20:30 Southwell

Thursday 17 October 2024

All16:2517:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 6  |   1m 3f 23y  |   Standard  |   11 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 20:32  |   Winning time: 2m 25.50s
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The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Star rating
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
(3)
Horse silk
Olympicush7
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-11| J: Tom Marquand| T: M Appleby| OR:  57
4/1
Eighth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (13/2) 7 days ago, slowly away. Continues to slide down the weights and he's therefore dangerous to discount.
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Timeform
2
(6)
Horse silk
My Brother Mike32
Age: 10|  Weight: 9-11| J: Connor Planas(3)| T: D Loughnane| OR:  57| C| D
9/1
Course winner. Creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, good to firm, 8/1) 32 days ago, never nearer. Can make presence felt.
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Timeform
3
(8)
Horse silk
Caramayp42
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-10| J: Hollie Doyle| T: W Muir & C Grassick| OR:  56
5/1
Two wins from 5 runs this year. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (12/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 42 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Storm Asset, suited by way race developed. 4lb rise fair but this looks tougher.
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Timeform
4
(9)
Horse silk
Riffa Fort432
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-7| J: William Cox| T: C Ellam| OR:  53
100/1
Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Redcar (14f, good to firm, 66/1). Off 14 months (gelded in the interim) and he can only be watched for now.
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Timeform
5
(11)
Horse silk
Jimmy Mark16
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-7| J: K T O'Neill| T: W S Kittow| OR:  53
8/1
Latest win at Ffos Las in July. 9/2, below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft) 16 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and each-way chance if handling the surface.
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Timeform
6
(4)
Horse silk
Chagall24
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-7| J: Dylan Hogan| T: Jack Jones| OR:  53
5/1
Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 24 days ago. Back up in trip and he's another who is dangerous to discount having been given a chance by the handicapper.
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Timeform
7
(2)
Horse silk
Total Lockdownp9
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-6| J: Christian Howarth(3)| T: Alice Haynes| OR:  52| D
33/1
Unreliable sort. 4/1, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Likely to find a few of these too good.
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Timeform
8
(5)
Horse silk
Bond Spiritp30
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-4| J: Jonny Peate| T: L Allan| OR:  50| C
12/1
Course winner. Latest win at Bath in May. 13/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 30 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Others more persuasive.
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Timeform
9
(1)
Horse silk
Bay Of Naplesp,t20
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-4| J: T Eaves| T: M Herrington| OR:  50| CD
15/2
C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 11/1, creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 20 days ago. Place possibilities.
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Timeform
10
(7)
Horse silk
Lednikovp7
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4| J: Elle-May Croot(5)| T: I Furtado| OR:  50| CD
9/1
C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Good sixth of 12 in handicap (33/1) at this C&D 7 days ago, faring best of those held up. Not without each-way hope.
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Timeform
11
(10)
Horse silk
Storm Asset17
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-2| J: Joanna Mason| T: D Shaw| OR:  48
8/1
Eighteen runs since last win in 2023. Visored for 1st time, creditable third of 11 in handicap (14/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago, faring best of those held up. Up in trip and he shouldn't be far away.
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Timeform

Forecasts

Olympicus (4/1), Caramay (5/1), Chagall (5/1), Bay Of Naples (15/2), Storm Asset (8/1), Jimmy Mark (8/1), My Brother Mike (9/1), Lednikov (9/1), Bond Spirit (12/1), Total Lockdown (33/1), Riffa Fort (100/1)

Verdict

Though below par of late, CHAGALL could be worth chancing in this wide-open contest. He is now 7 lb below his last winning mark and shades preference ahead of My Brother Mike and Storm Asset. Last-time-out Wolverhampton scorer Caramay has more on his plate here and is probably worth taking on this time.

  1. Chagall5/1
  2. My Brother Mike9/1
  3. Storm Asset8/1

Prize Money

1st: £2,983.002nd: £1,400.003rd: £699.004th: £350.005th: £174.00

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