17:15 Leopardstown

Saturday 12 September 2020

All14:0014:3515:1015:4016:1016:4517:1517:50

Paddy Power 'Is It 2021 Yet?' Stakes (Group 3)

Off time: 17:15 | Winning time: 2m 33.54s

(13)

Buckhurst^b1⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Wayne Lordan| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 114| C

9/1

Very smart colt. Stiff task when last of 6 to Magical in Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh (10f) 48 days ago. Blinkers on now and this is easier so course winner holds solid claims.

Form: 112-216

(2)

Patrick Sarsfield^t⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Declan McDonogh| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 114| C

4/1

Very smart gelding. Creditable third of 7 to Barney Roy in Group 1 at Munich (9.9f, soft) 48 days ago. Up in trip with tongue strap back on so he must enter calculations.

Form: 21-1113

(9)

Broad Street²⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-11| J: Chris Hayes| T: L Comer| OR: 102

100/1

Useful horse who wasn't disgraced when sixth of 8 to Delphi in Irish St Leger Trial (40/1) at the Curragh (14f, good to soft) 29 days ago. In the mix.

Form: 137-306

(7)

Rakan⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: O J Orr| T: D K Weld| OR: 102| CD

33/1

Useful colt. Respectable 5¾l third of 8 to Master of Reality in listed race (9/2) at Down Royal (14f, soft) 8 days ago. C&D winner so one for the shortlist.

Form: 4184-43

(12)

Up Helly Aa²²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Billy Lee| T: W McCreery| OR: 103

16/1

Low-mileage 4-y-o who returned after 11 months off with good second of 9 to So Wonderful in listed race at Killarney (8.2f, heavy) 22 days ago. More to offer but this is a big step up stamina wise.

Form: 2121-2

(6)

Fresnel^p1³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Ronan Whelan| T: J Davison| OR: 102

66/1

Useful filly who arrives on back of good ½l second of 5 to Nickajack Cave in Ballyroan Stakes over C&D 37 days ago. Cheekpieces on now but needs bit more.

Form: 440-292

(10)

Cormorant^b⁶⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Seamie Heffernan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 106| C

16/1

Smart colt. Landed Group 3 10f event here before (13/2) improved again when 2½lengths fourth of 6 to Thunderous in Dante Stakes at York (10.2f, good) 65 days ago. Much respected now stepped up to 12f.

Form: 4152-14

(11)

Geometrical³¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: K J Manning| T: J S Bolger| OR: 98

66/1

Useful juvenile but (33/1) not seen out since only tenth of 11 to Kameko in Futurity Trophy at Newcastle (8f) 10 months ago. Should stay this much longer trip but his fitness is a concern on return.

Form: 213650-

(8)

Mr Mooj^b²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: T E Whelan| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 85| BF

100/1

Useful gelding. Creditable sixth of 16 in handicap (9/2) at Naas (10f, soft) 20 days ago. This is much tougher though so easy to look elsewhere.

Form: 513236

(1)

Red Kelly¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Colin Keane| T: J P Murtagh| OR: 100| C

8/1

Useful colt. Latest win at Down Royal in July and good third of 7 to Galileo Chrome in listed race at Navan (13f, heavy, 10/3) 14 days ago. Course winner too so well in the mix.

Form: 08-0113

(5)

Tiger Moth⁷⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 113| C

5/6

Has improved lots with each of his three runs, and went down by just head to stable companion Santiago in Irish Derby at the Curragh (12f) when last seen on track. Better to come so hard to oppose.

Form: 3-12

(4)

Silence Please⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Shane Foley| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 104

12/1

Useful filly. Latest win at Navan in June and posted creditable fourth of 15 to Miss Yoda in Preis der Diana at Dusseldorf (10.9f) 41 days ago. This longer trip should suit so she's worth considering.

Form: 11-134

Non-Runners

(3)

Bolivar²⁴

Weight: 9-3| Age: 3

T: P Twomey J: W Buick

Forecasts

Tiger Moth (5/6), Patrick Sarsfield (4/1), Red Kelly (8/1), Buckhurst (9/1), Silence Please (12/1), Bolivar (12/1), Up Helly Aa (16/1), Cormorant (16/1), Rakan (33/1), Fresnel (66/1), Geometrical (66/1), Broad Street (100/1), Mr Mooj (100/1)

TIGER MOTH hasn't been seen out since pushing stablemate Santiago very close in the Irish Derby but Aidan O'Brien's highly progressive 3-y-o is confidently expected to take this en route to tackling better company later this autumn. Buckhurst is far more exposed but rates a very smart colt so is fancied to chase him home along with in-form Patrick Sarsfield.