12:25 Doncaster

Saturday 14 December 2019

All11:5012:2513:0013:3514:1014:4515:20

bet365 Novices' Hurdle

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 3  |   2m 128y  |   Soft (Good to Soft in places)  |   9 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 12:25  |   Winning time: 4m 18.9s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Showed ability in all of his bumpers without winning but put that right in ready fashion first time over hurdles where he was an impressive winner over 2m at Huntingdon (good to soft). 6lb penalty wouldn't have stopped him there; likely won't here.
2
Horse silk
6/1
Cost £32,000 after winning an Irish point-to-point in 2017. Off the track for 727 days after that before making Rules debut with a respectable fourth on heavy ground at Newcastle. Step up on that needed but entirely possible.
Listed winner on the Flat was rated 105 at his peak. Not quite at his best in 2019 but still rates a high class recruit and one expected to make a bold bid first time up providing a clearish round.
4
Horse silk
Borodin84
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: Jonathan England| T: S England
14/1
92 rated triple Flat winner for Richard Fahey who was effective at 7f-1m2f on the level. Ought to give a solid showing on hurdles bow if jumping well and not ignored here.
Well held in novice events at Stratford, Warwick and Bangor and makes no appeal here on evidence so far.
6
Horse silk
Perfect Predator21
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: Thomas Bellamy| T: A King| BF
3/1
Taunton bumper winner sent off odds-on but proved a bitter disappointment at Huntingdon latest after an encouraging second on hurdles debut at Hereford. Latest effort on good to soft having raced on good before; bounce back possible.
Well held in a bumper and two novice hurdles and he was 100/1 when 10th of 15 at Huntingdon latest. Makes no appeal.
8
Horse silk
Spice War33
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: L P Aspell| T: O Sherwood
6/1
Well below the other Flat recruits with a rating of 65 but was in good form latterly and his Kempton fifth on hurdles bow wasn't without promise. Others preferred here but should win races.
£43,000 purchase in May having scored as favourite at the fourth time of asking by 8L in an Irish mares maiden point-to-point. Market will be a useful guide on Rules bow.

Forecasts

Logan Rocks (11/4), Perfect Predator (3/1), Blakeney Point (9/2), Baron De Midleton (6/1), Spice War (6/1), Borodin (14/1), Exploiteur (16/1), Racks Cross (33/1), Shah An Shah (80/1)

Verdict

Although up against some useful Flat performers who could be smart hurdlers LOGAN ROCKS represents far and away the safest bet on the back of his smooth Huntingdon success last month on similar ground. Listed winner Blakeney Point has the potential to be a big danger if jumping soundly and he may be a greater danger than Perfect Predator although that one is expected to leave his latest odds-on flop well behind now.
  1. Logan Rocks
  2. Blakeney Point
  3. Perfect Predator

Previous Winners

2018
Esprit De Baileys
Weight: 10-12  |Age: 6
5/2

Prize Money

1st: £5,913.002nd: £1,736.003rd: £868.004th: £434.00

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