14:35 Southwell

Friday 7 February 2020

All14:0014:3515:0515:4016:1016:40

Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Maiden Stakes

Off time: 14:37 | Winning time: 1m 41.64s

(3)

Iron Heart²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| OR: 76

5/4

Showed some ability in three starts to date, including when a staying on third over 7f here last time, and this step up to a mile sure to suit; this won't take a lot of winning and a small step forward might well be enough.

Form: 03-3

(9)

Looktothelight¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Nicola Currie| T: J A Osborne| OR: 73

7/2

Stepped up on previous efforts when second to a useful one here last time, albeit he was well beaten in the finish; might not need much more than a reproduction of that to take a hand.

Form: 055-2

(1)

Naval Commander

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Brisland

9/1

Cheap buy as a yearling, bred to probably want a bit further than this in time; yard not known for first time out winners and unless there's market support, is best watched.

Form:

(2)

Quantum Dawn

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston

10/1

Dawn Approach colt, first foal, cost €20,000 as a yearling; dam was an AW winner, which gives hope he will act on the surface, and yard often have them ready first time; market by far the best guide to chance.

Form:

(7)

Brodick¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Rhona Pindar⁽⁷⁾| T: K R Burke

40/1

Well beaten on both starts so far, looking very green and in need of more time; needs this for a handicap mark, which will offer her a more realistic assignment.

Form: 8-5

(8)

Harbour Point⁷²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: George Rooke⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 66

25/1

Faded out of things after showing early speed here last time, and looks a hard puller that needs to settle better if she's to finish her race off. Others make more appeal.

Form: 547-

(6)

Lisbet⁶⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden

7/1

Related to a couple of all-weather winners herself, but in truth showed little in two starts last year; still time to do better as she learns but strictly on what she's achieved so far, has work to do here.

Form: 78-

(4)

Stagiaire³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Rob Hornby| T: R M Beckett| OR: 71

13/2

Didn't show much first two starts but stepped up markedly when fifth in what looked a good contest on paper at Chelmsford last time; new surface to contend with here, but going the right way now and looks one of the main players.

Form: 07-5

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to board prices only - deduction 5p in the pound

Non-Runners

(5)

A Knight's Tale

Weight: 9-5| Age: 3

T: K A Ryan J: S A Gray

Forecasts

Iron Heart (5/4), Looktothelight (7/2), Stagiaire (13/2), Lisbet (7/1), A Knight's Tale (8/1), Naval Commander (9/1), Quantum Dawn (10/1), Harbour Point (25/1), Brodick (40/1)

Quantum Dawn makes the most appeal of the newcomers and any market support for him would increase confidence. Lisbet comes from a powerful yard and although she's not shown a lot so far, it's possible she could do better, but in truth she will need to. Looktothelight and Iron Heart hold solid claims but in the hope she can improve a little for this surface, STAGLAIRE, who ran in what could be a decent race at Chelmsford last time, gets the vote.