19:00 Carlisle

Thursday 26 May 2022

All16:4017:1517:5018:2519:0019:3520:10

Kirkbampton Handicap

Off time: 19:01 | Winning time: 1m 39.73s

(4)

Discretion²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: P J McDonald| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 77

9/4

7/4, improved further when won 6-runner minor event at Beverley (9.9f, good) 24 days ago, making all and just holding on. Back down in trip. One to consider on handicap debut.

Form: 5-41

(3)

Sweet Mist¹⁰⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: G Lee| T: B Smart| OR: 75

40/1

Well served by switch to a nursery/strongly-run race when bolting up at Newcastle (7f) in December. That form has been boosted since but she wasn't in same form from much inflated mark at Southwell (7f) in February.

Form: 0351-5

(6)

Fiorina⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: B A Curtis| T: G Boughey| OR: 74

5/4

3/1, shaped well after 6 months off when second of 8 on handicap debut at Kempton (8f) 8 days ago, edged out line but pulling clear of rest. May do better still and makes plenty of appeal here.

Form: 764-2

(7)

St Andrew's Castle¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Jamie Gormley| T: I Jardine| OR: 72

66/1

Made a winning start at Ayr last season but failed to kick on, faring no better after 8 months off at Hamilton recently. Easy to look elsewhere.

Form: 1400-0

(5)

Albegrey²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: D Fentiman| T: T D Easterby| OR: 72| D

15/2

Stepped up on reappearance when winning 8-runner handicap at Ripon (8f, good, 7/1) 20 days ago, bit in hand. May do better still so a 6 lb rise could prove lenient.

Form: 7535-41

(9)

Dion Baker³³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan| OR: 72

22/1

Ran to a similar level as previously after 3 months off when fourth of 7 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, good to firm, 7/2) 33 days ago. Should make more of a splash moving into handicaps.

Form: 5-44

(8)

Showmedemoney²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: A Mullen| T: I Jardine| OR: 69

15/2

Well-backed 11/5, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Musselburgh (9f, good) 29 days ago, responding well. Up 5 lb but likely to give another good account now he's up and running. Cheekpieces left off.

Form: 9376-41

(2)

Ninky Nonk²⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: S H James| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 68

12/1

Yet to register a victory, eleventh of 15 in nursery at Ayr (6f, good to firm, 28/1) when last seen 8 months ago. Percentage call is to look elsewhere.

Form: 549300-

(1)

Rainbow Rain³⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Connor Beasley| T: Miss Tracy Waggott| OR: 61

100/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 50/1, ran poorly after 9 days off when last of 14 on handicap debut at Redcar (8f, good) 38 days ago. Impossible to fancy on that evidence.

Form: 0-770

Forecasts

Fiorina (5/4), Discretion (9/4), Showmedemoney (15/2), Albegrey (15/2), Ninky Nonk (12/1), Dion Baker (22/1), Sweet Mist (40/1), St Andrew's Castle (66/1), Rainbow Rain (100/1)

DISCRETION continued her race-by-race progression to get off the mark at Beverley earlier this month, and given there may be more to come from her, she's fancied to make a winning start to life in handicaps for the in-form Harry & Roger Charlton stable. The main threat could be Fiorina, who went down in extremely narrow fashion to one who boasts some quite strong form at Kempton 8 days ago, while Albegrey is another who shouldn't be underestimated.