20:25 Southwell

Wednesday 16 October 2019

All17:2517:5518:2518:5519:2519:5520:25

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Off time: 20:28 | Winning time: 1m 42.02s

(9)

Savitar^p1¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Luke Catton⁽⁷⁾| T: J R Boyle| OR: 62| BF| D

7/1

4lb higher than when winning on Polytrack at Lingfield (1m) three starts back; perfectly entitled to figure positively if suited by the application of cheekpieces/switch to Fibresand.

Form: 263163

(12)

Bond Angel¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: B A Curtis| T: P D Evans| OR: 62| CD

4/1

Never reached the leaders when finishing ninth of 14 to Makambe over C&D 12 days ago; that said, is also 2lb lower than when running out a decisive 3L winner over C&D in April; a possible player if revived.

Form: 458779

(5)

Mr Strutter⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: A Elliott| T: Ronald Thompson| OR: 60| C

5/1

Better suited by a test of stamina nowadays (won here over 6f from his current mark last December); kept on well when third to Atalanta Queen (Break The Silence second) over C&D last week; similar place claims.

Form: 250063

(1)

Watheer⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Paula Muir⁽⁵⁾| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 59

20/1

Won a Chelmsford novice (7f) for Marcus Tregoning in July 2017 before a truncated season in 2018; 0-6 for Roger Fell in 2019 and makes minimal appeal as a result.

Form: 870006

(3)

Fiction Writer^b1²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: P J McDonald| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 61

15/2

Ten-race maiden who is fitted with newly applied blinkers seeking the breakthrough; is now rated 10lb lower than when finishing fourth of seven to Love Your Work over C&D in May.

Form: 438846

(2)

Abie's Hollow¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Ben Robinson| T: T Coyle & K Wood| OR: 60

10/1

15-race maiden; placed on his last couple of starts, including when finishing 2¾L third to the reopposing Break The Silence here (7f) last month; his earlier turf form suggests that he just about stays 1m.

Form: 305733

(6)

Bunker Hill Lad⁴²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 55

50/1

Mount Nelson gelding; has shown precious little to enthuse over in five starts for Mick Appleby (1m-1m3f+); easing in the weights on return from a 421-day absence; Fibresand debut; stablemate of Roser Moter.

Form: 05400-

(10)

Break The Silence^b⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Jonathan Fisher⁽⁷⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 55| BF| C| D

11/4

Three-time course winner (7f); worn down in the shadow of the post by Atalanta Queen (Mr Strutter third) when well supported over C&D last week; 2lb well-in; another solid effort is considered probable; 2-3 for the 7lb claimer Jonathan Fisher.

Form: 701162

(8)

Oblate^p1⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Brisland| OR: 58

33/1

Beaten a mere 2½L when fourth to Muhaarar's Nephew in a soft ground 1m+ Beverley maiden (66-1) in June; dealt a difficult draw on handicap debut; 4lb lower in newly applied cheekpieces; worth a market check.

Form: 6440

(11)

Crazy Spin^p¹¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Gabriele Malune⁽³⁾| T: I Furtado| OR: 52| BF| CD

22/1

6lb higher than when winning a Class 6 C&D handicap in May (runner-up next time); off the track for four months since disappointing at Lingfield (7-4f) in June.

Form: 374120

(4)

The Thorny Rose²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: A Mullen| T: M Dods| OR: 49

25/1

Seven-race maiden; 20-1 when finishing sixth of 13 to Break The Silence (Abie's Hollow third) over 7f here last month; 2lb lower for her first attempt at 1m (stamina questionable).

Form: 509056

(7)

Wicklow Warrior^p²⁷⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Nathan Evans| T: P D Niven| OR: 45

66/1

Seven-race maiden; unruly in the stalls when well beaten (12th of 13) at Wolverhampton in January; has previous Southwell experience (fourth) but remains an unlikely candidate on his first competitive start for 275 days.

Form: 78445-0

(13)

Roser Moter^p,t²²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: L Morris| T: M Appleby| OR: 45

100/1

Has had plenty of trainers during her racing career, moving onto Dan Skelton (hurdles) after winning on the AW at Wolverhampton for Eve Johnson Houghton; regressive for Mick Appleby (0-8).

Form: 089077

(14)

Pinkie Pie^b1¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Crook| OR: 45

100/1

Nine-race maiden; is yet to turn her hand to AW racing, although did have an abortive attempt over hurdles at Stratford in July; poorly drawn; first-time blinkers are applied; very unlikely.

Form: 7-49807

Forecasts

Break The Silence (11/4), Bond Angel (4/1), Mr Strutter (5/1), Savitar (7/1), Fiction Writer (15/2), Abie's Hollow (10/1), Watheer (20/1), Crazy Spin (22/1), The Thorny Rose (25/1), Oblate (33/1), Bunker Hill Lad (50/1), Wicklow Warrior (66/1), Roser Moter (100/1), Pinkie Pie (100/1)

The rock-solid option is the three-time course winner Break The Silence who has related form with a number of these rivals, including Mr Strutter, Abie's Hollow and The Thorny Rose. Scott Dixon's five-year-old was grabbed close home over C&D last week, spoiling Jonathan Fisher's perfect record aboard (now 2-3). He really deserves to win over 1m on Fibresand, and should figure prominently. However, for a more sporting bet, we'll chance our arm on the lightly-raced filly OBLATE. She was dealt a tough draw on handicap debut at Beverley and switches to Fibresand sporting newly applied cheekpieces. She could out-run her projected odds for an in-form trainer.