16:20 Ffos Las

Thursday 29 August 2019

All13:2013:5014:2014:5015:2015:5016:20

3A's Leisure Super Site Nantyci Carmarthen Handicap

Off time: 16:23 | Winning time: 1m 40.44s

(13)

Bakht A Rawan¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-10| J: Georgia Dobie⁽⁷⁾| T: R A Teal| OR: 59| D

18/1

Modest handicapper these days (mark has fallen quickly) but did show a little more last time on his fourth run for this yard. Drops into this grade for the first time since 2015; chance of taking advantage of this mark if repeating last start.

Form: 80-0045

(16)

Accomplice⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Charlie Bennett| T: M Blanshard| OR: 55| D

11/1

On long losing run (last win April 2018) but has dropped 11lb below that last winning mark with her last two starts offering hope that sequence will be broken. Failed to get the clearest passage last two run, looks back to best, respected at weights.

Form: 833734

(10)

Edge^b⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-5| J: Scott McCullagh⁽⁵⁾| T: B J Llewellyn| OR: 54| CD

10/1

C&D winner whose last win came on the AW off a 3lb higher mark; gradually finding his feet this year (better than finishing position last few starts). Does look as some sort of revival may be on the way although vulnerable to an improving 3yo.

Form: 445459

(7)

Set Point Charlie^t⁷^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: T P Queally| T: S Durack| OR: 54| D

5/1

Off the mark in good style over 1m at Chepstow (first-time tongue-tie); won with plenty in hand, 1lb well in under his penalty. May have been advantaged by the race scenario last time, not sure to face the same set-up here, possibly vulnerable.

Form: 00781

(6)

Lonicera³⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: David Probert| T: H Candy| OR: 59

8/1

Fair maiden (0-8) but is starting to look exposed in handicaps with the assessor needing to cut her some slack before she becomes of interest. Beaten the last twice on the AW, looks a better individual on turf; more progressive 3yo's in the line-up.

Form: 9-22038

(11)

Basilisk⁹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jason Watson| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 58

9/2

Green on his one 2yo start he didn't look as though he had learnt much when next seen after a six month break (also gelded); both runs on the AW. Made his turf debut in a first-time tongue-tie (looked a hard ride), hopes pinned on going handicapping.

Form: 0-95

(9)

Warrior Display^v1²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: B J Llewellyn| OR: 58

33/1

Recorded his one win so far in an AW (1m1f handicap) off this same mark for his previous yard at the start of the year (surprise winner). Modest form for this yard (beaten in a 1m2f seller last time), also been juvenile hurdling; little appeal.

Form: 4-14558

(1)

All Right²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Dane O'Neill| T: H Candy| OR: 57

7/2

Progression in handicaps has been gradual rather than fast-paced; built on a second (penultimate start) to win at Yarmouth last time (1m1f). Low mileage so far and in good hands, up 5lb, one of the better candidates if coping with this drop to 1m.

Form: 800421

(14)

Elena Osorio¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: L P Keniry| T: D R C Elsworth| OR: 57

12/1

Just the three starts to her name having looked in need of the experience on all three starts but showing a modicum of ability on her last two starts. Goes into handicaps off a reasonable mark, not hard to see her improving in this sphere.

Form: 784

(5)

Mabo^b⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: K Shoemark| T: G Harris| OR: 51

14/1

Winner last year in first-time blinkers, (AW, 7f) for Richard Fahey he's starting to look as though he may be capable of winning again for this yard. Stopped his slide down the handicap three runs ago; gives the impression he finds 1m a tough gig.

Form: 080236

(3)

Medici Moon^h1⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Hollie Doyle| T: R J Price| OR: 49| D

16/1

His three wins have all come on the AW (Fibresand/Tapeta) scoring on his second run for this yard (took advantage of a falling mark) in April. Mixed bag in three appearances since; ran free after a break last time (now hooded), better expected.

Form: 0-81070

(12)

Lippy Lady^h¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽⁵⁾| T: Paul George| OR: 55| D

10/1

Came from a hopeless position to win a 1m Leicester seller; failed to repeat the trick back in a handicap on the AW last time, typically slow away. Left on the same mark so not out of this but comes with risks; one to treat with caution.

Form: 320315

(4)

Sea Tea Dea³⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: Finley Marsh⁽³⁾| T: A Wintle| OR: 46

11/1

Unconvincing 1-33 profile; sunk to a basement mark with this yard looking to have found some sort of form with her. Produced her best effort of the season last time (runner-up); but performance did come in a very weak affair; place chance at best.

Form: 805432

(8)

Lovely Acclamation^p³⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: Racheal Kneller⁽⁵⁾| T: Debbie Hughes| OR: 45

20/1

Cheekpieces and a return to turf saw her make a modest step forward last time in a 1m 0-50 handicap; offered something to work on. Just the second runner for this new yard, she does have a fair bit to find to be competitive, 0-12 in her career.

Form: 670/904

Non-Runners

(2)

Test Valley⁷

Weight: 9-8| Age: 4

T: Mrs Tracey Barfoot-Saunt J: J P Fahy

(15)

Huddle²⁴

Weight: 9-5| Age: 3

T: W J Knight J: Callum Shepherd

Forecasts

All Right (7/2), Basilisk (9/2), Set Point Charlie (5/1), Lonicera (8/1), Edge (10/1), Lippy Lady (10/1), Accomplice (11/1), Sea Tea Dea (11/1), Elena Osorio (12/1), Mabo (14/1), Huddle (14/1), Medici Moon (16/1), Bakht A Rawan (18/1), Lovely Acclamation (20/1), Test Valley (25/1), Warrior Display (33/1)

A low-grade affair to end the card with the field being equally split between older horses and the 3yo brigade. Amongst the younger element there are usually one or two who could well be improving rather than summed up by their marks and ALL RIGHT looks to be that sort having won comfortably last time. She should cope with this step back to 1m in a bid to follow up. Elena Osorio is unexposed and a better performance is expected from her in handicaps along with Basilisk from a yard (Roger Charlton) who do well with their runners here. Accomplice and Edge look the pick of the older brigade both having run better than their finishing positions suggest of late.