15:00 Newmarket

Thursday 12 July 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:20

bet365 Handicap

Off time: 15:01 | Winning time: 1m 11.57s

(15)

Savalas²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan| OR: 103

16/1

Improving with every start this year and only narrowly denied a four-timer at York last month behind Encrypted. 5lb rise makes life tougher but the third has already franked the form of his win last time and he's clearly thriving at present.

Form: 57-1112

(17)

Roussel²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: James Doyle| T: C Appleby| OR: 102| D

12/1

Very smart juvenile but yet to show that he's improved from two to three-years-old and well beaten at Royal Ascot when last seen, albeit in Group 1 class. Return to handicaps is a positive and he's not without each-way claims.

Form: 222-130

(9)

Staxton¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 100| D

16/1

Finished a respectable fourth of 20 behind a couple of these at York two starts back but didn't really build on that at Newcastle last time. Others probably better handicapped.

Form: 633-444

(19)

Stormbringer³³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: M Harley| T: K A Ryan| OR: 98| D

12/1

A winner at Redcar as a juvenile and while that's his sole success in six starts, he's run well in defeat in a couple of handicaps. Interesting if the drop back in trip brings about some improvement.

Form: 317-334

(6)

Gabrial The Saint²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 97| BF| D

16/1

Well beaten in his hat-trick bid behind several of these at York last time. May want a step up to 7f to be seen at his best and needs improvement to land a blow here.

Form: 23-4118

(10)

Breathless Times^t1⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Adam J McNamara⁽³⁾| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 96| DWS

10/1

Won his first two starts of the season but his propensity to miss the break has scuppered his chances on his last two outings. Has his first start since a wind operation here and others make more appeal.

Form: 2-1148

(16)

Helvetian¹⁰⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Charles Bishop| T: M R Channon| OR: 95| D

50/1

Inconsistent sort but ran well when only beaten 1L in a valuable AW Championships race at Lingfield when last seen. Interesting runner on return to turf on a feasible handicap mark and yard have been flying so far this season.

Form: 4-21335

(2)

Encrypted²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: R L Moore| T: H Palmer| OR: 94| D

10/1

Improved from his reappearance to win a valuable and competitive handicap at York last time out. Rates as the type to carry on improving this year and only up 6lb for that success. Should run well.

Form: 9019-51

(8)

Foxtrot Lady²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| OR: 94| BF| D

8/1

Denied in her hat-trick bid at York last time out when fifth behind several of these including Encrypted. Yard have hit some form in recent weeks and that was the first time since her debut she's finished outside the first three. Place claims.

Form: 3-22115

(5)

Desert Doctor²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: G Mosse| T: E Walker| OR: 94| D

33/1

All four of his wins have come on AW. Ran with credit here when third on return to turf in April. Has struggled a little on two subsequent starts but he's better than that and he gets the services of a jockey who rides this course well.

Form: 516370

(18)

Tribal Quest⁶⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: W Buick| T: C Appleby| OR: 94| D

6/1

Improving and has won both his starts in 2018, getting the better of a subsequent winner over 6f on the Rowley course when last seen. Handicapper hasn't gone overboard with a 7lb rise and should continue to improve.

Form: 228-11

(12)

Tricksy Spirit⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: J F Egan| T: M R Channon| OR: 93| D

33/1

Has only won two of her 12 starts. Ran well in Listed company at Sandown in June but has struggled at pattern level since and handicap mark has taken a hit. Can't be entirely ruled out dropped in class with the step up in trip likely to suit.

Form: 374278

(1)

Grand Koonta^p1³³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Oisin Murphy| T: C G Cox| OR: 92| D

20/1

Impressive winner at Windsor last year but he's been well below his best in two starts this year but he's been well below form in two outings this year. Needs first-time cheekpieces to spark a return to form.

Form: 2185-07

(20)

Roundhay Park²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Lewis Edmunds⁽³⁾| T: N Tinkler| OR: 92

33/1

A winner of two of his four starts this year and made all at Ripon last time out. May struggle up at this level though from a higher mark.

Form: 10-1441

(7)

Tadbir²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Jim Crowley| T: B J Meehan| OR: 91| D

25/1

Well beaten on his sole start as a juvenile but returned with a win at Chelmsford in April. Not at his best on soft ground at Epsom but he wasn't beaten far at Sandown last time and he's been dropped 2lb for that run. Should run well.

Form: 5-1255

(4)

Kimifive¹¹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Nicola Currie⁽³⁾| T: J Tuite| OR: 85| D

33/1

Belatedly off the mark at Windsor on his 11th start and followed up under a penalty over the same C&D last time out. Will find this much tougher from his revised mark though and he looks up against it in his hat-trick bid.

Form: 4-28211

(14)

Buridan⁵^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Hayley Turner| T: R Hannon| OR: 85| CD

7/1

Has won three of his five starts including a C&D success and he's seen at his best when allowed to dominate from the front, as seen on his last couple of starts. Well in under a penalty here but may find it tough to dominate these rivals.

Form: 15-211

(13)

Jawwaal²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 89

7/1

Denied in his hat-trick bid behind several of these at York last time but he met interference that day. Still unexposed and not necessarily the second string given the light weight he carries. Should run well.

Form: 33-4119

(11)

Embour¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon| OR: 89| C| D

12/1

Arrives here bidding for a four-timer after a course win over 5f last time out. Only up 4lb for that win and the step back up in trip may help him defy the rise. Not ruled out.

Form: 3-7111

(3)

Music Society¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: David Egan| T: S Kirk| OR: 88

33/1

Looked like a smart prospect last year but hard to fancy after a trio of disappointments this campaign in a race this competitive.

Form: 212-866

Forecasts

Tribal Quest (6/1), Buridan (7/1), Jawwaal (7/1), Foxtrot Lady (8/1), Breathless Times (10/1), Encrypted (10/1), Stormbringer (12/1), Embour (12/1), Roussel (12/1), Savalas (16/1), Staxton (16/1), Gabrial The Saint (16/1), Grand Koonta (20/1), Tadbir (25/1), Roundhay Park (33/1), Kimifive (33/1), Music Society (33/1), Desert Doctor (33/1), Tricksy Spirit (33/1), Helvetian (50/1)

The owner of TADBIR and Jawwaal won this race last year and both his runners have live chances this time around. Preference is for Tadbir with the drop in trip likely to suit and the handicapper has shown some leniency dropping him 2lb for his latest effort. Encrypted had many of these in behind at York last time and may be capable of confirming the form with just a 6lb rise to cope with.