18:45 Newcastle

Wednesday 17 October 2018

All17:1017:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

Download The App At 188Bet/British EBF Novice Stakes

  • 2YO only  |   Class 5  |   6f  |   Standard  |   12 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 18:47  |   Winning time: 1m 14.99s
Odds by:
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
Live Odds
Odds
1
Drogon
11/10, 6/5, 5/4, 11/10, 1/1
11/10
6
Liquid Lunch
9/2, 4/1, 9/2
4/1
7
Scottish Blade
5/1, 9/2, 5/1, 11/2, 6/1, 5/1, 9/2
4/1
3
High Contrast
6/1, 13/2, 6/1, 13/2, 7/1
8/1
9
Spokesman
12/1, 14/1, 12/1, 14/1, 12/1, 11/1
12/1
10
Tuscarora Deep
25/1, 20/1
25/1
5
Jean Merci
28/1
12
Zalmi Angel
50/1, 66/1
50/1
4
Jack Berry House
66/1, 80/1, 66/1, 80/1, 66/1
80/1
8
Slaithwaite
100/1, 150/1, 200/1, 150/1, 125/1
100/1
11
See My Baby Jive
100/1, 200/1
100/1
2
Andies Armies
80/1
250/1
SP Book Percentage 119.29

Forecasts

Drogon (11/10), Liquid Lunch (4/1), Scottish Blade (4/1), High Contrast (8/1), Spokesman (12/1), Tuscarora Deep (25/1), Jean Merci (28/1), Zalmi Angel (50/1), Jack Berry House (80/1), Slaithwaite (100/1), See My Baby Jive (100/1), Andies Armies (250/1)

Verdict

The standout horse on both form and ratings is Drogon, but he does come with a few risks attached, folding tamely over 1m at Haydock latest and with effectiveness to prove over 6f on Tapeta (first attempt at either). Furthermore, his trainer Tom Dascombe has a modest 16% strike-rate (4-25) at this track, and front-running tactics are never the easiest to adopt at Newcastle, so jockey Richard Kingscote will need to be firmly on his mettle. Therefore, for small stakes we'll look elsewhere and take a chance on the John Dance-owned newcomer HIGH CONTRAST. He is a half-brother to a couple of 1m AW winners and cost 60,000gns as a foal.
  1. High Contrast
  2. Drogon
  3. Jean Merci

Previous Winners

2017
Mountain Breath
Weight: 8-11  |Age: 2
4/1

Prize Money

1st: £3,817.002nd: £1,136.003rd: £568.004th: £284.00

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