13:40 Newbury

Friday 26 October 2018

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:3517:10

Join Hot To Trot For 2019 Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Str) (Div 1)

Off time: 13:44 | Winning time: 1m 46.31s

(2)

Babbo's Boy²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: W Buick| T: M L W Bell

16/1

Mastercraftsman half-brother to useful 7f/1m winner Lanansaak and 1m½f winner Estebsaal. Some promise on debut but would needs significant improvement for a stable out of form at present.

Form: 7

(1)

Craster²⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Jason Watson| T: H Morrison

4/1

Headed late on when showing big improvement first to second start over two furlongs further at Bath. Quick ground seemed to suit so drying conditions would be a plus. Rates a leading contender.

Form: 43

(8)

Current Option¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: G Mosse| T: W J Haggas

7/4

Son of Camelot who cost 62,000 gns as a yearling. Only likely to improve having looked in need of experience on debut and did some good late work that suggested this trip will only help. Looks a live danger.

Form: 2

(3)

Ede's

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Paddy Bradley⁽⁵⁾| T: P Phelan

100/1

Sir Percy colt who doesn't catch they eye over a trip likely too short on debut. Looks a stiff task and best watched.

Form:

(10)

Enhanced

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Rob Hornby| T: H Morrison

100/1

Son of New Approach, is bred to need further in time and stable hasn't really fired with their juveniles this campaign. Others preferred on debut.

Form:

(12)

Good Birthday¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding

10/1

€500,000 purchase by Dabirsim was well fancied on disappointing debut at Ffos Las. Left that behind when well suited by soft ground and unlucky not to win at Windsor and should only improve. Likely to be involved again.

Form: 72

(9)

High Commissioner

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Jim Crowley| T: P & O Cole

5/1

Nicely bred Australia colt who cost €270,000 as a yearling. Will benefit with extra test of stamina in time but worth noting on debit.

Form:

(11)

Mostawaa

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Fran Berry| T: H Main

100/1

By Poet's Voice and gelded ahead of debut. Cheap purchase at £7,000 and stable not noted for juvenile winners. Easy to overlook.

Form:

(14)

Qarasu

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: K Shoemark| T: H & R Charlton

25/1

Son of Lavre who is bred to appreciate further in time. Looks the type to watch on debut for a stable who could be in better form.

Form:

(15)

Sezim

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian

12/1

Dansili colt out of an unraced dam by Daylami. Represents a strong stable on debut and looks one to very much note in the betting.

Form:

(4)

State Of Affair

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Liam Keniry| T: E Walker

20/1

Giant's Causeway colt who will need a stiffer test of stamina in due course. Cost $65,000 as a yearling and 65,000 gns as a two-year-old and best watched unless significant support on debut.

Form:

(13)

Tigerskin

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: H Crouch| T: R M Beckett

12/1

By Nathaniel out of a Danehill mare who only cost 9,000 gns as a foal. Stable in decent form so worth a precautionary market check.

Form:

(5)

Youarestar

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Edward Greatrex| T: E A L Dunlop

50/1

Sea The Stars colt whose price rose from 110,000 gns as a foal to 145,000 gns as a yearling. Stable having a quiet season with their juveniles and market may prove informative on debut.

Form:

(6)

Gamba²³

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon

50/1

Full-sister to useful juvenile performer Gibeon who shaped with great promise on debut that would put her right in this. However was subsequently most disappointing at Salisbury and likely best watched on that.

Form: 40

Non-Runners

(7)

Bartimaeus

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: D J Coakley J: Charles Bishop

Forecasts

Current Option (7/4), Craster (4/1), High Commissioner (5/1), Good Birthday (10/1), Sezim (12/1), Tigerskin (12/1), Babbo's Boy (16/1), State Of Affair (20/1), Qarasu (25/1), Bartimaeus (33/1), Youarestar (50/1), Gamba (50/1), Mostawaa (100/1), Ede's (100/1), Enhanced (100/1)

Craster seemed to really enjoy the quicker conditions on his second start and may need the ground to dry significantly to be at his very best, however he really did improve from his debut. In contrast GOOD BIRTHDAY may not want it too quick but would have won with a clear run on his second start and has to rate as the leading contender off the back of it. Current Option caught the eye staying on strongly on debut and rates the main danger. Sezim is the pick of the newcomers.