17:10 Chelmsford City

Friday 6 July 2018

All17:1017:4518:2018:5519:3020:0520:4021:15

Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 17:11 | Winning time: 1m 16.5s

(2)

Arden Warrior¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Edward Greatrex| T: A Watson| BF

6/1

Stepped up from his debut to chase home a penalised winner at Beverley. Needs to improve again but comes from a yard having a good year with it's juveniles. Also engaged Epsom 6:30 Thursday.

Form: 522

(8)

Chance²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: J Mitchell| T: S & E Crisford

14/1

Lope De Vega colt, cost €220,000 as a yearling. Dam a winner and half-sister to a US Grade 2 winner amongst other pattern level performers. Supported in the market when facing Calyx but ultimately the run was needed.

Form: 5

(6)

Indomitable

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding

14/1

170,000 gns foal by Invincible Spirit out of a Listed winner who has produced a US dirt winner. Stable 0-12 with this age group here and 1-23 with their juveniles in 2018.

Form:

(1)

Jfoul^h1²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: K Stott| T: S bin Suroor

9/4

Stable have a 41% strike rate here with this age group. Whilst he rates the pick on form, he failed to improve on his debut and he does look vulnerable. Hood fitted for AW debut.

Form: 55

(4)

Massam

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: S De Sousa| T: C & M Johnston

2/1

350,000 gns son of Dubawi out of a dam who landed an AW Group 3. Looks a likely type on paper for a yard having a great year with this age group.

Form:

(3)

Startego

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Louis Steward| T: H Palmer

5/1

New Approach half-brother to a couple of winners. Yard off to an uncharacteristically slow start with it's youngsters and this looks a decent heat.

Form:

(5)

Zmhar⁴⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: R Winston| T: J Tate

14/1

Son of Shamardal and a half-brother to the stables dual winner Certified. Weak in the market in what looked a good race on debut, but both the second and third have been trounced since.

Form: 4

Non-Runners

(7)

Dobbia

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: M Botti J: A Fresu

Forecasts

Massam (2/1), Jfoul (9/4), Startego (5/1), Arden Warrior (6/1), Indomitable (14/1), Zmhar (14/1), Chance (14/1), Dobbia (16/1)

Jfoul and Arden Warrior set reasonable but achievable standards and as such MASSAM is taken to make a winning debut for the Johnston/De Sousa combination. The son of Dubawi is out of an AW Group 3 winning mare and it is well-documented how well the stable's juveniles have been faring lately. Chance was supported on debut but, like many in that race, was swept aside by Calyx. However, he gave the impression he would improve for the run and the extra furlong.