently when beaten 65L on his second hurdling start over C&D (good) 10 days ago. Hood applied for the first time here but it will need to have a dramatic effect for him to be involved.
8
Horse silk
Lots Of Luck232
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: David Bass| T: K Bailey & M Nicholls
50/1
Showed little in two hurdle runs last season, beaten 64L on debut before pulling up next time. Plenty of winners of fences in his pedigree (including One Cool Cookie and In Compliance) and that may be where his future lies down the line.
9
Horse silk
Namib Dancer238
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: R M Power| T: Miss E C Lavelle
8/1
Two bumper runs last year. Wasn't disgraced despite the margin of defeat on debut and stepped forward on that to finish third, beaten 1¾L, at Huntingdon (2m, good). Bred to better for an obstacle and is open to further improvement.
10
Horse silk
Sellingallthetime58
Age: 8|  Weight: 10-12| J: Brendan Powell| T: M D I Usher
50/1
Four wins (all 1m4f) from 65 runs on the level but has been regressive in that sphere this year. Switches to hurdles late in life compared to most and is best watched.
11
Horse silk
Thirsty Farmer
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: M J Quinlan| T: R G Hawker
100/1
Third foal; half-brother to point and hurdle winner (2m3f/2m7f) Gentleman Farmer; dam won four points and is a half-sister to Flat/hurdle/chase winner Sweet Senorita amongst others. Starts off in a decent contest and may need the experience.
12
Horse silk
Top Beak10
Age: 6|  Weight: 10-12| J: W T Kennedy| T: Mark Gillard| OR:  103
40/1
Won a Windsor maiden (1m) in 2015 but his form has been steadily regressive in that sphere since. Joined current connections after selling handicap second at Brighton (1m2f, good to firm) but his hurdling form has been moderate in three attempts.
13
Horse silk
Arctic Footprint247
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-5| J: Sean Houlihan(3)| T: C J Down
50/1
Half-sister to three NH winners, most notably Midlands National winner Regal Flow; dam won two hurdles. Improved on two bumper outings on hurdling debut at Exeter (2m1f, good to soft) but was still well beaten and will probably need further in time.
14
Horse silk
Destinys Choice223
Age: 6|  Weight: 10-5| J: Conor Ring(3)| T: Evan Williams
40/1
Bought for £70,000 after winning her second start in Irish points. Beaten 28L in a bumper at Southwell (1m7½f, soft) in March (only start for Michael Blake). Related to several NH winners and joins a new yard for hurdling debut.
15
Horse silk
Gaelic Surpriseh18
Age: 7|  Weight: 10-5| J: James Davies| T: C J Down| OR:  71
200/1
Shown very little in seven outings, including on seasonal debut over C&D (good) 10 days ago when tailed off. Hard to recommend.
16
Horse silk
Greenview Paradise10
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-5| J: Nick Scholfield| T: J Scott
50/1
Dual AW winner (both 1m6f) earlier this year but not quite in the same form since. Didn't run too badly over C&D (good) last time and may well be seen to better effect in handicaps over further after this.
17
Horse silk
Justut10
Age: 7|  Weight: 10-5| J: Conor Shoemark| T: R G Hawker
200/1
Had 17 runs in points without success and the switch to hurdles brought about no improvement when tailed off over C&D (good) just over a week ago. Easily passed over.

Forecasts

Eritage (1/1), Escapability (4/1), Avarchie (7/1), Namib Dancer (8/1), Blazing Saddles (12/1), Et Apres Thou (25/1), Destinys Choice (40/1), Top Beak (40/1), Sellingallthetime (50/1), Arctic Footprint (50/1), Greenview Paradise (50/1), Lots Of Luck (50/1), Huccaby (100/1), Bells Of Barnack (100/1), Thirsty Farmer (100/1), Justu (200/1), Gaelic Surprise (200/1)

Verdict

It could be another winner for Paul Nicholls in this race with dual bumper winner ERITAGE. He has lots of relatives who have won over hurdles and if translating his bumper form, will be hard to beat. Escapability showed a fair level of form on the Flat and should have no problems with this trip or ground on hurdling debut whilst Namib Dancer learnt plenty from his debut last time and could improve again over hurdles.
  1. Eritage
  2. Escapability
  3. Namib Dancer

Prize Money

1st: £4,874.002nd: £1,431.003rd: £716.004th: £358.00

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