20:30 Wolverhampton

Monday 17 July 2023

All18:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:3021:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Off time: 20:32 | Winning time: 1m 13.87s

(9)

Belle Fourche^p,t²³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: Richard Oliver| T: D O'Meara| OR: 76| CD

33/1

C&D winner. 11/1 and cheekpieces on for first time, last of 7 in handicap at this C&D. Off 7 months and down in class but she isn't the easiest ride.

Form: 081387-

Image of Stars that are filled with the colour gold

(12)

Mohareb¹²⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: Frederick Larson⁽³⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 75| D

16/1

Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 5/1, last of 6 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f). Off 128 days. Needs to cast that run aside with cheekpieces removed.

Form: 768-466

(6)

Bill Plumb⁶⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Billy Loughnane⁽³⁾| T: P S McEntee| OR: 72| CD

4/1

C&D winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. Latest win at Kempton in April. Last of 7 in handicap (4/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 67 days ago, possibly amiss. Given plenty of time to recover.

Form: 333-117

(7)

Rogue De Vega³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: C Lee| T: Tom Clover| OR: 76

6/1

Winner at Chelmsford City in May. Matched that form when second of 5 in novice event at Bath (5f, firm, 16/5) 30 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap debut and isn't exposed but mark asks for more.

Form: 212

(11)

Blue Flame³³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-10| J: Luke Catton⁽⁵⁾| T: S C Williams| OR: 71| C

18/1

Course winner. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 20/1) 33 days ago. Back to a potentially lenient mark on third start for this yard so one to consider despite a wide draw.

Form: 3762-59

(8)

Sergeant Pep²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: J P Fahy| T: C G Cox| OR: 76| CD

9/2

C&D winner. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm, 18/1) 28 days ago, denied a clear run but sticking to his task.

Form: 205844

(10)

Murbih¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Harry Russell⁽³⁾| T: A Brittain| OR: 71| CD

20/1

C&D winner. Twelfth of 14 in handicap (40/1) at Newcastle (5f) 17 days ago. Back up in trip but others come into this in better heart.

Form: 202000

(4)

Thunder Sun⁴²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Morgan Cole⁽⁷⁾| T: D Shaw| OR: 70

80/1

Lightly raced throughout his career and low-key start for this yard, seventh of 8 in handicap at this C&D 42 days ago.

Form: 1367/07

(1)

Asadjumeirah^p,t⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Brittain| OR: 70| D

5/1

Twenty runs since last win in 2022. 9/1, good second of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (6.1f, good to soft) 9 days ago, slowly away. Lot in his favour from the inside stall.

Form: 454382

(5)

Caesars Pearl²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Ray Dawson| T: Craig Lidster| OR: 72| D

15/2

Better than ever when opening account at Pontefract in June. 4/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, firm) 23 days ago, though that run easy to excuse having caught her head on the stalls. Respected.

Form: 252218

(3)

Araifjan⁵³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Connor Planas⁽⁵⁾| T: M Herrington| OR: 62| CD

17/2

C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (9/1) 53 days ago.

Form: 458326

(2)

Erosion Risk¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Darragh Keenan| T: P D Evans| OR: 66

7/1

Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Sixth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm, 12/1) 14 days ago. Career-low mark to exploit.

Form: 322786

Forecasts

Bill Plumb (4/1), Sergeant Pep (9/2), Asadjumeirah (5/1), Rogue De Vega (6/1), Erosion Risk (7/1), Caesars Pearl (15/2), Araifjan (17/2), Mohareb (16/1), Blue Flame (18/1), Murbih (20/1), Belle Fourche (33/1), Thunder Sun (80/1)

Backing ASADJUMEIRAH comes with risks attached given his losing run/tendency to miss the break, but he was back in excellent form when finding only an unexposed 3-y-o too good last week. He's well worth siding with in favour of Caesars Pearl and Blue Flame, who lurks on a dangerous mark.