18:20 Chelmsford City
Thursday 23 March 2017
All17:5018:2018:5019:2019:5020:2020:50
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- 4YO plus | Class 7 | 1m 2f | Standard | 13 Runners | Polytrack | Weighed In
- Off time: 18:22 | Winning time: 2m 7.83s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
Been running better of late but losing run is starting to mount up with 17 outings without a win. Needs to be produced late and probably not best suited to this course so he's opposable despite being on a very workable mark.
Showed very little on first two starts back in 2015 and not much better for new yard last time out. Has a tough draw to overcome and while she's entitled to come on for that effort last time, she's hard to fancy with any degree of confidence.
Disappointing in a couple of starts for this yard but career best effort came over C&D and he's been given a short break to freshen him up so every chance if a return to this course revitalises him. Trainer and jockey have a 20.13% strike rate when teaming up.
His only two career wins have come over this sort of trip at Wolverhampton, most recently off a 5lb higher mark 14 months ago. Good effort last time over C&D when having the run of the race but the losing run is starting to stack up and he's no certainty to back that effort up.
Not won since June 2015 but running with some consistency this winter with form figures of 334. Place possibilities if he can get over from his draw but jockey has a poor record at the course (4.84%).
One win from 16 starts and he can be effective when he gets the run of things out front, but that scenario looks unlikely here and trainer running at just 5.26% on the AW this year.
Not won since 2013 and while he's obviously well-handicapped on the best of his form, he's not threatened to show as much in recent starts, including at his preferred course of Lingfield. Jockey does have a good record of 16.33% around here though.
Still a maiden after 17 starts and while she's shaped like this sort of trip would suit in the past, she was poor on her only other start in excess of a mile. Did finish second off a 16lb higher mark just over a year ago at Lingfield so not completely without a hope but hard to put a lot of confidence in her.
Very little chance when out of the handicap at Southwell last time and he's still a maiden after 17 starts. Ran okay in a couple of starts at Bath in the summer of 2015 for his old yard but that's the only meaningful form he brings to the table and hard to fancy after two disappointing starts for this yard.
Still a maiden after 28 starts but has ran well here on a couple of occasions in his career and return to this trip will help after an effort over an extended 1m3f last time. Trainer and jockey have a respectable record at this course so he's not one to put a line through from a handy draw despite the patchy profile.
Inconsistent sort and yet to place in 25 career starts. Life made tougher by wide draw and trainer has a particularly poor strike-rate in the last year (0-87).
10 starts without a win to her name and best efforts have come over 7f so slightly puzzling to see her step up in trip. Trainer 0-32 on the AW over the past 12 months.
Just one win from 48 starts and all his best form has come over further than this. Wide draw to overcome and best performances have come when challenging from off the pace, a tactic difficult to execute around this course.
Non-Runners
4
(15)
Zubaidah421
Weight: 9-5| Age: 5
T: Jane Chapple-Hyam J: Non Runner
NR
11
(16)
King Julien56
Weight: 9-3| Age: 4
T: J Ryan J: Non Runner
NR
16
(1)
Athenian Garden15
Weight: 9-2| Age: 10
T: P Butler J: Jane Elliott
NR
Forecasts
Jazri (3/1), Cahar Fad (4/1), Just Fred (8/1), Flying Author (9/1), Gamesters Lad (10/1), Street Art (12/1), Moving Robe (12/1), Rezwaan (12/1), Zebedee's Girl (12/1), Understory (14/1), Ertidaad (14/1), Zubaidah (20/1), King Julien (25/1), Athenian Garden (25/1), Awesome Rock (33/1), Swinford Lass (33/1)
It says plenty about this race that one of the favoured runners, Flying Author, is maiden with 28 starts but he has a chance returned to a more realistic trip for a trainer and jockey that have a respectable record when teaming up. Zebedee's Girl is another long-standing maiden but she placed off a much higher mark just over a year ago and shouldn't be completely ruled out. However, JUST FRED looks the most interesting runner. The four-year-old's best effort to date came over course and distance and while he's been a little disappointing for this dual purpose trainer in two starts so far, he's someone who usually finds the key to his horses and the booking of Liam Keniry should be seen as a positive.
- Just Fred
- Flying Author
- Zebedee's Girl
Prize Money
1st: £2,588.002nd: £770.003rd: £385.004th: £192.00
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