15:20 Southwell

Sunday 12 February 2023

All13:5014:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:50

Scu Fancies Expert Tips By BetUK Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Off time: 15:21 | Winning time: 1m 15.38s

(13)

Less Is More¹⁰⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-4| J: G Lee| T: Miss J A Camacho| CD

7/1

25/1, won 6-runner C&D novice on debut in October, overcoming pace bias. Likely more to come and respected despite the penalty.

Form: 1-

(11)

Ghost Lights²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: K Shoemark| T: C Hills

5/1

16/1, seventh of 12 in maiden at Kempton (6f) on debut 26 days ago, not knocked about. Open to progress.

Form: 7

(9)

Hidden Code¹¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Cam Hardie| T: Ollie Pears

50/1

Thrice-raced maiden. 50/1, best effort when fifth of 9 in novice at Newcastle (6f), nearest finish. Off 110 days. Open to further improvement.

Form: 775-

(7)

Originally¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J Butler| BF

8/1

Encouraging third of 14 in novice at Lingfield (7f) on debut in late December. Bit disappointing when only fourth of 7 at Newcastle (7f again) since. Drops to 6f now. Player on the debut effort.

Form: 3-4

(5)

Rose King

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: D Swift| T: S Dixon

15/2

70,000 gns 2-y-o but resold for €4,000 later in the year. Tasleet colt. Half-brother to smart 6f winner Gustavus Weston and winner up to 6f Kape Moss. Dam 1m winner (including at 2 yrs) who stayed 1¼m. Watching brief is advised on debut.

Form:

(4)

Smasher⁴⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: William Carson| T: M J Attwater

17/2

Promising type. 2 lengths fourth of 11 in novice at Wolverhampton (6f, 40/1) on debut 47 days ago. May well do better.

Form: 4-

(3)

Crown Land

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Saffie Osborne| T: G Boughey

14/1

14,000 gns Territories filly. Closely related to 5f winner Beneficiary and half-sister to winner up to 9.5f Locked N' Loaded. Dam maiden (stayed 9.5f). Newcomer from a very good stable. Market confidence likely significant.

Form:

(1)

Just A Spark²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: David Probert| T: B R Millman| BF

5/1

Twice-raced maiden. Second of 7 in maiden over this C&D (9/4) 22 days ago, still looking green. Remains open to progress. Big player.

Form: 42

(2)

Mick Says No

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Aidan Keeley⁽⁵⁾| T: M J Attwater

80/1

€11,000 by Camacho. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5f-7.3f winner Guessthebill. Dam, 2-y-o 6f-7f winner, sister to smart winner up to 1m Lovelace. Smasher has to be considered the yard first string unless the betting strongly hints otherwise.

Form:

(10)

Ritarocks¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Josephine Gordon| T: P S McEntee

250/1

150/1, last of 10 in maiden at this course (5f) on debut 10 days ago, very slowly away. Up in trip.

Form: 0

(6)

Scramble¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Callum Shepherd| T: C Allen| OR: 68

5/2

Modest form. 4/1, creditable second of 11 in novice at Chelmsford (6f) 10 days ago.

Form: 42-332

Non-Runners

(12)

Dalton Lane

Weight: 9-1| Age: 3

T: Phillip Makin J: S H James

(8)

We'renotreallyhere²⁰

Weight: 9-1| Age: 3

T: J & S Quinn J: Jason Hart

(14)

Carranita²⁹

Weight: 8-10| Age: 3

T: J R Jenkins J: Connor Beasley

Forecasts

Scramble (5/2), Just A Spark (5/1), Ghost Lights (5/1), Less Is More (7/1), We'renotreallyhere (7/1), Rose King (15/2), Originally (8/1), Smasher (17/2), Crown Land (14/1), Dalton Lane (20/1), Hidden Code (50/1), Mick Says No (80/1), Carranita (100/1), Ritarocks (250/1)

Although JUST A SPARK failed to step up on her debut form when second over C&D last time there were still signs of greenness so there may yet be more to come and she's preferred to Wolverhampton fourth Smasher. C&D debut scorer Less Is More is another likely to be on the premises, while a market move for George Boughey newcomer Crown Land would also bring her into the reckoning.