13:40 Nottingham

Wednesday 27 October 2021

All13:0513:4014:1514:5015:2315:5516:2516:55

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Off time: 13:42 | Winning time: 1m 44.07s

(3)

Mostawaa¹³⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: S De Sousa| T: H Main| OR: 87| D

11/2

Seventh of 10 in handicap at Sandown (10f, good, 16/1) when last seen in June. Now 2 lb lower and will be a danger to all if reproducing the level of form he showed during the spring.

Form: 1-32407

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(2)

Imperial Command¹⁵³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Elisha Whittington⁽⁵⁾| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 84| D

16/1

Two wins from 5 runs this year. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (40/1) at Sandown (8f, soft) on latest start in May and others make more appeal.

Form: 1-71196

(11)

Rogue Bear²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: David Egan| T: Tom Clover| OR: 85| CD

7/4

Promising individual. 14/1, career best when winning 15-runner handicap at this C&D (soft) 21 days ago, suited by increase in trip. 6 lb rise fair and he should have more to offer.

Form: 1341

(4)

Poet's Lady¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Connor Beasley| T: T D Barron| OR: 81| D

9/1

Latest win at Beverley in May. 6/1, last of 13 in handicap at Haydock (8.2f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Possibly in the handicapper's grip for now.

Form: 2-75310

(6)

Shawaamekh^t¹⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: K Stott| T: D Carroll| OR: 77

13/2

Twenty runs since last win in 2019. Creditable fourth of 20 in handicap (11/1) at York (7f, soft) 19 days ago. Looks vulnerable from a win point of view.

Form: 043464

(1)

Urban Violet¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Tom Marquand| T: M R Channon| OR: 80

12/1

Ninth of 13 in handicap (28/1) at Haydock (8.2f, good to soft) 12 days ago, not clear run. Has edged back down to an attractive mark and she's not without hope.

Form: 634039

(8)

Gainsbourg²³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: P J McDonald| T: E Bethell| OR: 76| D

9/1

10/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Pontefract (8f, heavy) 23 days ago, keeping on well. Gone up 6 lb for that and this is more demanding.

Form: 383161

(10)

Diffident Spirit³³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Ray Dawson| T: T Kent| OR: 76| D

16/1

Two wins from 5 runs this year, the latest at Newbury in July. 40/1, last of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (9f, good to firm) 33 days ago. Others preferred.

Form: 5-16178

(7)

Hot Chesnut¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: David Probert| T: D K Ivory| OR: 71

12/1

Seventh of 9 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 12/1) 16 days ago, needing stronger gallop. More will be needed if she's to open her account at the seventh time of asking.

Form: 354327

(9)

Al Erayg^p,t²³

Age: 8| Weight: 8-5| J: J P Sullivan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 65| D

25/1

Fifteen runs since last win in 2020. 5/1, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, heavy) 23 days ago. Likely to find a few too good once more.

Form: 777595

(5)

Libby Ami^h1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: Cam Hardie| T: D Shaw| OR: 65| D

50/1

Latest win at Carlisle in August. 25/1, first run since leaving Grant Tuer when creditable third of 12 in handicap at Bath (8f, good) 14 days ago, never nearer. Hood on 1st time.

Form: 613233

Forecasts

Rogue Bear (7/4), Mostawaa (11/2), Shawaamekh (13/2), Gainsbourg (9/1), Poet's Lady (9/1), Hot Chesnut (12/1), Urban Violet (12/1), Diffident Spirit (16/1), Imperial Command (16/1), Al Erayg (25/1), Libby Ami (50/1)

The unexposed ROGUE BEAR makes plenty of appeal on the back of his decisive C&D success 3 weeks ago, for which a 6 lb rise is hardly draconian. He is seemingly versatile ground-wise and further progress is on the cards. Gainsbourg has won two of his last three starts and should give a good account, but bigger threats may be posed by Urban Violet and Mostawaa.