13:10 Newbury

Saturday 28 October 2017

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2015:5516:3017:05

Conundrum EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)

  • 2YO only  |   Class 4  |   1m  |   Soft  |   13 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 13:10  |   Winning time: 1m 46.03s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
(1)
Horse silk
Arendelle24
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-0| J: R Kingscote| T: E Walker
7/1
Camelot filly who is the first foal of an unraced, but relatively well-related dam. Needed the outing on debut at Nottingham and probably won't be seen to best advantage until next year.
2
(12)
Horse silk
5/1
Daughter of Galileo out of a Danehill mare, she is a half-sister to three winners, including Time To Reason. Impressive pedigree and one to note if the market speaks in her favour on debut.
Dawn Approach filly out of a Danehill Dancer mare. Nicely bred and stable gets juvenile winners. Worth a market check as she makes her racecourse bow.
5
(14)
Horse silk
2/1
Camelot filly who cost 155,000 gns as a yearling and is from a winning family. Shaped with a good deal of promise on debut at Nottingham and although she looks one for next year, she could well make her presence felt.
Fastnet Rock filly who is a half-sister to six winners including Derby hero Harzand. Middle distances will probably be her thing and top trainer does not rush such types, but she clearly needs a second look on debut.
7
(6)
Horse silk
33/1
Daughter of French Derby winner Reliable Man, she is a half-sister to 10 winners. Did not cut much ice on debut at Lingfield and, given her breeding, is likely to do much better over middle distances next year.
8
(11)
Horse silk
Lamb Chopp19
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-0| J: William Carson| T: B R Millman| BF
14/1
Placed on the last two of her four starts and has ability. However, she is up against some beautifully-bred fillies and is likely to come up short.
9
(13)
Horse silk
28/1
Mastercraftsman filly who fetched 60,000 gns as a yearling and whose dam is a half-sister to St Leger winner Kingston Hill. Bred to stay well and looks a long-term prospect, so best watched on debut.
10
(5)
Horse silk
16/1
Daughter of French Derby winner Intello, she is another from the family of Kingston Hill. Easy to back and always in rear on debut at Newmarket, she needs more time to mature.
11
(3)
Horse silk
Red Starlight19
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| BF
6/1
Pivotal filly out of a Dubawi mare whose dam is a half-sister to winning miler Dubai Sunshine. Favourite when sixth of 10 on debut at Salisbury and should do better with that experience under her belt.
12
(10)
Horse silk
66/1
Only beat one rival on both starts at Newmarket and Kempton so not one to get excited about in this, even though she should do better in time.
13
(8)
Horse silk
12/1
Nathaniel filly out of a Dalakhani mare, she is bred to stay well. Unlikely to be precocious enough on debut and is best watched with a view to the future.
Daughter of Camelot out of a Selkirk mare, she cost 60,000 gns as a yearling and is a half-sister to three winners up to 1m2f. Will be better for her debut run, but should be noted for any market support.

Non-Runners

4
(7)
Horse silk
Despacito41
Weight: 9-0|  Age: 2
T: B G Powell  J: L P Keniry
NR

Forecasts

Expensive Liaison (2/1), Birch Grove (5/1), Red Starlight (6/1), Arendelle (7/1), Hazarfiya (11/1), Snatty Dancer (12/1), Lamb Chop (14/1), Mirror Mirror (16/1), Despacito (20/1), Mille Tank (28/1), Kiss Me Daily (33/1), Thresholdofadream (40/1), Dawn Of Reckoning (66/1), Sister Celine (66/1)

Verdict

Plenty of well-bred debutants and the most eyecatching is Derby winner Harzand's half-sister Hazarfiya. She is certainly one to keep and eye on, along with fellow debutant Birch Grove, but experience might prove crucial in quite testing conditions and the suggestion is EXPENSIVE LIAISON, who shaped with plenty of promise on debut at Nottingham. Red Starlight should improve on her debut at Salisbury.
  1. Expensive Liaison
  2. Red Starlight
  3. Hazarfiya

Prize Money

1st: £5,175.002nd: £1,540.003rd: £770.004th: £385.00

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