13:25 Fairview

Tuesday 17 October 2023

All11:4012:1512:5013:2514:0014:3515:1015:45

4Racing.tv Mr 68 Handicap

Off time: 13:25 | Winning time: 1m 55.32s

(5)

Alado's Pride^b¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: L Nhlapo| T: Zietsman Oosthuizen| C| D

10/1

C&D winner. Latest win here in August. Good third of 9 in handicap at this course (10.9f, 16/1) 11 days ago.

Form: 198873-

(11)

Law Court^b³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Kendall Minnie| T: Lunga Gila

28/1

Course winner. Winner here in June. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap (33/1) at this course (8f) 32 days ago.

Form: 522100-

(8)

Essos¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: Charles Ndlovu| T: Zietsman Oosthuizen| D

25/1

C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 16/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 18 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Form: 153190-

(10)

Downing Seven⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Robert Khathi| T: Jacques Strydom

12/1

Course winner. Winner here in May. First run since leaving J. P. Nel when respectable sixth of 11 in minor event at this course (7f, 33/1) 4 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.

Form: 418546-

(4)

Then In Focus¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Stallone Naidoo| T: Gavin Smith

17/2

Course winner. One win from 22 Flat runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. Creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at this course (8f, 66/1) 18 days ago.

Form: 795805-

(2)

Beau Kala³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Denis Schwarz| T: Kelly Mitchley

5/1

Course winner. Winner here in July. 9/2, bit below form fifth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 32 days ago. Obvious claims.

Form: 945125-

(7)

Almighwaar⁶⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: C Maujean| T: T Laing| C| D

14/1

C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 20/1, last of 10 in handicap at Fairview (9.9f, good) 60 days ago.

Form: 533700-

(12)

Ellis Island^b⁶⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Nirvan Nastili⁽⁹⁾| T: Kelly Mitchley| C| D

12/1

Latest win here in April. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Fairview (9.9f, good, 5/1) 60 days ago. First run for yard after leaving L. Gila.

Form: 991936-

(9)

Storm Commander^b¹⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 8-11| J: S Khumalo| T: Gavin Smith| C

9/2

Course winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 8/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at this course (8f) 18 days ago.

Form: 583636-

(6)

Mingshi⁶⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: M Yeni| T: Kelly Mitchley

9/2

One win from 24 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 15/4, respectable 3¼ lengths sixth of 10 to Alado's Pride in minor event at this C&D 67 days ago. Difficult ask.

Form: 022326-

(3)

Uncle George¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Mpumelelo Mjoka| T: Sharon Kotzen| BF| C

9/2

Ninth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (4/1) 18 days ago.

Form: 746249-

(1)

Respectable Miss²⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 8-6| J: R Fourie| T: Alan Greeff| C

15/2

Course winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2021. 40/1, last of 14 in handicap at Fairview (9.9f, good) 25 days ago. Booking of Fourie a plus. Uphill task.

Form: 908050-

Non-Runners

(13)

Lord Nelson²⁵

Weight: 9-6| Age: 4

T: Kelly Mitchley J: Eldin Webber

Forecasts

Storm Commander (9/2), Mingshi (9/2), Uncle George (9/2), Beau Kala (5/1), Lord Nelson (6/1), Respectable Miss (15/2), Then In Focus (17/2), Alado's Pride (10/1), Downing Seven (12/1), Ellis Island (12/1), Almighwaar (14/1), Essos (25/1), Law Court (28/1)

BEAU KALA is highest rated of these on the form book and tops the shortlist. Then In Focus is a viable alternative, while Uncle George looks third best.