13:35 Newbury

Saturday 14 May 2022

All13:3514:1014:4515:2015:5516:3017:0417:05

BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed)

Off time: 13:36 | Winning time: 1m 10.89s

(9)

Cadamosto²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 104

7/1

Useful form. Creditable 3 lengths third in 6f Navan listed on reappearance and may come on for the outing. Remains capable of better for a top yard in very good form.

Form: 147-3

(8)

Ehraz¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Jim Crowley| T: R Hannon| OR: 102| D

11/2

Maiden winner at 2. Good 3¼ lengths third of 4 to Go Bears Go in Pavilion Stakes at Ascot (6f, good to firm) 17 days ago, no extra late on after travelling well. May come on for the outing.

Form: 215-3

(2)

Hierarchy^t¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Cieren Fallon| T: H Palmer| OR: 108| D

4/1

Winner of 6f novices at Wolverhampton and Salisbury last August. Solid efforts in Group company since, finishing ahead of Ehraz when 1½ lengths second of 4 to Go Bears Go in Pavilion Stakes at Ascot (6f) on return 17 days ago. Should be in shake-up.

Form: 11326-2

(3)

Mohi^p³⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: L P Keniry| T: C G Cox| OR: 97| D

40/1

Useful colt. 6/1 and cheekpieces on first time, bit below form third of 7 in conditions race at Nottingham (5f, good to soft) on return 38 days ago. Has a bit to find.

Form: 52113-3

(4)

Ribhi¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Dane O'Neill| T: M P Tregoning| OR: 100| D

18/1

Pair of 6f Salisbury novice wins last year. Hasn't kicked on from that in 2 outings over 7f at Newmarket since and needs this return to sprinting to help him get back on track.

Form: 151-35

(7)

Rizg²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Hollie Doyle| T: R Varian| OR: 85| BF| D

8/1

Winning debut at Yarmouth (6f, good) last August. Could only manage second when odds-on in 5f Doncaster novice on return but he still showed signs of inexperience and remains with potential. This a jump in class, though.

Form: 1-2

(1)

Sam Maximus²⁰⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: P J McDonald| T: James Horton| OR: 105| D

10/1

Useful form at 2 for Tom Dassombe, notably a close third in Group 2 July Stakes at Newmarket (6f, good to firm). New trainer has been among the winners. Not discounted.

Form: 133454-

(6)

The Organiser²⁴⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: K Shoemark| T: J Tuite| OR: 97| D

22/1

Impressive winner of 6f York maiden on debut last May. Also went close in a Salisbury novice in August but he did come up short at pattern level in his 3 other runs as a juvenile.

Form: 10620-

(5)

Tiber Flow²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Tom Marquand| T: W J Haggas| OR: 106| D

15/8

Very progressive on AW, winning first 3 starts and showing smart form when just failing to get up in valuable 6f Newcastle conditions event on Good Friday. Likely more to come now switching to the grass. Leading claims.

Form: 1-112

Forecasts

Tiber Flow (15/8), Hierarchy (4/1), Ehraz (11/2), Cadamosto (7/1), Rizg (8/1), Sam Maximus (10/1), Ribhi (18/1), The Organiser (22/1), Mohi (40/1)

There's nohting in TIBER FLOW's pedigree to suggest he won't prove as effective on turf as AW and he should take a bit of stopping in this opening listed event. Cadamosto can step up on his Navan reappearance and give William Haggas' representative most to think about ahead of Hierarchy.