16:30 Southwell

Saturday 1 January 2022

All12:3313:0813:4314:1814:5315:2816:0016:30

Betway Casino Handicap

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 58.63s

(11)

The Thin Blue Line¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 72| CD

11/8

5/1, career best when winning 14-runner C&D handicap 10 days ago, driven clear. Raised 8 lb but still much respected.

Form: 608831-

(12)

Moonraker¹⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 9-7| J: Theodore Ladd⁽³⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 70| CD

20/1

Five-time 5f winner here on Fibresand. Creditable third on the new surface here latest. Should figure.

Form: 309203-

(10)

Son And Sannie^p²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: L Morris| T: A Watson| OR: 70| D

33/1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2020. Last of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6f) 21 days ago.

Form: 525570-

(2)

Not Now Zeb^b³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Jonathan Fisher⁽⁵⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 69| D

12/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2020. 40/1 and blinkered first time, respectable third of 8 in C&D handicap 3 days ago, unable to sustain effort.

Form: 054003-

(1)

Grandfather Tom^v¹⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-6| J: Grace McEntee⁽⁵⁾| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 69| D

40/1

Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. 9/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) 19 days ago.

Form: 956518-

(6)

Giorgio Vasari³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Jason Hart| T: I Furtado| OR: 65

40/1

First run since leaving Derek Shaw when last of 9 in handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford (5f) 37 days ago. Hard to fancy on recent efforts.

Form: 005699-

(7)

Highest Ambition¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Marco Ghiani| T: C Wallis| OR: 65

15/2

Second of 10 in C&D handicap 16 days ago, keeping on after slow starts. Less exposed than a lot of these.

Form: 698782-

(8)

Impressor^p¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Rowan Scott| T: Phillip Makin| OR: 65

20/1

Sixteen runs since last win in 2019. Creditable third of 10 in C&D handicap at this C&D (11/1) 16 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Not discounted.

Form: 800303-

(9)

Strong Power⁵⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: K T O'Neill| T: Alice Haynes| OR: 65| D

14/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2020. Bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap (11/2) at Newcastle (5f) 57 days ago, never nearer.

Form: 534648-

(5)

Portelet Bay^t,v¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: Cam Hardie| T: P D Evans| OR: 64

20/1

Three wins from 14 runs last year. Latest win at Bath in July. Creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6f, 18/1) 10 days ago.

Form: 164326-

(4)

Bert Kibbler¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Connor Beasley| T: T D Barron| OR: 62| D

4/1

Off 4 months (had wind surgery), shaped as if better for run when 4¼ lengths third of 14 to The Thin Blue Line over C&D 10 days ago. Needs considering.

Form: 125373-

(13)

Jumira Bridge^t¹⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 8-6| J: Joey Haynes| T: D Shaw| OR: 55| D

66/1

Three wins at start of year, but his recent efforts haven't been up to much. Starting to look well treated but something to prove at present.

Form: 086600

(14)

Helmora¹⁴⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-6| J: Frederick Larson⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 55

50/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 14/1, below form eighth of 14 on 5f Nottingham handicap debut in August. Off since. Remains unexposed but she's tough to make a good case for.

Form: 7358-

(3)

Oriental Lilly^p¹⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 8-6| J: Amie Waugh⁽⁵⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 55| D

14/1

Latest win at Newcastle in November. Respectable third of 10 in handicap (7/2) at Newcastle (6f) 18 days ago, faring best of those held up. Not taken lightly.

Form: 302123-

Forecasts

The Thin Blue Line (11/8), Bert Kibbler (4/1), Highest Ambition (15/2), Not Now Zeb (12/1), Strong Power (14/1), Oriental Lilly (14/1), Portelet Bay (20/1), Impressor (20/1), Moonraker (20/1), Son And Sannie (33/1), Grandfather Tom (40/1), Giorgio Vasari (40/1), Helmora (50/1), Jumira Bridge (66/1)

BERT KIBBLER left the impression the run was just needed after a break when third to The Thin Blue Line over C&D just before Christmas and a 9 lb swing in the weights could be enough for David Barron's charge to turn the tables. Oriental Lilly and Highest Ambition are others to consider in an open finale.