17:10 Redcar

Thursday 3 May 2018

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:10

Watch Race Replays At racinguk.com Handicap

Off time: 17:13 | Winning time: 1m 37.08s

(3)

Dubai Classic¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: C Lee⁽³⁾| T: K R Burke| OR: 61

16/1

Not disgraced on debut at Thirsk over 5f (May 2017), but has shown precious little since over 6f, and makes her handicap debut today over a much longer trip.

Form: 50-50

(8)

If We Can Can³¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 60

11/2

Sepoy colt (15,000 gns yearling) who hasn't looked anything special so far, but interesting that his trainer perseveres for now. Handicap debut.

Form: 035-

(5)

Plansina⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: T Hamilton| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 60| D

4/1

Solid Tapeta performer (two-time 1m Newcastle winner), beating the subsequent dual scorer Odds On Oli by 1L on her penultimate start. Translated that improvement back to turf latest at Wetherby (1m soft), so should feature.

Form: 0-81814

(11)

Mafdet¹⁶⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: G Lee| T: B Smart| OR: 60

16/1

Rip Van Winkle filly who never threatened on her previous visit to Redcar in October 2017 (C&D), but that form was well advertised at Thirsk on Monday with the third placed The Navigator winning. Allocated a fair opening handicap mark.

Form: 556-

(4)

Don't Cry About It^p1,t⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: S De Sousa| T: A Stronge| OR: 58

4/1

Kept on, but never a serious threat to cosy odds-on winner Black Sails at Lingfield last week (7f). Risen in the weights, but lines up today in first time cheek-pieces.

Form: 060-72

(10)

Benaras¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 58

12/1

Cost €60,000 as a yearling (useful pedigree), but has failed to deliver on the racecourse so far hence her lowly opening handicap mark. More needed.

Form: 6-47

(7)

Conflagration¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: D Tudhope| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 57

5/1

Fetched 370,000 gns at the breeze-ups (48,000 gns yearling), but pretty much a tale of woe so far. Shaped as if worth trying over this longer trip at Kempton last month (7f), and helpfully is 3lb lower today.

Form: 67680-6

(9)

Whinmoor²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: T Eaves| T: N Tinkler| OR: 56

16/1

Green and inexperienced in all three starts, and appears very slow in learning the ropes. Upped in trip for handicap debut, and based on pedigree that should at least unleash some minor improvement.

Form: 78-5

(6)

Glacier²⁵⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: K Stott| T: N Wilson| OR: 54

33/1

Left Richard Hannon cheaply in September 2017 (£1,500). Shown no ability so far hence the knock down sales price (65,000 gns yearling). No chance unless totally transformed by his new handler.

Form: 990-

(1)

Thundercloud¹²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: R Kingscote| T: S Dixon| OR: 51

16/1

Now a six-race maiden and in free-fall down the weights. Tailed off last of twelve on her last start at Southwell in December 2017 (1m).

Form: 060850-

(2)

Kylie Style¹⁰¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Edward Greatrex| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 45

22/1

Now a nine-race maiden. Never raced beyond 7f in her career, but makes little appeal whatever the trip until demonstrating otherwise.

Form: 7509-76

(12)

Voice Of Dubai^p³⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Josephine Gordon| T: H Palmer| OR: 45

14/1

Brother to 7f AW winner Dubai Waves, and has an unusual profile for this trainer (very lowly rated). Produced an improved effort at Southwell (1m) last month when beaten 9L by Port Soif (finished fourth of ten).

Form: 57004

Forecasts

Don't Cry About It (4/1), Plansina (4/1), Conflagration (5/1), If We Can Can (11/2), Benaras (12/1), Voice Of Dubai (14/1), Thundercloud (16/1), Dubai Classic (16/1), Whinmoor (16/1), Mafdet (16/1), Kylie Style (22/1), Glacier (33/1)

A race stacked full of disappointing horses, with Ed Dunlop no doubt exasperated with the 370,000 gns breeze-up pick Conflagration, and both Hugo Palmer (Voice Of Dubai) and Mark Johnston (If We Can Can) persevering with their charges for now. Plansina has progressed on the AW and looks more solid than the majority, but we'll opt for the handicap debutante MAFDET. She has been allocated a fair opening mark and looks capable of a bold show in this company.