14:10 Navan

Wednesday 19 October 2022

All13:4014:1014:4515:2015:5516:3017:0517:40

Safer Gambling Handicap (47-70)

Off time: 14:13 | Winning time: 1m 18.81s

(13)

Ever Rock⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 10-2| J: J A Heffernan| T: J J Lambe| OR: 70| C| D

12/1

Produced a career best to come out on top here in September but wasn't in the same form when 7 lengths third of 18 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, soft, 12/1) 6 days ago. Needs to bounce back.

Form: 736913

(2)

Livingston Range^t⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: K J Manning| T: L Breen| OR: 69

14/1

Sixteen runs since last win in 2020. Below form eighth of 18 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, soft, 12/1) 6 days ago, slowly away. Needs to get back on track.

Form: 755288

(6)

Pearl Palinka^v1²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 10-1| J: J A Powell⁽⁷⁾| T: D K Weld| OR: 69

20/1

16/1, shaped like a non-stayer when tenth of 15 in handicap at Listowel (7.1f, good) 29 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Back down in trip.

Form: 1-60470

(10)

Elanora^b⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: W J Lee| T: M C Grassick| OR: 68| BF| C

6/1

Course winner but eleven runs since last win and finished only twelfth of 18 in handicap (3/1) at the Curragh (5f, soft) 6 days ago. Blinkers back on.

Form: 642090

(26)

Claonadh^v¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: Jessica Maye⁽¹⁰⁾| T: W McCreery| OR: 67

33/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2020 but can have latest run at the Curragh overlooked.

Form: 778080

(5)

Run Forrest Run¹²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Declan McDonogh| T: M Fenton| OR: 66| D

50/1

Last of 6 in handicap at Brighton (7f, good, 13/2). Off 127 days. First run for yard after leaving George Baker.

Form: 556826

(17)

Conversant^b,t¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: J M Sheridan⁽³⁾| T: D Hogan| OR: 63| CD

10/1

Bounced back to form after 6 months off to win here earlier in the month. Poorly drawn when well held under a penalty at the Curragh 3 days later, so worth another chance.

Form: 456-810

(9)

Mass Gathering^b,t⁴⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: G P Brouder⁽⁵⁾| T: J G Murray| OR: 63| D

33/1

Latest win at Bellewstown in July and took a step back in the right direction when 8¼ lengths seventh of 20 to Ever Rock in handicap at this course (5f, good to soft) 46 days ago.

Form: 316007

(25)

Wee Pablo^p,t²³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Dylan Browne McMonagle| T: P Martin| OR: 63

12/1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 17/2, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at Down Royal (7f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time.

Form: 987895

(3)

Merlins Muse¹¹²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-8| J: C J MacRedmond⁽⁵⁾| T: Tom McGuinness| OR: 62| D

80/1

150/1, again showed nothing when last of 16 in handicap at Tipperary (7.4f, soft). Off 112 days. Down in trip.

Form: 2444/80

(18)

Numoor^b,t¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Colin Keane| T: J C McConnell| OR: 62

16/1

Unreliable sort. Twelve runs since last win in 2020. 66/1, sixth of 30 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, soft) 11 days ago. Not straightforward and others make more appeal.

Form: D70006

(11)

Linus Larrabee¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Paddy Harnett⁽⁷⁾| T: E Lynam| OR: 61

10/1

Quirky sort who ran better than for a while when ½-length second of 17 to Conversant in handicap at this C&D (soft, 14/1) 14 days ago, never nearer. Not sure to be in the same form this time.

Form: 090402

(24)

El Maga²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: G M Ryan| T: Tom McGuinness| OR: 60| D

33/1

Stepped up on reappearance run when sixth of 18 in handicap at Cork (6f, good) 22 days ago.

Form: 9608-06

(14)

Chevillon⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Chris Hayes| T: E Lynam| OR: 57

33/1

Respectable seventh of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f, 14/1) 5 days ago.

