14:15 Carlisle

Friday 31 May 2019

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:4517:20

Longtown Handicap

Off time: 14:19 | Winning time: 1m 16.46s

(13)

Dancing Rave²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: D Nolan| T: D O'Meara| OR: 65

9/2

Won on debut at Beverley (5f, good to soft) last July; twice a runner up on similar ground since, including at Leicester (6f) in October; appears to be reasonably handicapped.

Form: 4242-09

(5)

Sarasota Bay⁶⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 65

8/1

Coach House filly; prominent racer; twice placed with cut underfoot as a juvenile, including on debut at Haydock (6f, soft); handicap debut; stablemate of Here's Rocco.

Form: 33-4

(3)

Here's Rocco²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Barry McHugh| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 63

40/1

Overall, and taking everything into consideration his form isn't the strongest on offer (0-5); stablemate of Sarasota Bay; dropping back in trip from 1m and also another 4lb in the weights since running at Nottingham (last of 12) three weeks ago.

Form: 005-80

(2)

Timetodock^b¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 61| BF| D

7/2

Game 6f Catterick nursery winner last October; on the premises in each of his last couple of starts, most notably when beaten less than 2L by Fairy Fast at Ripon (6f, good) 12 days ago; holds a few of these rivals; draw?

Form: 410-733

(14)

Pinarella³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: A Mullen| T: B Haslam| OR: 61

6/1

Nine-race maiden (often placed); competes off the same mark as when finishing just under 2L third to Obee Jo in a 6f Thirsk maiden auction (good) last month.

Form: 3256-23

(4)

Vigorito²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: R P Downey| T: T D Barron| OR: 60

20/1

Placed (beaten 8½L) in a C&D maiden (good to soft) last August; her other two efforts weren't the most promising - too keen on seasonal reappearance at Nottingham (6f, soft); makes her handicap debut.

Form: 83-0

(10)

The Thorny Rose¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Paula Muir⁽⁵⁾| T: M Dods| OR: 59

25/1

Finished fifth of 12 in a 6f fillies' maiden at Redcar (good to firm) earlier this month, with the fourth placed Raspberry a winner at Ayr on Tuesday; rather disappointing next up at Doncaster (6f); handicap debut.

Form: 050

(12)

Lexikon²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Jamie Gormley⁽³⁾| T: Ollie Pears| OR: 54

5/1

Developing into a consistent low-grade performer; made all and held on determinedly to beat Fitzy by a neck at Redcar (1m) last month; given her run style she's well worth trying over this shorter trip; holds every chance.

Form: 5-29213

(7)

Popping Corks¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 54| D

20/1

Sole win in 16 starts came on the AW at Newcastle (6f nursery); has knocked at the door over 5f at Musselburgh in recent times; ran adequately on soft ground for Richard Hannon in early 2018.

Form: 9-63033

(1)

Allsfineandandy²⁰²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Sean Davis⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss L C Siddall| OR: 51

12/1

Dandy Man colt; gelded after struggling to make much of an impression in three runs in novice/maiden contests (all over 6f on soft); makes his handicap debut from a lowly perch.

Form: 888-

(15)

Highjacked¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Phil Dennis| T: J J Davies| OR: 50

5/1

Eight-race maiden; placed on three previous occasions, including when coming on leaps and bounds from a poor run previously to finish a keeping on third to Kermouster at Ripon (6f, good).

Form: 7303-03

Non-Runners

(6)

Darwina¹⁶³

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: A C Whillans J: J Garritty

(8)

Joey Boy⁹

Weight: 8-13| Age: 3

T: K A Ryan J: T Eaves

(16)

Zalmi Angel¹²

Weight: 8-8| Age: 3

T: Adrian Nicholls J: J Fanning

(9)

Just A Rumour¹²

Weight: 8-3| Age: 3

T: N Wilson J: Non Runner

(11)

Shesadabber²⁸

Weight: 8-2| Age: 3

T: B P J Baugh J: D Fentiman

Forecasts

Timetodock (7/2), Dancing Rave (9/2), Highjacked (5/1), Lexikon (5/1), Pinarella (6/1), Joey Boy (6/1), Sarasota Bay (8/1), Allsfineandandy (12/1), Shesadabber (12/1), Zalmi Angel (14/1), Vigorito (20/1), Popping Corks (20/1), Darwina (20/1), The Thorny Rose (25/1), Just A Rumour (25/1), Here's Rocco (40/1)

Soft ground and a big field of essentially moderate horses, some of whom will no doubt be late developers makes this a potentially very difficult puzzle to solve. However, we'll focus upon those drawn high with the likes of the feasibly handicapped Dancing Rave (13) and Highjacked (15) both figuring on the radar as possible winners, whilst Timetodock (who has solid form) is taken on from stall 2. Perhaps the most logical approach is to keep things simple and rely on the Ollie Pears-trained LEXIKON (12) who has been displaying plenty of early speed over 1m, and could realistically make every single yard of the running now dropped back in trip to 6f.