xG World Cup review: Day eight scorelines according to expected goals

• Day seven xG verdict: Messi magic

What are Infogol fairness ratings?

• We rank every scoreline by comparing it against the range of possible scorelines that could have arisen based on the quantity and quality of chances created. The higher this ranks on a scale of 0-100 the closer it reflects the balance of chances created or the 'fairer' the scoreline is.

Spain 1-1 Germany

• Infogol xG: 0.78 - 1.26
• Fairness rating: 87.67
• Scorers: Morata 62' | Füllkrug 83'

Germany kept their hopes of progression alive with a 1-1 draw against Spain.

Niklas Füllkrug came off the bench to fire in the equaliser, and they will feel that they should have more than just the one point on their tally.

Die Mannschaft's total xG created across the tournament so far is 5.07, yet they've only managed to find the net twice.

That's a good sign for a team who - while they do need another result to go their way - can make progression further in their favour by beating Costa Rica with a few goals scored.

For Spain, it was a contrast to the performance that landed the 7-0 win last time out, but that could be expected given the level of opposition.

Croatia 4-1 Canada

• Infogol xG: 3.24 - 0.64
• Fairness rating: 99.49
• Scorers: Kramaric 36' 70', Livaja 44', Majer 90+4' | Davies 2'

Canada were unable to follow up their strong performance against Belgium as they were well beaten by Croatia.

It's a result that sees the North American side exit the tournament, although Alphonso Davies' early goal was their first ever at a World Cup finals.

The game largely played to Croatia's strengths, with Canada spending the majority of it chasing the game despite finding the net with just over a minute played.

The 3.42 xG posted by Croatia was far higher than the underlying numbers of their 0-0 draw with Morocco - they could only create 0.90 xG in their opening game.

Belgium 0-2 Morocco

• Infogol xG: 1.22-0.50
• Fairness rating: 38.15
• Scorers: Sabiri 73', Aboukhlal 90+2'

Morocco put themselves in a great position to reach the round of 16 with a 2-0 victory over Belgium.

The uninspiring tournament continued for Roberto Martinez's men, who now need a positive result against Croatia to progress to the knockout stages.

It was another clean sheet for Morocco under Walid Regragui's guidance - a strong defensive display for the fifth time with him at the helm.

Belgium's 1.22 xG takes them to 2.20 across their first two games - a worrying return given they have faced the two pre-tournament outsiders in the group.

Romelu Lukaku's return as a second-half substitute gave them one positive, but a team with talent throughout are failing to match expectations.

Japan 0-1 Costa Rica

• Infogol xG: 0.99-0.15
• Fairness rating: 44.13
• Scorers: Fuller 81'

Costa Rica responded to their 7-0 hammering by Spain in the best possible way with a surprise 1-0 victory over Japan.

Keysher Fuller's late effort was enough to secure a crucial three points in Group E, a result that means they still have a chance of progression on Matchday 3.

It was, remarkably, Costa Rica's only shot on target at the tournament so far.

The 0.15 xG was the third-lowest of the World Cup, after the Netherlands could only create 0.11 xG in their 1-1 draw with Ecuador and, of course, Costa Rica in their first game with 0.00.

The Infogol fairness rating of 44.13 further highlights what sort of game this was.

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