12:45 York

Sunday 19 July 2020

All12:1512:4513:2013:5514:3015:0515:3516:10

williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 5  |   1m 2f 56y  |   Good  |   8 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 12:50  |   Winning time: 2m 11.39s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
(5)
Horse silk
Brentford Hope270
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-9| J: J P Spencer| T: R Hughes| D
6/4
Looked an excellent prospect when winning a 1ÂĽm maiden at Newmarket in October by 5L on the bridle. Taken time to make his return, but remains one to keep on side.
2
(2)
Horse silk
Matthew Flinders19
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-9| J: L Morris| T: E Walker| OR:  87| D
5/1
Built on the promise of his debut third when landing a 1ÂĽm novice at Doncaster from First Winter. Won with plenty in hand there, and type to go on to better things.
3
(6)
Horse silk
Divina Gloria46
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-4| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan
100/1
Dabirsim half-sister to useful winners Amarena (1ÂĽm/1m3f) and Acadius (7f). Had two next-time-out winners behind when landing a 1m novice at Thirsk in August, and clearly not right on return at Kempton on return. Best to put a line through that run.
4
(3)
Horse silk
Calculus
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: P Mulrennan| T: K A Ryan
20/1
Full-brother to 1m winner Golden Hooves and useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner East and half-brother to useful winner up to 7f Ashaadd. Represents same connections as Divina Gloria, so market will prove useful in separating them.
6
(1)
Horse silk
Roberto Escobarr40
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: R L Moore| T: W J Haggas
4/1
Full-brother to connections' useful 1¼m-1½m winner Pablo Escobarr. Slowly away and ran into traffic when an encouraging third of 11 to Fiesta de Vega in a 1¼m maiden at Haydock on debut, and sure to do better, so respected.
7
(4)
Horse silk
Semser19
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: J Mitchell| T: R Varian| OR:  81
5/1
Good second on debut at Kempton (1m) last month, and built on that when second of 10 to Al Zaraqaan in a novice at Doncaster last time. Should continue to progress, and not taken lightly.
8
(8)
Horse silk
Thumur19
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: Dane O'Neill| T: Owen Burrows| OR:  81
13/2
Built on the promise of his debut effort when 2ÂĽL third of 12 to Matthew Flinders in a 1ÂĽm novice at Doncaster last time. Not knocked about there, and has a 7lb pull at the weights now.
9
(7)
Horse silk
Top Drop15
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding
66/1
Better effort to date when fourth of 9 to Lady Sansa in a novice over this trip at Chelmsford last time. Should improve, although gives the impression he will relish a stiffer test in time.

Non-Runners

5
(9)
Horse silk
Naval Commander2
Weight: 9-7|  Age: 3
T: R Brisland  J: Non Runner
NR

Forecasts

Brentford Hope (6/4), Roberto Escobarr (4/1), Matthew Flinders (5/1), Semser (5/1), Thumur (13/2), Naval Commander (14/1), Calculus (20/1), Top Drop (66/1), Divina Gloria (100/1)

Verdict

A very deep event of its type given the time of year, and the penalised runners are taken to dominate, with preference for last autumn's impressive Newmarket winner BRENTFORD HOPE, although he'll have to be at concert pitch to account for the promising Matthew Flinders, who made a good impression at Doncaster recently. Thumur was third behind Matthew Flinders there, and is open to significant progress, so can't be ruled out.
  1. Brentford Hope
  2. Matthew Flinders
  3. Thumur

Prize Money

1st: ÂŁ3,881.002nd: ÂŁ1,155.003rd: ÂŁ577.004th: ÂŁ289.00

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