16:30 Southwell

Tuesday 25 January 2022

All16:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

MansionBet Beaten By A Head Handicap

Off time: 16:33 | Winning time: 1m 42.06s

(12)

Al Qaasim^p1⁴^{(ex 5)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Jason Watson| T: D O'Meara| OR: 55| CD

3/1

Didn't need to improve to win 12-runner handicap (9/2) at this C&D 4 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and more will be needed under a penalty this time.

Form: 76706-1

(2)

Lady Alavesa¹⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-8| J: Billy Garritty| T: M Herrington| OR: 56| D

33/1

Seventh of 11 in handicap (28/1) at this C&D 16 days ago, nearest finish. Now 8 lb below last winning mark, but others make more appeal all the same.

Form: 74557-7

(10)

Hardy²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: Jessica Macey| OR: 55

50/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable eighth of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 33/1) 26 days ago. Likely to find a few too good once more.

Form: 55558-

(8)

Masham Moor¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Paula Muir⁽³⁾| T: C W Fairhurst| OR: 55| CD

2/1

Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (4/1) at this C&D 16 days ago, readily. 4 lb rise by no means harsh and should make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick.

Form: 99751-1

(5)

Reclaim Victory^p²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Ben Robinson| T: B Ellison| OR: 54

14/1

Fifteen runs since last win in 2019. Good second of 10 in handicap at this C&D (11/1) 24 days ago, slowly away. Likely to be on the premises once more. Yard also saddles Paddy Elliott.

Form: 38465-2

(11)

Paddy Elliott^p,t²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Harry Russell⁽³⁾| T: B Ellison| OR: 53

25/1

Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. 7/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 24 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Yard fields a more compelling candidate in Reclaim Victory.

Form: 44543-9

(6)

Van Dijk^b⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Brittain| OR: 52| CD

25/1

Unreliable type. C&D winner. Three wins from 22 runs last year. 50/1, 12¾ lengths ninth of 12 to Al Qaasim in handicap at this C&D 4 days ago. Needs to bounce back in a major way.

Form: 0P060-9

(9)

Fact Or Fable^p⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Liam Keniry| T: J S Moore| OR: 51| D

20/1

Two wins from 41 Flat runs, the latest win at Kempton earlier this month. 7/2, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at this course (7.1f) 6 days ago. Place possibilities.

Form: 444-124

(3)

Cusack⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Connor Beasley| T: D Thompson| OR: 51| CD

6/1

C&D winner in December. Good third of 12 in handicap back here (11/2) 9 days ago and should again be competitive off the same mark.

Form: 8691-3

(1)

Stand Free^h⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: P Mulrennan| T: Suzzanne France| OR: 51| D

7/2

Latest win at Newcastle in January. Creditable ½-length third of 12 to Al Qaasim in handicap at this C&D (17/2) 4 days ago, clear of rest. 5 lb better off with that rival now and she merits respect.

Form: 8474-13

(4)

Dubai Elegance^p⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 9-1| J: Jamie Gormley| T: D Shaw| OR: 49| CD

25/1

C&D winner on penultimate start. Bit below form seventh of 14 in minor event (15/2) back here 6 days ago and she looks vulnerable.

Form: 998-317

(7)

Outofthegloom¹⁹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: Faye McManoman⁽³⁾| T: B Rothwell| OR: 45

125/1

66/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm). Off 6 months and she's essentially opposable.

Form: 564209-

Forecasts

Masham Moor (2/1), Al Qaasim (3/1), Stand Free (7/2), Cusack (6/1), Reclaim Victory (14/1), Fact Or Fable (20/1), Paddy Elliott (25/1), Dubai Elegance (25/1), Van Dijk (25/1), Lady Alavesa (33/1), Hardy (50/1), Outofthegloom (125/1)

MASHAM MOOR has really found his feet of late, following up his Newcastle breakthrough success with plenty to spare over this C&D last time. It could be argued that he has got off lightly with just a 4 lb rise and the hat-trick beckons. Stand Free is taken to reverse recent C&D placings with Al Qaasim on these revised terms and is second choice ahead of Reclaim Victory.