16:20 Thirsk

Friday 27 August 2021

All13:0013:3014:0514:4015:1515:5016:20

AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Off time: 16:23 | Winning time: 1m 13.07s

(7)

Lord P^t²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 11-11| J: Fern O'Brien| T: F O'Brien| OR: 67| D

5/4

Wind op, career best when winning 14-runner handicap (25/1) under Fern O'Brien at Carlisle (5.8f, good to firm) 25 days ago, suited by way race developed. Has to be taken seriously.

Form: 155-051

(4)

Millionaire Waltz⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 11-7| J: Miss Natalya Irvine⁽³⁾| T: B Haslam| OR: 63

50/1

First run since leaving Paul & Oliver Cole when twelfth of 13 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft, 200/1) 45 days ago, worst of draw. Others preferred.

Form: 51/670-0

(6)

Excessable^p,t¹²

Age: 8| Weight: 11-6| J: Miss C R Crane| T: T D Easterby| OR: 62| C| D

15/2

Course winner. Last of 11 in handicap (14/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 12 days ago. Capable when on a going day, but the percentage call is to look elsewhere.

Form: 479520

(13)

Thread Count¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 11-4| J: Taryn Langley⁽³⁾| T: A Watson| OR: 63

16/1

Thrice-raced winner. Won 4-runner minor event at Windsor (5.1f, heavy, 12/1) 18 days ago, suited by strong pace. Very much one to consider on this handicap debut.

Form: 551

(11)

Suzi's Connoisseur^p³⁶

Age: 10| Weight: 11-2| J: Mr Vinnie Jakes⁽³⁾| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 58| D

7/1

Twenty-five runs since last win in 2019. Creditable third of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, firm, 18/1) 36 days ago, finishing well. Cheekpieces back on and he's in with an each-way shout.

Form: 333693

(15)

Hard Solution^v²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-1| J: Miss Charlotte Mulhall| T: D O'Meara| OR: 57| D

16/1

18/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Catterick (6f, good) 24 days ago. Visor back on and needs to bounce back.

Form: 232300

(2)

Alex Gracie¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Mr E Cagney| T: S Dixon| OR: 54| CD

9/2

C&D winner. 14/1, bit below form fifth of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (6.1f, good to soft) 17 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Others more persuasive.

Form: 339-285

(10)

Muatadel^p²²

Age: 8| Weight: 10-5| J: Miss Alex Garven⁽³⁾| T: J S Wainwright| OR: 47| D

10/1

Latest win at Hamilton in June. 16/1, creditable third of 19 in handicap at Redcar (6f, good) 22 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Form: 0-51373

(9)

Carlovian^p²⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 10-3| J: Mr Christopher Furness| T: M Walford| OR: 45| CD

33/1

C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2020. 66/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 25 days ago. Bit to prove at present.

Form: 037000

(14)

I'll Be Good¹¹

Age: 12| Weight: 10-3| J: Mr Hakan Sensoy⁽³⁾| T: A Berry| OR: 45| CD

100/1

C&D winner. Twenty-one runs since last win in 2019. Last of 11 in handicap at Catterick (6f, good to firm, 100/1) 11 days ago. Looks set for another struggle.

Form: 066780

(5)

Fast Deal¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-3| J: Miss Menna Bridger⁽³⁾| T: M C Chapman| OR: 45

100/1

Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Third of 7 in handicap at Windsor (6f, soft, 25/1) 18 days ago. Readily passed over.

Form: 890903

(3)

De Latour^h⁶⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 10-3| J: Miss Megan Brookes⁽³⁾| T: L Bailey| OR: 45

66/1

Remains a maiden after 25 Flat runs. 100/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good) 64 days ago. Likely to come up short once more.

Form: 379069

(1)

Hugsy²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 10-2| J: Roisin Leech⁽³⁾| T: Mrs S Leech| OR: 47

66/1

Ninth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (7.8f, good to firm, 33/1) 25 days ago. Back down in trip and this nine-race maiden is essentially opposable.

Form: 606079

Non-Runners

(8)

Jianzi⁴³

Weight: 10-12| Age: 3

T: Jedd O'Keeffe J: Mr Bailey Burns-lewis

(12)

Lucky Beggar¹⁵

Weight: 10-11| Age: 11

T: D C Griffiths J: Miss Chelsea Brooks

Forecasts

Lord P (5/4), Alex Gracie (9/2), Suzi's Connoisseur (7/1), Excessable (15/2), Lucky Beggar (8/1), Muatadel (10/1), Jianzi (12/1), Hard Solution (16/1), Thread Count (16/1), Carlovian (33/1), Millionaire Waltz (50/1), Hugsy (66/1), De Latour (66/1), I'll Be Good (100/1), Fast Deal (100/1)

LORD P showed the benefit of a wind operation and the drop back in trip when accounting for 13 rivals at Carlisle earlier this month. A 7 lb rise looks manageable and he will take some stopping with Fern O'Brien again in the hot-seat. Lucky Beggar and Suzi's Connoisseur are each-way players, but the unexposed Thread Count, who made it third time lucky in a Windsor novice last time, is feared most.