17:35 Thirsk

Saturday 9 September 2023

All14:0514:4015:1515:5016:2517:0017:3518:10

Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap

Off time: 17:35 | Winning time: 2m 41.48s

(6)

Dubai Welcome²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-2| J: D C Costello| T: S bin Suroor| OR: 85| D

5/2

9/2, respectable fifth of 13 in handicap at Newbury (12f, good) 21 days ago, doing too much too soon. Can make presence felt.

Form: 01/229-5

(3)

Wor Willie²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Connor Beasley| T: M Dods| OR: 83| BF| C| D

9/2

Course winner. Respectable third of 6 in handicap (9/4) at Pontefract (12f, good) 20 days ago so needs shortlisting.

Form: 113-433

(8)

Vaynor⁷⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: G Lee| T: C Hills| OR: 82| D

9/1

Possibly found the race coming too soon when fifth of 7 in handicap at Newbury (12f, good to firm, 15/2) 74 days ago. Has to be taken seriously off an easing mark.

Form: 211-035

(7)

Furzig²³

Age: 8| Weight: 9-11| J: J Garritty| T: R A Fahey| OR: 80| C| D

5/1

Course winner. Tenth of 11 in handicap (12/1) at Windsor (11.4f, good to firm) 23 days ago, missing break. Chance if rediscovering old form.

Form: 105-350

(2)

Knockbrex⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: A Mullen| T: C Johnston| OR: 86

7/1

Winner at Pontefract in April. Fair third of 5 in handicap at Ayr (10f, heavy, 3/1) 40 days ago. Back up in trip. Heading back in the right direction recently.

Form: 124003

(4)

Strawman⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: Mark Winn⁽³⁾| T: G Tutty| OR: 77

13/2

Creditable third of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (11.2f, good, 11/1) 8 days ago, nearest finish. Can give a good account.

Form: 532573

(5)

Shake A Leg^p¹⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: Ryan Sexton⁽³⁾| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 73| D

7/1

17/2, good third of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (12f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Now below last winning mark so very much one to consider.

Form: 39-6803

(1)

Ring Of Beara¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: D Fentiman| T: T D Easterby| OR: 72

22/1

33/1, possibly still needed the run when seventh of 11 in handicap at Epsom (12f, good) 12 days ago. No forlorn hope.

Form: 9770-07

Forecasts

Dubai Welcome (5/2), Wor Willie (9/2), Furzig (5/1), Strawman (13/2), Knockbrex (7/1), Shake A Leg (7/1), Vaynor (9/1), Ring Of Beara (22/1)

None of these can be ruled out but VAYNOR figures on an attractive mark and is worth forgiving his latest Newbury fifth when possibly finding the race coming too soon so edges the vote. Shake A Leg is also weighted to go well so is firmly in the picture, with Knockbrex and Dubai Welcome also well in the mix in an open handicap.