18:45 Newcastle

Wednesday 17 October 2018

All17:1017:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

Download The App At 188Bet/British EBF Novice Stakes

  • 2YO only  |   Class 5  |   6f  |   Standard  |   12 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 18:47  |   Winning time: 1m 14.99s
1st
Horse silk
4
(8)
80/1
T: M & D EasterbyJ: Nathan Evans
Slowly away towards rear, headway 2f out, effort when not clear run inside final furlong, switched left and ran to lead close home op 66/1
2nd
Horse silk
½
1
(9)
29-9
11/10f
T: Tom DascombeJ: R Kingscote
Led, ridden over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, headed close home tchd Evens and tchd 5/4
3rd
Horse silk
¾
6
(11)
4/1
T: R A FaheyJ: T Hamilton
Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, every chance inside final furlong, not quicken towards finish op 9/2
4th
Horse silk
2 ¼
9
(12)
12/1
T: R VarianJ: J Mitchell
In touch, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on final furlong tchd 11/1 and tchd 14/1
5th
Horse silk
1 ½
7
(6)
4/1
T: C HillsJ: J Fanning
Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, faded inside final furlong op 5/1 tchd 6/1
6th
Horse silk
½
3
(3)
8/1
T: K R BurkeJ: P J McDonald
Raced green towards rear, pushed along over 1f out, never nearer op 6/1
7th
Horse silk
hd
12
(10)
50/1
T: Adrian NichollsJ: A Mullen
In touch, ridden 2f out, not trouble leaders tchd 66/1
8th
Horse silk
½
8
(1)
100/1
T: R Fell & S MurrayJ: Jamie Gormley (3)
In rear, outpaced over 2f out tchd 200/1
9th
Horse silk
2
11
(7)
100/1
T: D W WhillansJ: Rowan Scott (3)
Close up, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong tchd 200/1
10th
Horse silk
½
2
(4)
250/1
T: L WilliamsonJ: Patrick Pilley (3)
Dwelt in touch, ridden and weakened over 1f out op 80/1
11th
Horse silk
1 ¾
5
(5)
28/1
T: K DalgleishJ: G Lee
In touch, pushed along and weakened over 1f out
12th
Horse silk
10
10
(2)
25/1
T: J & S QuinnJ: Jason Hart
Raced green in rear and soon outpaced tchd 20/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£46.10Pl:£15.80, £1.10, £1.60EX:£318.80Trifecta:£2,463.10SF:£170.61Swingers:£15.20, £22.70, £1.80

Forecasts

Drogon (11/10), Liquid Lunch (4/1), Scottish Blade (4/1), High Contrast (8/1), Spokesman (12/1), Tuscarora Deep (25/1), Jean Merci (28/1), Zalmi Angel (50/1), Jack Berry House (80/1), Slaithwaite (100/1), See My Baby Jive (100/1), Andies Armies (250/1)

Verdict

The standout horse on both form and ratings is Drogon, but he does come with a few risks attached, folding tamely over 1m at Haydock latest and with effectiveness to prove over 6f on Tapeta (first attempt at either). Furthermore, his trainer Tom Dascombe has a modest 16% strike-rate (4-25) at this track, and front-running tactics are never the easiest to adopt at Newcastle, so jockey Richard Kingscote will need to be firmly on his mettle. Therefore, for small stakes we'll look elsewhere and take a chance on the John Dance-owned newcomer HIGH CONTRAST. He is a half-brother to a couple of 1m AW winners and cost 60,000gns as a foal.
  1. High Contrast
  2. Drogon
  3. Jean Merci

Previous Winners

2017
Mountain Breath
Weight: 8-11  |Age: 2
4/1

Prize Money

1st: £3,817.002nd: £1,136.003rd: £568.004th: £284.00

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