12:45 York

Sunday 19 July 2020

All12:1512:4513:2013:5514:3015:0515:3516:10

williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes

Off time: 12:50 | Winning time: 2m 11.39s

1^st

(1)

Roberto Escobarr

39-2

4/1

T: W J HaggasJ: R L Moore

Tracked leaders, every chance 2f out, pushed along to lead approaching final furlong, ran on op 11/2

2^nd

(2)

Matthew Flinders

39-9

5/1

T: E WalkerJ: L Morris

Keen tracked leaders, pushed along to lead 2f out, ridden edged left and headed approaching, kept on one pace op 18/5 tchd 7/2 and tchd 11/2

3^rd

(4)

Semser

39-2

5/1

T: R VarianJ: J Mitchell

Dwelt keen towards rear, headway 2f out, not clear run approaching final furlong, stayed on one pace op 7/1 tchd 9/2

4^th

(8)

Thumur

39-2

13/2

T: Owen BurrowsJ: Dane O'Neill

Tracked leader, led over 2f out, soon headed, slightly outpaced approaching final furlong, ridden and stayed on towards finish op 9/2

5^th

1 ¼

(5)

Brentford Hope

39-9

6/4f

T: R HughesJ: J P Spencer

Slowly away, in rear, headway near side 2f out, soon every chance, ridden and faded inside final furlong op 11/8 tchd 13/8

6^th

(3)

Calculus

39-2

20/1

T: K A RyanJ: P Mulrennan

Led, pushed along and headed over 2f out, weakened final furlong op 40/1

7^th

4 ½

(7)

Top Drop

39-2

66/1

T: A M BaldingJ: David Probert

In touch, pushed along and outpaced 2f out tchd 50/1 and tchd 80/1

8^th

(6)

Divina Gloria

39-4

100/1

T: K A RyanJ: T Eaves

Towards rear, ridden 2f out, never a factor op 50/1 tchd 40/1

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Non-Runners

(9)

Naval Commander²

Weight: 9-7| Age: 3

T: R Brisland J: Non Runner

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£5.30Pl:£1.50, £1.40, £1.70EX:£21.20Trifecta:£71.90SF:£23.76Swingers:£1.90, £3.40, £4.80

Forecasts

Brentford Hope (6/4), Roberto Escobarr (4/1), Matthew Flinders (5/1), Semser (5/1), Thumur (13/2), Naval Commander (14/1), Calculus (20/1), Top Drop (66/1), Divina Gloria (100/1)

A very deep event of its type given the time of year, and the penalised runners are taken to dominate, with preference for last autumn's impressive Newmarket winner BRENTFORD HOPE, although he'll have to be at concert pitch to account for the promising Matthew Flinders, who made a good impression at Doncaster recently. Thumur was third behind Matthew Flinders there, and is open to significant progress, so can't be ruled out.