16:55 Leicester

Tuesday 9 October 2018

All14:1514:5015:2015:5016:2516:5517:3018:00

Red Deer Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 16:58 | Winning time: 1m 9.88s

(4)

Compas Scoobie⁵^{(ex 6)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-13| J: Cameron Noble⁽⁵⁾| T: S C Williams| OR: 70| D

11/4

Penalised for winning on AW at Chelmsford last time, but has already shown that he can compete from this sort of mark this season. More needed, but each-way claims.

Form: 330451

(3)

Ninjago¹¹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-9| J: Oisin Murphy| T: P T Midgley| OR: 72| D

3/1

On a 16-race losing run, but was beaten just 1L from 1lb lower over C&D in August and the same from this mark next time at Doncaster. Bit more needed, but enters calculations.

Form: 384230

(8)

The Right Choice¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Connor Murtagh⁽⁵⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 70| BF| D

11/2

Only win came over this trip at Pontefract (soft) in May, when 2lb lower. Beaten just 1½L back there from 1lb higher last time, so entitled to claims here, especially if there is rain.

Form: 93-1043

(7)

Swissal^p²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: David Dennis| OR: 70| D

16/1

Won at Brighton (6f, good to firm) in June, when 1lb lower. Several respectable efforts from higher marks since then. More needed, but an each-way player.

Form: 143445

(10)

Hammer Gun^v³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: F Norton| T: D Shaw| OR: 67| D

10/1

All seven wins have been on AW and he is 0-9 on turf, where he has barely got competitive. Watch.

Form: 188007

(9)

Twilight^p¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Rob Hornby| T: T D Easterby| OR: 66| C| D

8/1

In good form with three wins from her last five starts, including from 3lb lower at Hamilton (6f, soft) last time. More needed, but going the right way. Claims.

Form: 310191

(5)

Wensley^p¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 64| BF

20/1

Soft ground 5f winner for James Bethell last year. Best run for this stable was when ¾L second to Twilight at Hamilton last time. 2lb better off here and has claims if able to reproduce that effort.

Form: 5-67762

(12)

Bidding War^b¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: J P Spencer| T: J Tate| OR: 62

10/1

Still early days in handicaps and beaten 3L on each of her last two starts, from 2lb and 1lb higher respectively. Bit more needed, but each-way claims.

Form: 5-43747

(6)

Isabella Mayson^b1²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: M Harley| T: W S Kittow| OR: 60

33/1

Beaten just over 3L from 3lb higher at Ffos Las (6f, good to firm) two starts ago. Well held at Salisbury last time. Blinkers now fitted but is 0-9 and has a bit to prove.

Form: 6-74030

(2)

Ignight^p,t⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽⁵⁾| T: Mat Salaman| OR: 45

150/1

16-race maiden who had been well held in all three starts since returning from a lengthy absence. Can only watch.

Form: 800/777

(11)

Queen Of Dreams²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: David Egan| T: W J Knight| OR: 53| D

33/1

Won a Lingfield handicap (6f, AW) in May, when 5lb lower. Disappointing at Kempton on her last two runs. Bit to prove, not least on turf.

Form: 7-61309

Non-Runners

(1)

Tundra¹⁶⁴

Weight: 9-5| Age: 4

T: A Carson J: Ryan Tate

Forecasts

Compas Scoobie (11/4), Ninjago (3/1), The Right Choice (11/2), Twilight (8/1), Bidding War (10/1), Hammer Gun (10/1), Swissal (16/1), Wensley (20/1), Tundra (25/1), Queen Of Dreams (33/1), Isabella Mayson (33/1), Ignight (150/1)

Modest stuff here and TWILIGHT is taken to improve sufficiently to defy her latest 3lb rise and make it four wins from six starts. Wensley is entitled to respect, though consistency is a concern, while Bidding War and Swissal are not ruled out. Ninjago merits plenty of respect, while slower ground would make The Right Choice a candidate.