17:05 Newbury

Friday 22 September 2017

All13:2013:5014:2514:5515:3016:0016:3517:05

South Downs Water Handicap

Off time: 17:08 | Winning time: 2m 8.9s

(10)

Nonios^h²¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: M Harley| T: D M Simcock| OR: 85

16/1

Has just been seen once this year when finishing third of eight at Wolverhampton. Eight of her ten starts have come on the AW but has run okay on turf before. May want the rain to stay away though and entitled to need the run here.

Form: 34210-3

(16)

Breden^h¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: R Winston| T: Mrs L C Jewell| OR: 84| D

16/1

Won three times for John Gosden but has suffered an interrupted career and has been out of form in three more recent starts. Handicapper has given him a chance but he may want a drop back in trip to be seen at his best and he can be slowly away.

Form: 12/2466

(9)

Balmoral Castle²⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 9-8| J: Pierre-Louis Jamin⁽⁷⁾| T: J G Portman| OR: 83| CD

25/1

Losing run starting to mount up now but has a C&D win here, albeit back in 2013. Runs his best races on fast ground but he's hard to fancy on current form.

Form: 0-70300

(12)

Grapevine²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Jim Crowley| T: C Hills| OR: 83| D

7/1

Slow starter and not the most straightforward but slowly working his way back down to a fairer mark now. Would probably like some rain to be seen at his best and he's not always one to be trusted, given that he was withdrawn at the start last time.

Form: 280455

(13)

Bedouin^p1²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: P Cosgrave| T: L M Cumani| OR: 84| D

13/2

Hit and miss performer who has started compromising his chances with slow starts. Probably still on a workable handicap mark when it all clicks and first-time cheekpieces may help so can't be dismissed.

Form: 461416

(11)

Mia Tesoro^h¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes| OR: 78| D

10/1

Rattled off a four-timer last year but signs the handicapper has caught up with her for now and he's been slow to release his grip, dropped just 1lb for a couple of disappointing runs at Brighton and Chelmsford. Needs to improve.

Form: 1123-66

(6)

Graceful James¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: K T O'Neill| T: J C Fox| OR: 75| BF| D

9/1

Has done nearly all his running on the AW and his two attempts on turf have been very disappointing. In good form on synthetic surfaces so can't be ruled out off lower turf mark if handling the surface but has a bit to prove.

Form: 31-9314

(5)

Mikmak^p²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: K Shoemark| T: W R Muir| OR: 75

25/1

Has won just once in 20 starts and that came as a two-year-old on just his second run. Very disappointing on his last couple of runs including over C&D two starts back and would probably want faster ground than what he gets here; opposable.

Form: 575288

(15)

Rumpole²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S De Sousa| T: H Morrison| OR: 80

6/1

Winner at Windsor on fast ground over a mile earlier in the year but hasn't quite managed to match that run subsequently. Likes to front run but this isn't an easy course to execute those tactics effectively and not much chance of an easy lead.

Form: 417203

(14)

Majboor¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: L P Keniry| T: D J S Ffrench Davis| OR: 77| BF

25/1

Plenty of promise in his first two starts in maiden company but proved a disappointing odds-on favourite in a Chepstow maiden last time out. Interesting runner upped in trip on handicap debut though and can't be ruled out.

Form: 323

(8)

Red Royalist^p¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: M Dwyer| T: M P Tregoning| OR: 77| D

8/1

Off the mark at the sixth attempt last time at Goodwood and possibly improving for the application of cheekpieces (retained here). Looks on a fair mark and less exposed than most in here so he's an interesting runner.

Form: 23-3431

(7)

Crushed¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Georgia Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: W J Haggas| OR: 76| D

10/3

Stayed on strongly to win at Windsor earlier in the month. Has run well on fast ground before so conditions won't faze him and useful 5lb claimer retains the ride. Should run well iif he can build on that latest effort and only up 6lb for the win.

Form: 41-2431

Non-Runners

(3)

Threat Assessed⁴⁴⁷

Weight: 9-11| Age: 4

T: C G Cox J: Non Runner

(4)

Fire Tree²⁰

Weight: 9-6| Age: 4

T: C Fellowes J: S Donohoe

(2)

Dubai's Secret²⁵

Weight: 9-4| Age: 4

T: D H Brown J: S M Levey

(1)

Pirate Look¹⁶

Weight: 8-12| Age: 3

T: M Botti J: Daniel Muscutt

Forecasts

Crushed (10/3), Rumpole (6/1), Threat Assessed (6/1), Bedouin (13/2), Grapevine (7/1), Red Royalist (8/1), Graceful James (9/1), Mia Tesoro (10/1), Pirate Look (10/1), Dubai's Secret (14/1), Fire Tree (14/1), Breden (16/1), Nonios (16/1), Majboor (25/1), Balmoral Castle (25/1), Mikmak (25/1)

CRUSHED has solid claims for a yard in good form and the way he stayed on at Windsor last time out gave the impression there's still more to come. Majboor may have disappointing last time but he's entitled to come on for that run while another down at the bottom of the weights is Red Royalist who may carry on improving after a win in a maiden last time out.