15:25 Carlisle

Wednesday 22 June 2022

All13:2013:5514:2514:5515:2515:5516:30

Atkinson Building Contractors Cumberland Plate Handicap

Off time: 15:27 | Winning time: 2m 22.05s

(9)

Strawman²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Connor Beasley| T: G Tutty| OR: 85| C

6/1

Won 3 times last summer and again with a career best in 8-runner handicap at Redcar (10f, good, 22/1) under this rider 20 days ago. That form reads well and he should stay this longer trip. Leading claims.

Form: 112-501

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(4)

Commonsensical^b⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: B A Curtis| T: H Palmer| OR: 84

13/2

Latest win at Chepstow in May. Second of 4 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, good to firm, 4/1) 6 days ago, nearest finish. Longer trip now.

Form: 1237-12

(3)

El Picador¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 84| D

11/1

Tricky ride but he's been in good form and did well to come from last to score at Musselburgh (12.5f, good to firm) 17 days ago by 1½ lengths from Emaraty Hero. Couldn't be dismissed again despite career-high mark.

Form: 301301

(2)

Croeso Cymraeg⁷^{(ex 4)}

Age: 8| Weight: 9-8| J: D C Costello| T: H J Evans| OR: 77| D

17/2

Won 8-runner handicap at Ripon (12f, good to firm, 13/2) 7 days ago, suited by way race developed. This is tougher under a penalty but he was second in last year's renewal.

Form: 87-5241

(8)

Emaraty Hero¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Oliver Stammers⁽³⁾| T: Grant Tuer| OR: 80| BF

6/1

3/1, creditable 1½ lengths second of 10 to El Picador in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, good to firm) 17 days ago. Holding form well.

Form: 24-3352

(7)

Shake A Leg^p²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: G Lee| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 80

18/1

4/1, didn't need to improve to win 5-runner handicap at Ripon (12f, good) 27 days ago. More needed in hat-trick bid.

Form: 42-4211

(14)

Grand Canal^p⁵^{(ex 5)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: P Mulrennan| T: J S Goldie| OR: 73

20/1

Behind El Picador and Emaraty Hero at Musselburgh then won 4-runner handicap at Ayr (15f, good to soft, 4/6) 5 days ago, having run of race. This is tougher but he could be just the type to pull out a bit more under penalty.

Form: 2-66131

(11)

Detective^p²⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: K Stott| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer| OR: 77| BF| C| D

4/1

4-time course winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 5/4, good second of 5 in handicap at this course (14.2f, good) 27 days ago. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Proving most consistent and goes particularly well here.

Form: 222-112

(10)

Highwaygrey³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: J P Sullivan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 76

15/2

Creditable third of 9 in handicap (well-backed 11/4) at Pontefract (10f, good) 3 days ago, unable to sustain effort. On a long losing run.

Form: 5-07663

(12)

Carrigillihy⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 72| BF

14/1

Latest win at Pontefract in April. 11/4, 6¾ lengths sixth of 8 to Croeso Cymraeg in handicap at Ripon (12f, good to firm) 7 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 64-5136

(1)

Innse Gall³²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: A Mullen| T: I Jardine| OR: 70

20/1

Won at Ayr last summer. Off 6 months, 16/1, respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Haydock (11.8f, good) 32 days ago. Could build on that.

Form: 23209-5

(13)

Baltic Baron^p¹²

Age: 7| Weight: 8-11| J: Billy Garritty| T: D Brooke| OR: 70

50/1

Good fourth of 8 in handicap at York (10.2f, good to firm, 11/1) 12 days ago. No banker to build on that and remains with just 1 win in France (in 2018) to his name.

Form: 460-784

(6)

My Little Queens¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: Barry McHugh| T: R A Fahey| OR: 68

20/1

Off 8 months, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Wetherby (10f, good, 11/2) 15 days ago, bit in hand. This is tougher but she is progressive and could go well if staying the longer trip.

Form: 11561-1

(5)

Sociologist^p¹⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: Jack Duern⁽³⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 59| D

40/1

Latest win at Pontefract in May. Fourth of 6 in handicap (7/2) at Doncaster (14.5f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Back down in trip. Difficult ask on these terms.

Form: 50-7514

Forecasts

Detective (4/1), Strawman (6/1), Emaraty Hero (6/1), Commonsensical (13/2), Highwaygrey (15/2), Croeso Cymraeg (17/2), El Picador (11/1), Carrigillihy (14/1), Shake A Leg (18/1), My Little Queens (20/1), Innse Gall (20/1), Grand Canal (20/1), Sociologist (40/1), Baltic Baron (50/1)

STRAWMAN got back on the up with victory at Redcar 3 weeks ago, seeing off 3 subsequent winners. He should stay this longer trip and could well go in again under Connor Beasley. My Little Queens took another step forward when making a successful return at Wetherby and has a good shout too over this new trip. Musselburgh 1-2-3 El Picador, Emaraty Hero and Grand Canal must also come into the reckoning.