13:30 Brighton

Thursday 18 October 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:3516:0516:4017:15

John Lilley Memorial Handicap

Off time: 13:30 | Winning time: 1m 22.16s

(8)

Popsicle⁴⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁷⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 60| BF| D

6/1

Made breakthrough success on start number 12 at Wolverhampton but disappointed off this revised mark at Leicester. Possibly found the ground too quick and could bounce back.

Form: 576219

(11)

Lady Marigold²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Georgia Dobie⁽⁷⁾| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 58

12/1

Yet to add to juvenile success and hasn't found the anticipated improvement since wind surgery. Dropping to a low mark now but others stronger.

Form: 544355

(9)

Lifeboat^b1⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jason Watson| T: C Hills| OR: 57

10/1

Inconsistent maiden who was well beaten last start. Blinkers added and takes a sharp drop in trip but remains a risky proposition.

Form: 965735

(14)

Live Dangerously^v1⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-1| J: K T O'Neill| T: J J Bridger| OR: 54| CD

25/1

Goes well here and made it three wins in total over this C&D with back-to-back wins earlier this year. Not in anywhere near the same form since and remains opposable.

Form: 110680

(16)

Mimram^t²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R Winston| T: D K Ivory| OR: 54

33/1

Very well beaten and has failed to beat a horse in two starts following a break and remains best watched.

Form: 322708

(1)

Affluence⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S W Kelly| T: Martin Smith| OR: 54

16/1

14-race maiden who has had a couple of seconds at Leicester that would give him hope but balance of form and recent efforts makes him one to swerve.

Form: 425068

(7)

Confrerie²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Liam Keniry| T: George Baker| OR: 53

9/2

Maiden after eight starts but the best of his runs did at least come at this track (over a mile). However needs to find extra, particularly following his latest third in a seller.

Form: 575253

(15)

Rivers Of Asia⁶²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Tom Marquand| T: Martin Smith| OR: 52

12/1

Can be a tricky ride and has proven hard to win with. Takes a sharp drop in trip and easy to look elsewhere following latest well beaten effort.

Form: 714560

(13)

Baby Gal¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Charlie Bennett| T: J R Boyle| OR: 50

8/1

Sole win from 26 efforts came on her second start back in May 2016. Often placed and decent second at Chelmsford last time. Place possibilities again off 1lb lower.

Form: 635292

(3)

Alqalsar^p⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: J Mitchell| T: J M Bradley| OR: 50

50/1

Showed promise early on for Brian Meehan but has now finished last in five of his six runs for current stable and only beat two horses home on the other occasion.

Form: 805900

(6)

Arctic Flower¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: Liam Jones| T: J J Bridger| OR: 49| D

16/1

Has dropped to a very fair mark and not disgraced at Epsom last time. However all five career wins have come at Lingfield and tends to reserve her best for there.

Form: 9-70775

(5)

Captain Sedgwick^h1¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: Hayley Turner| T: J L Spearing| OR: 49| D

8/1

Both wins have come off a mark of 45 and 3lb higher at present. Disappointed at Bath and needs first-time hood to spark improvement.

Form: 841538

(12)

Miss Recycled⁸²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: M Madgwick| OR: 49

100/1

Maiden who has shown little in four starts to date. Withdrawn after playing up in the stalls ahead of intended handicap debut and one to swerve.

Form: 905-5

(10)

Corporal Maddox^p,h³¹

Age: 11| Weight: 8-9| J: David Probert| T: R Harris| OR: 48| CD

33/1

C&D winner way back in 2014 and current mark is plummeting, however is proving regressive this season and remains best watched.

Form: 068977

(4)

Harlequin Rose^v³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Nicola Currie⁽³⁾| T: P R Chamings| OR: 47| C

9/2

Sole win from 20 starts came at this track and has raced to a consistent level in latest three visits here. Likely to go well again.

Form: 764322

(2)

Suni Dancer⁴⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 8-8| J: Poppy Bridgwater⁽⁵⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 46| C

18/1

Just four wins from 54 starts and latest third came in a selling handicap. May be one to oppose from 1lb out of the handicap.

Form: 0-59073

Forecasts

Confrerie (9/2), Harlequin Rose (9/2), Popsicle (6/1), Baby Gal (8/1), Captain Sedgwick (8/1), Lifeboat (10/1), Lady Marigold (12/1), Rivers Of Asia (12/1), Arctic Flower (16/1), Affluence (16/1), Suni Dancer (18/1), Live Dangerously (25/1), Mimram (33/1), Corporal Maddox (33/1), Alqalsar (50/1), Miss Recycled (100/1)

POPSICLE didn't look at home on the quicker ground following her AW success and with her previous best on turf coming on an easier surface, she can be given another chance in a weak contest. Baby Gal remains hard to win with but should be involved once more. Likewise Harlequin Rose only has the one win to her name but deserves another success and rates the main danger.