17:40 Kempton

Wednesday 10 October 2018

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

Close Brothers/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div 1)

Off time: 17:47 | Winning time: 1m 25.28s

(8)

Ajrar¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon| OR: 94

6/1

Debut winner at Lingfield in July (6f), but has found Group and Listed company all too competitive since; finished last of nine in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes (7f) latest; stablemate of Orliko.

Form: 12559

(1)

All Points West¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott

66/1

€45,000 yearling; far too green to do himself justice on debut at Lingfield (1m) last month when finishing ninth of ten to Living Legend; stablemate of Starter.

Form: 9

(3)

Buffalo River¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 89| BF

11/10

Half-brother to the 7f AW winner Secret Insider; turned over at odds of 2/9f over C&D last month (drew well clear with the winner), but rates as the form horse with his earlier Doncaster third handsomely franked by Royal Marine and Turgenev.

Form: 232

(6)

Golden Valour⁵⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: W Buick| T: C Appleby

9/2

Kingman colt; gelded since his last appearance (7f, Yarmouth); strong possibility that this will lead to an improved effort.

Form: 96

(5)

Originaire

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Oisin Murphy| T: W J Haggas

11/4

€50,000 yearling; seventh foal; half-brother to three winners including Final Frontier (6f); market helpful.

Form:

(9)

Orliko

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Hollie Doyle| T: R Hannon

14/1

£30,000 juvenile; seventh foal who is closely related to Tigrilla (6f-7f) and I Say (1m1f), and also a half-brother to four other winners; stablemate of Ajrar.

Form:

(12)

Starter

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Ryan Tate| T: Sir Mark Prescott

66/1

Sea The Stars gelding; eighth foal out of the 2m-2m1f winner Froglet; half-brother to a couple of winners including Newt (1m5f); stablemate of All Points West.

Form:

(4)

Supreme Chance

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Rob Hornby| T: M Blanshard

66/1

Unraced first foal out of a 1m+ winning dam (Avon Supreme); this race looks plenty competitive enough in which to be starting off.

Form:

(7)

Lady Reset

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: H Crouch| T: P D Evans

66/1

Unraced third foal out of a 1m2f-1m4f winning dam (Reset City); likely to be suited by further in time and not expected to figure competitively tonight.

Form:

(2)

Redemptive¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Liam Keniry| T: J Butler

66/1

66/1 on debut at Pontefract (6f, good) last month when a slowly away and well beaten seventh of nine to Reloaded; switched to Polytrack seeking a major improvement.

Form: 7

(11)

Yimkin

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Harry Bentley| T: H & R Charlton

20/1

Kingman filly; second foal out of a 6f juvenile winning dam (Orphea); interesting to see how she figures in the market in comparison to those with more racing experience.

Form:

Non-Runners

(10)

Derry Boy⁶⁹

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: C G Cox J: A Kirby

Forecasts

Buffalo River (11/10), Originaire (11/4), Golden Valour (9/2), Ajrar (6/1), Orliko (14/1), Yimkin (20/1), Derry Boy (25/1), Redemptive (66/1), All Points West (66/1), Lady Reset (66/1), Starter (66/1), Supreme Chance (66/1)

The penalised Ajrar has boxed outside of his comfort zone (in Listed and Group races) since winning on debut at Lingfield in July and ought to be far more competitive in this much lesser race. However, unfortunately for his connections, he clashes with the John Gosden-trained BUFFALO RIVER. Despite being turned over at very short odds over C&D last month, his earlier third placed effort at Doncaster sets the standard, with that form handsomely franked over the weekend by both the winner Royal Marine (Longchamp) and the runner-up Turgenev (Newmarket).