15:10 Lingfield

Wednesday 30 August 2017

All13:4014:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:10

Hanson Regan 11th Birthday Nursery

Off time: 15:14 | Winning time: 1m 25.14s

(12)

Shoyd¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-9| J: Rossa Ryan⁽⁷⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 62

8/1

Went well on nursery debut two weeks ago and handicapper has taken note. Good claimer booked to soften the blow.

Form: 0892

(11)

Super Florence¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-8| J: Charles Bishop| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 61

8/1

Finished behind Shoyd in a tactical race last time. Weighted to turn the tables now and would benefit from a more truly run race.

Form: 2773

(7)

Freebe Rocks²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Danny Brock| T: M L W Bell| OR: 60

10/1

Has only beaten one home in each of his three starts. Bred to be better suited by this trip and makes his nursery debut with his trainer in good form.

Form: 804

(5)

Mouchee¹⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: S De Sousa| T: P D Evans| OR: 57

7/1

Makes his handicap debut over a new trip and has looked a likely type for a nursery. Top rider 4-12 for the stable this year and very much one to note in early trading. Trainer landed this in 2016.

Form: 597

(14)

Deauville Society²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 57

7/1

Has only shown modest ability so far in maidens but likely to do better now she is sent handicapping. Tackles a new trip from a good draw and stable are 6-20 in past fortnight.

Form: 0055

(13)

Vegas Boy^t⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-3| J: T J Murphy| T: J A Osborne| OR: 56

5/1

Has shown steady improvement with each run and shaped as though ready for this trip last time. Handy draw and does not have much to find.

Form: 5593

(8)

Catch The Pigeon¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: L P Keniry| T: E De Giles| OR: 55

14/1

Had looked one to watch in nurseries but was weak in the market for her debut in this sphere two weeks ago. Dictated a muddling pace that day and may benefit from more patient tactics and a drop in the weights.

Form: 6665

(15)

Red Snapper¹⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Hollie Doyle⁽³⁾| T: W Stone| OR: 55

14/1

Has drawn the "Golden Highway" under the stands rail but a tendency to hang left may negate that advantage. Two best efforts have come with some give in the ground.

Form: 6682

(3)

Rock On Bertie^p¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Tom Marquand| T: N Tinkler| OR: 55

5/1

Has gone close on both starts in nurseries including over 6f here last time. The extra furlong should help but he finds himself drawn wider than ideal.

Form: 085723

(4)

Erastus¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: David Egan⁽⁵⁾| T: M R Channon| OR: 54

25/1

Has only shown modest ability so far and a line through Princess Lyla gives him something to find with Rock On Bertie.

Form: 667497

(9)

Storm Doris^v1⁴⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: S Hitchcott| T: J W Unett| OR: 52

33/1

Has shown little so far on turf and makes her nursery debut in a first time visor. Best effort came when second on the AW but that form has been devalued since.

Form: 6287

(1)

Tarnemah¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: Harry Bentley| T: G Peckham| OR: 52

20/1

Has shown limited ability so far and makes her handicap debut off a modest mark. Faces an easier task but hard to fancy based on what we have seen.

Form: 509

(6)

Rio Santos²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 8-12| J: William Carson| T: B R Millman| OR: 51

16/1

Only beat one home on his nursery debut when the ground was heavy. Dam needed quick conditions and he looks a potential improver on a workable mark.

Form: 7884

(2)

Dream of Delphi^b1⁶⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 8-9| J: Josephine Gordon| T: W J Haggas| OR: 48

16/1

Has looked poor on each start and trainer now opts for blinkers. Tough draw but on the plus side her rider is 2-3 for this yard which boasts an impressive 8-15 record with juveniles here.

Form: 070

(10)

Maveway¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 8-6| J: J Quinn| T: P D Evans| OR: 45

66/1

Has looked poor on each of her three starts to date and rightly earns a basement mark for her nursery debut.

Form: 000

Forecasts

Rock On Bertie (5/1), Vegas Boy (5/1), Mouchee (7/1), Deauville Society (7/1), Super Florence (8/1), Shoyd (8/1), Freebe Rocks (10/1), Catch The Pigeon (14/1), Red Snapper (14/1), Dream of Delphi (16/1), Rio Santos (16/1), Tarnemah (20/1), Erastus (25/1), Storm Doris (33/1), Maveway (66/1)

Mouchee is the most interesting of these as he steps up from 5f to make his nursery debut with Silvestre De Sousa engaged to ride. He is worth monitoring for developments in the market as is Freebe Rocks. Rio Santos is capable of a much improved display at decent odds on this quicker surface and Deauville Society is another potential improver but SUPER FLORENCE is our idea of the winner. She has looked ready for a nursery over this trip but probably found a muddling pace against her at Kempton two weeks ago. She is fancied to reverse placings with Shoyd on these terms and to maintain her yard's good spell of form.