15:40 Bath
Thursday 2 July 2020
All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1516:5017:2017:50
Swineford Handicap
- 4YO plus  |  Class 4  |  5f 160y  |  Good (Good to Firm in places)  |  9 Runners  |  Turf  |   Weighed In
- Off time: 15:42Â Â |Â Â Winning time: 1m 10.88s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
Won over the minimum trip here last May (from an 8lb lower mark) and made good progress afterwards; posted two respectable efforts last month - didn't get a clear run when just behind Union Rose last time - and has sound claims once more.
In the frame in both previous starts since joining his current trainer but best form on turf (in Ireland) was achieved with some give underfoot. First time back on grass since last October and no easy task now raised another 2lb in the handicap.
Almost four years since the gelding last won on turf but he's attractively weighted and is proven under the conditions. Possible age is catching up with him these days but he's consistent enough to merit checking out for a place in the frame.
Ran a blinder to finish second here last week (at odds of 33/1, Real Estate was unlucky in third) and dangerous to omit back at her favourite racecourse. Obvious chance with a 3lb higher mark looming; a player.
Won on Fibresand at Southwell last December but mixed form since. Held by a couple of these back on turf here last week and has work to do to reverse the form.
Won over C&D last May and holds a reasonable chance from just a 3lb higher mark. Might have needed the run when eighth of ten here last time (Union Rose was last) and the rider's 7lb claim is a handy aid at the weights.
Finds herself on an attractive mark for the new campaign and the fact she split Show Me The Bubbly and Union Rose in last month's stable debut reads better than her finishing position would have you believe. Worth a betting check at least.
Has the ability to figure strongly at this level (his run when fourth at Sandown last September reads well in the context of this race; especially as he won next time out). Lack of a recent run is a concern, though. The betting can guide.
Won at Kempton last November (debut run for this yard) but struggled to make progress since; 0-3 on turf and does need to step up considerably after a moderate effort at Windsor last month. The first-time visor might help but others more appealing.
Forecasts
Real Estate (5/4), Union Rose (5/1), May Remain (6/1), Boom The Groom (8/1), Michaels Choice (10/1), Show Me The Bubbly (10/1), Venture (14/1), Moonraker (25/1), More Than Likely (100/1)
A tough one to call as several come into this with solid claims; not least Real Estate, who was unlucky to be denied a run when behind Union Rose over C&D last week. A trouble-free passage might well see that from reversed this time. However, a chance is taken on SHOW ME THE BUBBLY now that she's got the benefit of a seasonal run to draw upon. This course suits the filly well and, with conditions to suit, she looks good value in a closely knit handicap. By contrast, Michaels Choice might be better once his fitness is topped up but he along with More Than Likely is worth checking in the betting too.
- Show Me The Bubbly
- Real Estate
- Union Rose
Prize Money
1st: £4,690.002nd: £1,396.003rd: £697.004th: £349.00
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