19:00 Southwell

Thursday 28 September 2023

All17:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

At The Races App Market Movers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Off time: 19:06 | Winning time: 1m 41.12s

(4)

Smart Deal^h³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: K T O'Neill| T: Alice Haynes

11/1

Hood on for 1st time in this code, first run since leaving James Owen when fourth of 11 in maiden at Chelmsford City (10f, 50/1) on Flat debut 35 days ago. This fair hurdler needs considering.

Form: 4

(9)

Favorite Boy⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Frederick Larson⁽³⁾| T: M Appleby

66/1

Third of 5 in minor event at Beverley (9.9f, heavy, 40/1) on flat debut 8 days ago. Needs to build on it.

Form: 3

(8)

First Cut¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Marco Ghiani| T: W J Knight

80/1

Twice-raced maiden. 14/1, fifth of 8 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 19 days ago. More is required.

Form: 55

(5)

Inspiritus

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Cameron Noble| T: R Varian

11/2

60,000 gns foal, €75,000 yearling, Sea The Stars gelding. Half-brother to 1¼m winner Corky. Dam, 7f-1¼m winner, half-sister to very smart 11f winner (stayed 14.6f) Romsdal. Noteworthy newcomer.

Form:

(10)

Kodi Hawk¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Cam Hardie| T: D Shaw

200/1

Twice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in minor event (250/1) at Kempton (6f) 10 days ago. Significantly up in trip with work to do.

Form: 69

(2)

Notability¹³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: T E Whelan| T: J Candlish

28/1

41/10 and tongue strap on, encouraging debut third of 7 in maiden at Saint-Cloud (8f, heavy) 139 days ago on sole run for Francis-Henri Graffard. Well bred and can build on it for his new yard.

Form: 3

(3)

Raqeebb²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: P J McDonald| T: S & E Crisford

3/1

9/2, promising fourth of 9 in maiden at Chelmsford City (8f) on debut 28 days ago. Should have more to offer.

Form: 4

(11)

Running Star

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: David Probert| T: H Palmer

22/1

80,000 gns foal, Zoustar colt. Dam 6f-8.6f winner. Highly respected on his debut.

Form:

(7)

Sniper's Eye⁴⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: J P Spencer| T: D M Simcock| OR: 82| BF

8/11

Fair maiden who comes here on the back of a good fifth of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, good to firm) 47 days ago. Leading form claims back in maiden company.

Form: 4425

(1)

Carat Gold⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Jonathan Fisher⁽⁵⁾| T: D Shaw

250/1

Last of 10 in minor event at Kempton (8f, 200/1) on debut 6 days ago, very slowly away.

Form: 0

Non-Runners

(6)

Roman Princess²²

Weight: 9-3| Age: 4

T: J T Stimpson J: Jonathan Fisher

Forecasts

Sniper's Eye (8/11), Raqeebb (3/1), Inspiritus (11/2), Smart Deal (11/1), Roman Princess (16/1), Running Star (22/1), Notability (28/1), Favorite Boy (66/1), First Cut (80/1), Kodi Hawk (200/1), Carat Gold (250/1)

The market should reveal plenty here but it is still hard to side against SNIPER'S EYE who holds the clear edge on form and can gain a deserved breakthrough success. Both Smart Deal and Notability are less exposed and can have a say, while Roger Varian's newcomer Inspiritus and Chelmsford fourth Raqeebb need factoring in too.