12:40 Lingfield

Tuesday 20 November 2018

All12:1012:4013:1013:4014:1014:4015:1015:40

Betway Stayers Handicap (Div 2)

Off time: 12:40 | Winning time: 3m 24.0s

(6)

Betsalottie^p1¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: K T O'Neill| T: J J Bridger| OR: 58| C

25/1

Heavily beaten in last three starts including in first-time visor latest. Cheekpieces now added and big step up in distance a significant query.

Form: 842500

(2)

Planetoid^t1²²

Age: 10| Weight: 9-9| J: L P Keniry| T: J & S Best| OR: 58| CD

16/1

Could only keep on at the same pace when a well-held fourth over this trip at Chelmsford and plenty more required on recent form.

Form: 053984

(9)

Harbour Force^p¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: A Kirby| T: N P Mulholland| OR: 56

20/1

11-race maiden under all codes and plenty to find on his recent two AW starts. Didn't shape last time as though this further test will suit.

Form: 6609-69

(7)

Alexis Carrington²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 59

3/1

Only had the six starts and seems to be moving in the right direction with two narrow seconds when upped to this trip. Should be a leading hope.

Form: 846622

(4)

True Destiny^b,t¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Adam J McNamara⁽³⁾| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 56

1/1

Broke through on start number six over 1m3f at Kempton and was unlucky when short of room over a furlong further last time. May be more to come still at this distance.

Form: 0-78013

(1)

Sea's Aria²⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: J Mitchell| T: M R Hoad| OR: 48| D

33/1

Had a couple of decent runs over hurdles this summer and returns to the Flat 2lb lower than when last seen. Chance on old Irish form but others look stronger.

Form: 6/8547-6

(10)

Cold Fusion²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Nicola Currie| T: D L Williams| OR: 48

33/1

18-race AW maiden (1-32 overall); placed at big odds over 1m3f+ at Windsor in October and possibly needs soft ground to be most effective. First AW start since May 2017 and others preferred.

Form: 25-0038

(3)

Pollyissimo¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: David Probert| T: P R Chamings| OR: 53

12/1

10-race maiden showed more encouragement at Chelmsford at first try at this trip but failed to build on that at Kempton. More required but place possibilities if bouncing back.

Form: 725356

(11)

Mount Cleshar²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: Oisin Murphy| T: J Butler| OR: 45

16/1

Maiden after 12 starts and had shown some promise before two very well beaten efforts last twice. Chance if leaving those runs but that remains a big query.

Form: 634309

(8)

Cue's Folly⁴²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: J Fanning| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 49

9/1

Best effort came over 2m2f two starts back and even that looked too sharp. Below that back at this trip latest but in a weak contest will at least be plugging on late.

Form: 064530

(5)

Mistress Nellie^p⁵⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: Jane Elliott⁽³⁾| T: W Stone| OR: 45

66/1

10-race maiden has failed to build on Windsor second with three poor runs. Much more needed up significantly in distance.

Form: 652697

Forecasts

True Destiny (1/1), Alexis Carrington (3/1), Cue's Folly (9/1), Pollyissimo (12/1), Planetoid (16/1), Mount Cleshar (16/1), Harbour Force (20/1), Betsalottie (25/1), Sea's Aria (33/1), Cold Fusion (33/1), Mistress Nellie (66/1)

In a moderate contest two lightly-race rivals stand out as the types to improve past this opposition. TRUE DESTINY has moved rapidly in the right direction the last twice and after getting too far back and denied a clear run late, he could easily have gone closer to making it two wins in a row. There should be more to come for him up to a trip where Alexis Carrington has gone down narrowly the last twice and she should surely be winning soon. Cue's Folly can stay on late for a place.