18:15 Kempton

Tuesday 24 October 2017

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

32Red Casino Handicap

Off time: 18:17 | Winning time: 1m 39.67s

(7)

Freddy With A Y^b⁷^{(ex 6)}

Age: 7| Weight: 9-10| J: Kieren Fox| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 52| C

7/1

Ended a long, losing run when winning well over 7f at this track a week ago. Goes up 1f under a 6lb penalty so would do well to register back-to-back successes.

Form: 495081

(14)

Doctor Bong^b¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: L Morris| T: G Harris| OR: 55| D

16/1

Outran odds off 33-1 when second of 14 over C&D on latest outing. Has to cope with a 1lb rise, but should be thereabouts if in the same mood.

Form: 501592

(9)

Freight Train^p²⁰²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Tom Marquand| T: A Wintle| OR: 54

10/1

Boasted decent form when trained by Mark Johnston, but has been out of sorts since switching to current yard. Has tumbled down the weights as a result and is 16lb lower than his last winning mark.

Form: 00-9909

(13)

Caribbean Spring¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Jane Elliott⁽⁵⁾| T: G G Margarson| OR: 54

16/1

Behind Dr Bong when sixth over C&D last time and is 2lb lower. He is capable of a bold show if able to get across from his wide draw.

Form: 400766

(3)

Kafeel^b⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: H Crouch⁽³⁾| T: G & J Moore| OR: 53| D

15/8

Blinkered for the first time when finishing second of 14 over 7f at this course on latest start. Runs off the same mark and should be effective over this longer distance.

Form: 8-84462

(10)

Ixelles Diamond³⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: Oisin Murphy| T: L Carter| OR: 53| D

50/1

Last success came in a 1m Lingfield handicap in March, but he has struggled off higher marks since. He is now only 2lb higher than when last successful, but needs to show more.

Form: 442078

(11)

Living Leader⁶⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-4| J: Ben Robinson⁽⁵⁾| T: G Harris| OR: 52| CD

33/1

Won back to back AW handicaps earlier this year, including one over C&D and he is only 1lb higher than for that success. Recent displays have not been quite so good and he needs to return to his earlier form.

Form: 112057

(4)

Binky Blue⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: S W Kelly| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 52

7/1

Respectable second to Freddy With A Y a week ago and weighted to turn the tables on that rival. Has never won over 1m, however.

Form: 595332

(6)

Sonnet Rose^t⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: M Dwyer| T: C Allen| OR: 55

50/1

Has hit the frame only once in five starts and she was beaten over 15L in that contest. Has been running over middle distances so it will be interesting to see how she fares over this shorter trip.

Form: 70307

(12)

Reason To Believe⁹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: George Wood⁽³⁾| T: D G Bridgwater| OR: 54

66/1

Failed to win in 13 starts in France and starts out for a new trainer. Difficult to get a handle on her form, so she is worth a look in the betting.

Form: 939040

(8)

Tarseekh^v⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: A Kirby| T: C Gordon| OR: 51

11/2

Wore a visor for the first time when showing improved form to finish second over C&D last week, Runs off the same mark with the headgear retained, so has to go on the short list.

Form: 858702

(1)

Dor's Law^p⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: Rob Hornby| T: D K Ivory| OR: 49

16/1

Still a maiden after 14 starts, but ran well when third of nine at Yarmouth in first-time cheekpieces on her latest start. Can go well off 2lb lower.

Form: 045603

(5)

Welsh Inlet¹⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 9-0| J: William Carson| T: J J Bridger| OR: 48| C| D

40/1

Approaching the veteran stage and is clearly not as good as she was. Handicap mark has fallen accordingly, but others make more appeal.

Form: 664896

(2)

Swiftee^v¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: David Probert| T: I Furtado| OR: 47

12/1

Remains a maiden after 16 starts. Last two runs on turf have been respectable, though, and he is worth a second glance on his return to the AW.

Form: 084055

Forecasts

Kafeel (15/8), Tarseekh (11/2), Freddy With A Y (7/1), Binky Blue (7/1), Freight Train (10/1), Swiftee (12/1), Dor's Law (16/1), Caribbean Spring (16/1), Doctor Bong (16/1), Living Leader (33/1), Welsh Inlet (40/1), Ixelles Diamond (50/1), Sonnet Rose (50/1), Reason To Believe (66/1)

Freddy With A Y looks vulnerable under his penalty and his recent victim Binky Blue has yet to win over this trip, so this may be best left to TARSEEKH, who ran well to be second over C&D last week in a first-time visor and can run off the same mark with the headgear retained. Reason To Believe is the dark horse of the race and is worth a market check, while it is not hard to make a case for Kafeel and Caribbean Spring.