16:10 Ascot

Saturday 7 October 2017

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:45

totepool British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' Listed)

Off time: 16:12 | Winning time: 1m 30.77s

(11)

Pirouette^b²²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: R Winston| T: H Morrison| OR: 107| D

8/1

Unchallenged 5L winner of a German Listed contest in August (7f, soft), having gone close in a similar event over 1m here previously. Took a step backwards in Group 3 company at Doncaster last time and may be vulnerable conceding weight all round.

Form: 283216

(2)

Bumptious^p¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: I Mohammed| OR: 80| D

33/1

Has proven herself a very capable handicapper this season, making it three wins from her last five starts with a good win over 1m at Chelmsford last time. Masses of improvement needed to win in this company though.

Form: 011221

(4)

Eternally²²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 106| CD

10/11

Very progressive last year, gaining the best of her four wins when readily making all the running in this very race (good to soft). Twice a runner-up in Group 3 company in a light campaign this year and looks the one to beat.

Form: 3211-22

(1)

Havre De Paix²⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Ted Durcan| T: D Menuisier| OR: 91| BF

20/1

Has recovered from a lull in form to produce two cracking second-place efforts in handicaps on this course, most recently behind Amabilis over 1m (good to soft). Something to find at this level, however.

Form: 0-00272

(12)

Hells Babe³⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 98| D

40/1

Much-improved since joining this yard, winning back-to-back 7f handicaps at Doncaster and York earlier in the year. Fourth in a Listed event at Musselburgh since, though a disappointing favourite in Germany last time. Would need a career best.

Form: 351146

(3)

Orangey Red⁴¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: L F Roche| T: W T Farrell| OR: 94| D

50/1

A winner twice in Ireland since leaving Dermot Weld's stable but few signs she's up to winning at this level, though did manage fourth in a similar event at Chester. Struggled in a Group 3 last time and others look more likely.

Form: 811404

(8)

Belle Meade³⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Rob Hornby| T: A M Balding| OR: 89

66/1

Not won since her debut at Pontefract and very disappointing at Chelmsford last time out. Plenty to find on form with this field given that she arrives with the second lowest official rating in the race.

Form: 1763-57

(6)

Bletchley⁶⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Oisin Murphy| T: R M Beckett| OR: 99| D

10/1

Plenty of juvenile promise and scored nicely on first attempt over 7f at Leicester (good to soft) on her reappearance. Only just beaten in this grade at Carlisle next time and didn't get the clearest of runs at Goodwood latest. One to consider.

Form: 260-127

(10)

Dubara^h1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: L Morris| T: L M Cumani| OR: 91| D

33/1

Proving pretty consistent with two wins and a string of placed efforts to her name but not always convincing and raced very freely when third over 1m at Newmarket last time. Dropped in trip now and hood introduced.

Form: 1-32413

(7)

One Master¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: M Harley| T: W J Haggas

20/1

Sharp pedigree and improved on an encouraging debut at Doncaster to readily oblige in a 6f maiden at Yarmouth on soft ground next time. Interesting to see her pitched straight into this grade over an extra furlong.

Form: 31

(5)

Princess De Lune¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: K Shoemark| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 90| D

12/1

Expensive, well-bred filly who dotted up on her debut at Newbury in the spring but wasn't seen out again until finishing well down the field in a Listed event over 7f there last month. Should come on for that and not ruled out.

Form: 19

(9)

Urban Fox^v¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Jim Crowley| T: J Tate| OR: 99| D

12/1

High-class juvenile last season who finished a runner-up in a Group 3 at Newbury on her return but hasn't quite kicked on as expected, though she was a close-up fourth in a Listed event at Newbury latest. Possibilities once again.

Form: 287484

(13)

Xenobia⁴⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Fran Berry| T: W T Farrell| OR: 92| D

8/1

Progressive Irish raider who opened her account in a Leopardstown maiden in June before swooping late to win a 7f handicap there (yielding) last time out. Likely there is more to come and dangerous to underestimate.

Form: 2-511

Forecasts

Eternally (10/11), Pirouette (8/1), Xenobia (8/1), Bletchley (10/1), Urban Fox (12/1), Princess De Lune (12/1), One Master (20/1), Havre De Paix (20/1), Bumptious (33/1), Dubara (33/1), Hells Babe (40/1), Orangey Red (50/1), Belle Meade (66/1)

Last year's comfortable winner ETERNALLY has done very little wrong in her career so far and has shaped as though retaining all ability by finishing second in a brace of Group 3's in a light campaign. With John Gosden's string in tremendous form, it would be no surprise to see her repeat last year's triumph, though Bletchley is a talented performer who is unlikely to go down without a fight. The totally unexposed One Master is another interesting opponent, whilst Princess De Lune could emerge as a danger if able to build on the promise of her debut debut win.