Form: 012/807

(1)

Hell Left Loose^t¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: James J Doyle| T: Vincent Carroll| OR: 57| CD

12/1

C&D winner who ran respectably after 3 months off when 2½ lengths fifth of 17 to Conversant in handicap at this C&D (soft) 14 days ago. Can make presence felt.

Form: 720-285

(7)

Creative Power^h¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Ben Coen| T: E Lynam| OR: 52

22/1

Took a step back in the right direction in a first-time hood when 3¾ lengths seventh of 17 to Conversant in handicap at this C&D (soft) 14 days ago. Player if building on that.

Form: 59407

(15)

Hot Sunset^t,v⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Nathan Crosse| T: Joseph Murray| OR: 52| D

20/1

One win from 21 Flat runs. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f, 16/1) 5 days ago, finding little.

Form: 667470

(8)

Stanhope⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-11| J: M P Sheehy| T: J C McConnell| OR: 51| CD

20/1

C&D winner who ran a typical race when sixth of 18 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, soft) 6 days ago, never nearer.

Form: 004606

(19)

Teddy Boy²⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 8-11| J: D E Sheehy⁽³⁾| T: E Lynam| OR: 51| C| D

9/1

Course winner who wasn't disgraced from a poor draw when fourth of 13 in handicap at Bellewstown (5f, good to soft, 9/2) 20 days ago. Won this corresponding event in 2019 & 2020, so merits consideration.

Form: 380524

(23)

Tammany Hall^p¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: Wayne Lordan| T: P J McKenna| OR: 50| C

13/2

Course winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2020 but took a step back in the right direction when third of 30 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, soft, 40/1) 11 days ago. Good chance if building on that.

Form: 325603

(12)

Derrinlaur Spender^p¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: K J Leonard| T: Eoin Joseph McDonagh| OR: 49

25/1

Creditable 1¾ lengths third of 17 to Conversant in handicap at this C&D (soft, 16/1) 14 days ago. Nudged up 1 lb.

Form: 800383

(4)

Leclerc^v1⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: Ronan Whelan| T: A McGuinness| OR: 49

20/1

Modest maiden who wasn't disgraced in first-time cheekpieces when seventh of 20 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, soft) 6 days ago. Stable in good form. Visor on for 1st time.

Form: 000007

(21)

Lisamaria¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: L F Roche| T: P W Flynn| OR: 48

16/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1 and hooded for 1st time, fifth of 12 in handicap at Killarney (8.1f, soft) 18 days ago. Back down in trip.

Form: 09005

Non-Runners

(20)

Drummond Warrior¹⁴⁴

Weight: 8-7| Age: 6

T: R K Watson J: Reserve 1

(22)

Let's Believe¹⁴

Weight: 8-7| Age: 4

T: R Brabazon J: Reserve 2

(16)

The Peckhampouncer²⁰

Weight: 8-7| Age: 5

T: D Broad J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

Elanora (6/1), Tammany Hall (13/2), Teddy Boy (9/1), Linus Larrabee (10/1), Conversant (10/1), Let's Believe (10/1), Wee Pablo (12/1), Hell Left Loose (12/1), Ever Rock (12/1), Livingston Range (14/1), Numoor (16/1), Lisamaria (16/1), Stanhope (20/1), Hot Sunset (20/1), Leclerc (20/1), Pearl Palinka (20/1), Creative Power (22/1), Derrinlaur Spender (25/1), Claonadh (33/1), Chevillon (33/1), El Maga (33/1), Mass Gathering (33/1), Run Forrest Run (50/1), Drummond Warrior (50/1), The Peckhampouncer (50/1), Merlins Muse (80/1)

TAMMANY HALL's sole win came in 2020 but he took a step back in the right direction returned to turf when third at the Curragh 11 days ago and could be the answer if building on that. Teddy Boy is a dual winner of this corresponding event and must enter calculations again having run respectably from a poor draw at Bellewstown last time. Creative Power is less exposed than most and completes the shortlist.