18:30 Kempton

Tuesday 22 October 2019

All16:5517:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

32Red Casino Novice Stakes

  • 2YO only  |   Class 5  |   6f  |   Standard / Slow  |   11 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 18:33  |   Winning time: 1m 13.16s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
(8)
Horse silk
Danyahh147
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-9| J: K Shoemark| T: Owen Burrows| BF| D
5/1
Debut winner at Nottingham over 6f handling the testing conditions well but proved to be an odds-on disappointment at Haydock under a penalty when last seen. Hood now on for the first time switched to the AW; worth another chance.
2
(7)
Horse silk
Raaeb17
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-9| J: Jim Crowley| T: S bin Suroor| BF
2/5
Looked a good prospect when making a winning debut at Doncaster over 7f; built on that debut promise in softer conditions despite only finishing second over the same trip at Newmarket (no match for useful winner); should improve again on AW.
3
(5)
Horse silk
Almuerzo Loco19
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R Hannon
12/1
Half-brother to three winners who showed on his debut that he had ability and would come on for the run when finishing midfield over 7f on the AW at Lingfield. Not knocked about he should fare better despite the drop down to 6f.
4
(6)
Horse silk
Al Verde119
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: Charles Bishop| T: A Stronge
80/1
Twice-raced maiden who showed some promise on his debut at Salisbury (6f, soft) although he did look rather green. Failed to back that run up on his latest start at Brighton again over 6f; first run on AW, will be more at home with a mark.
5
(2)
Horse silk
33/1
Cost 57,000 guineas as a yearling; makes his debut here, half-brother to several winners, including useful 2yo 6f winner Natalie's Joy. Sire Lethal Force has a good record here; would have to be very useful to make a winning debut but worth noting.
6
(12)
Horse silk
50/1
Newcomer, stable 7-39 with 2yo debutants this year, cost £35,000 as a yearling. Half-brother to three winners, including useful 7f-1½m winner Open 'N Shut and 6f winner Effectual; faces a tough introduction from a wide draw.
7
(11)
Horse silk
80/1
Shown very little in two turf starts at Newbury and Newmarket over 6f and 7f respectively getting left well behind last time. Hard to fashion a case as he steps onto the AW for the first time.
8
(9)
Horse silk
Mackelly27
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes
40/1
Easy to back on his debut over 7f here this first foal by Ivawood ran to only a modest level looking very much one for the longer term. Likely to come on for that run but difficult to imagine him making an impression on the principals.
9
(10)
Horse silk
Newton Jack159
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-2| J: Rob Hornby| T: W S Kittow
125/1
Fast Company colt; half-brother to several winners including 2yo 6f winner Epona and 7f winner Ella Brown. Yard 1-50 with juveniles in the last five seasons, can only be watched after showing little on his debut over 5f at Salisbury.
10
(1)
Horse silk
8/1
80,000 guineas yearling with a pedigree that makes plenty of appeal; half-brother to 2yo 5f/6f winner Come On Leicester, dam, 2yo 5f winner. Shaped with plenty of encouragement on his Wolverhampton debut, one to consider here with progress to come.
11
(4)
Horse silk
Colouring21
Age: 2|  Weight: 8-11| J: L P Keniry| T: E Walker
16/1
Held back by inexperience on her Haydock 6f debut (considerately handled) she showed that she was capable of better. Duly improved over 5f here last time (still not the finished article) when second; open to further improvement.

Non-Runners

12
(3)
Horse silk
Molly Shaw
Weight: 8-11|  Age: 2
T: C F Wall  J: Non Runner
NR

Forecasts

Raaeb (2/5), Danyah (5/1), Streeton (8/1), Almuerzo Loco (12/1), Colouring (16/1), Bajan Breeze (33/1), Mackelly (40/1), Good Time Charlie (50/1), Molly Shaw (50/1), Al Verde (80/1), Jungle Capers (80/1), Newton Jack (125/1)

Verdict

The two penalised runners ought to have this to themselves unless one of the likely improvers Streeton or Colouring can rock the boat. That pair ought to be winning soon but both face a stiff enough task despite receiving weight from the likes of RAAEB and Danyah. The first named of that pair ran a little too freely last time when running into a top class prospect and he ought to regain the winning thread stepping onto the AW for the first time. Danyah from a yard that are among the winners looks to be the main danger although he does have to bounce back from a disappointing run last time. Best of the rest are Almuerzo Loco and newcomer Good Time Charlie.
  1. Raaeb
  2. Danyah
  3. Streeton

Previous Winners

2018
Fox Champion
Weight: 9-2  |Age: 2
11/8

Prize Money

1st: £3,881.002nd: £1,155.003rd: £577.004th: £289.00

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