20:25 Southwell Wed 16 October 2019

  • Visit attheraces.com Handicap (Class 6)
  • 1m 13y, Standard
  • 14 Runners
  • Winner£2,782.002nd£828.003rd£414.004th£400.005th£400.006th£400.007th£400.008th£400.00
  • Surface: Fibresand
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 42.02sOff time:20:28:00
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1
(9)
49-10OR: 62BFD
7/1

4lb higher than when winning on Polytrack at Lingfield (1m) three starts back; perfectly entitled to figure positively if suited by the application of cheekpieces/switch to Fibresand.

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2
(12)
49-10OR: 62CD
4/1

Never reached the leaders when finishing ninth of 14 to Makambe over C&D 12 days ago; that said, is also 2lb lower than when running out a decisive 3L winner over C&D in April; a possible player if revived.

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3
(5)
59-8OR: 60C
5/1

Better suited by a test of stamina nowadays (won here over 6f from his current mark last December); kept on well when third to Atalanta Queen (Break The Silence second) over C&D last week; similar place claims.

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4
(1)
49-7OR: 59
20/1

Won a Chelmsford novice (7f) for Marcus Tregoning in July 2017 before a truncated season in 2018; 0-6 for Roger Fell in 2019 and makes minimal appeal as a result.

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5
(3)
39-6OR: 61
15/2

Ten-race maiden who is fitted with newly applied blinkers seeking the breakthrough; is now rated 10lb lower than when finishing fourth of seven to Love Your Work over C&D in May.

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6
(2)
39-5OR: 60
10/1

15-race maiden; placed on his last couple of starts, including when finishing 2¾L third to the reopposing Break The Silence here (7f) last month; his earlier turf form suggests that he just about stays 1m.

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7
(6)
49-3OR: 55
50/1

Mount Nelson gelding; has shown precious little to enthuse over in five starts for Mick Appleby (1m-1m3f+); easing in the weights on return from a 421-day absence; Fibresand debut; stablemate of Roser Moter.

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8
(10)
59-3OR: 55BFCD
11/4

Three-time course winner (7f); worn down in the shadow of the post by Atalanta Queen (Mr Strutter third) when well supported over C&D last week; 2lb well-in; another solid effort is considered probable; 2-3 for the 7lb claimer Jonathan Fisher.

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9
(8)
Oblatep162
39-3OR: 58
33/1

Beaten a mere 2½L when fourth to Muhaarar's Nephew in a soft ground 1m+ Beverley maiden (66-1) in June; dealt a difficult draw on handicap debut; 4lb lower in newly applied cheekpieces; worth a market check.

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10
(11)
38-11OR: 52BFCD
22/1

6lb higher than when winning a Class 6 C&D handicap in May (runner-up next time); off the track for four months since disappointing at Lingfield (7-4f) in June.

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11
(4)
38-8OR: 49
25/1

Seven-race maiden; 20-1 when finishing sixth of 13 to Break The Silence (Abie's Hollow third) over 7f here last month; 2lb lower for her first attempt at 1m (stamina questionable).

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12
(7)
48-8OR: 45
66/1

Seven-race maiden; unruly in the stalls when well beaten (12th of 13) at Wolverhampton in January; has previous Southwell experience (fourth) but remains an unlikely candidate on his first competitive start for 275 days.

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13
(13)
48-8OR: 45
100/1

Has had plenty of trainers during her racing career, moving onto Dan Skelton (hurdles) after winning on the AW at Wolverhampton for Eve Johnson Houghton; regressive for Mick Appleby (0-8).

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14
(14)
38-5OR: 45
100/1

Nine-race maiden; is yet to turn her hand to AW racing, although did have an abortive attempt over hurdles at Stratford in July; poorly drawn; first-time blinkers are applied; very unlikely.

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Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Break The Silence (11/4), Bond Angel (4/1), Mr Strutter (5/1), Savitar (7/1), Fiction Writer (15/2), Abie's Hollow (10/1), Watheer (20/1), Crazy Spin (22/1), The Thorny Rose (25/1), Oblate (33/1), Bunker Hill Lad (50/1), Wicklow Warrior (66/1), Roser Moter (100/1), Pinkie Pie (100/1)

Verdict

The rock-solid option is the three-time course winner Break The Silence who has related form with a number of these rivals, including Mr Strutter, Abie's Hollow and The Thorny Rose. Scott Dixon's five-year-old was grabbed close home over C&D last week, spoiling Jonathan Fisher's perfect record aboard (now 2-3). He really deserves to win over 1m on Fibresand, and should figure prominently. However, for a more sporting bet, we'll chance our arm on the lightly-raced filly OBLATE. She was dealt a tough draw on handicap debut at Beverley and switches to Fibresand sporting newly applied cheekpieces. She could out-run her projected odds for an in-form trainer.
  1. Oblate
  2. Break The Silence
  3. Mr Strutter

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T: M L W Bell

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