17:40 Kempton

Monday 22 October 2018

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Handicap

Off time: 17:41 | Winning time: 1m 0.61s

(1)

Carlovian^v¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: L Morris| T: M Walford| OR: 55| D

7/4

Gained reward for a handful of solid efforts when motoring home snatch a win at Wolverhampton last time. Up 3lb but that's countered by the drop in class. Obvious chance in an ordinary race.

Form: 595331

(4)

Little Miss Lilly^v¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Amelia Glass⁽⁷⁾| T: C G Cox| OR: 55

14/1

This season's form has been poor but reasonable to suggest she's not been getting home over longer trips. Worth a try over the minimum distance but improvement still needed.

Form: 74-7009

(10)

Roy's Legacy¹⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 9-6| J: Charlie Bennett| T: S A Harris| OR: 54| CD

25/1

Game and consistent character with 21 wins to his name from 145 previous starts; 3 of which came over C&D. Not enjoyed the best of spells of late but still dangerous to rule out. The draw could have been kinder.

Form: 500044

(3)

Alaskan Bay³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: William Carson| T: Rae Guest| OR: 53| D

8/1

Been in good form since returning from a break and stepped up to the plate with a game victory at Wolverhampton last month. Up 4lb and a new surface to contend with, but has to be respected. Worth considering if the market highlights her cause.

Form: 4-60421

(7)

Broughton Excels²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Oisin Murphy| T: S C Williams| OR: 53| CD

11/10

The penny dropped on his first run at this course as the gelding ran on strongly to score over C&D at the start of the month. A 5lb higher mark isn't insurmountable at this level but another step forward required. Unexposed so worth considering.

Form: 7980-51

(6)

Mosseyb^p²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: K Shoemark| T: P T Midgley| OR: 52

20/1

Still a maiden and is yet to race at this course; others look more convincing even though the gelding is now on a very attractive mark in comparison to the pick of his past form.

Form: 430560

(2)

Hurricane Alert²⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: Finley Marsh⁽⁵⁾| T: M R Hoad| OR: 50| D

7/1

Has a fair record of making the frame on the AW and comes into this after going close here last time out. Not the most reliable but would be dangerous if he gets the strong pace he needs. Well drawn and can go close if in the mood.

Form: 482372

(9)

Hornby¹¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: R Havlin| T: M J Attwater| OR: 47

66/1

Yet to win a race and hard to get too enthusiastic about his claims despite dropping in the weights. One to be wary of just now.

Form: 6-35559

(8)

Raise A Little Joy^p⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Danny Brock| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 45

66/1

Never made the frame in any of his previous races and not hard to leave out of the betting plans on this occasion. (Out of the weights too.)

Form: 008340

(5)

Deer Song^b²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: K T O'Neill| T: J J Bridger| OR: 45| CD

50/1

Gained his solitary win from 48 previous starts over C&D but a string of duck eggs this calendar year is off-putting. 1lb out of the handicap and another stiff test ahead.

Form: 078770

Forecasts

Broughton Excels (11/10), Carlovian (7/4), Hurricane Alert (7/1), Alaskan Bay (8/1), Little Miss Lilly (14/1), Mosseyb (20/1), Roy's Legacy (25/1), Deer Song (50/1), Raise A Little Joy (66/1), Hornby (66/1)

A 3lb rise for winning last time out may not be enough to stop CARLOVIAN and the top weight can stamp his authority in this weaker event. Alaskan Bay and Hurricane Alert are a couple of others capable of exploiting any weakness shown by the selection, while Broughton Excels is unexposed and may have a bit more to offer, whereas Roy's Legacy is an old-stager who knows what to do when the opportunity arises and could also figure for a place in the frame.