13:00 Southwell

Tuesday 5 November 2019

All13:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:3016:05

Betway Live Casino Handicap

Off time: 13:01 | Winning time: 2m 36.87s

(4)

Bajan Excell⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: K T O'Neill| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 63

7/2

Irish raider (stablemate of Pretty Fantasy); has shown some improvement since upped in trip, winning over 1m3½f (heavy) at Limerick; one for the shortlist assuming that he takes to this Fibresand surface.

Form: 005105

(7)

Bolt N Brown^t¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: L Morris| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 62

7/1

Maiden (0-12); has plenty of placed form and a proven ability to handle testing conditions; finished just over 1L third to Bruyere at Yarmouth (1m2f, heavy) a fortnight ago; Fibresand debut.

Form: 273463

(8)

Twpsyn^v1⁹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: B A Curtis| T: P D Evans| OR: 61

6/1

Landed the odds (1-3f) in a three-runner affair in Guernsey (1m2f, firm) in May, but in truth looks to be fairly limited in terms of ability; off the track for 95 days since a poor effort at Bath (1m3½f, firm); visor applied.

Form: 814F26

(10)

Thunderoad¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: S W Kelly| T: A W Carroll| OR: 59

8/1

Maiden (0-14); beaten a head by Petite Malle at Chelmsford (1m2f) in August, but slightly below that level of form since; makes his Fibresand debut for a doubly represented trainer (also saddles Be Fair).

Form: 692867

(5)

Be Fair⁷⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: George Downing| T: A W Carroll| OR: 59

33/1

Stablemate of Thunderoad (formerly with John Joseph Murphy); didn't show a great deal of ability in three starts in Ireland (1m-1m5f); worth a cautionary market check on handicap/AW and stable debut.

Form: 888

(3)

Cormier^h1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Liam Keniry| T: Stef Keniry| OR: 57

12/1

Maiden (0-11); disappointing since finishing 3L second to the now 91-rated Mind The Crack at Haydock (1m4f, heavy) in June; now 13lb lower in the weights; hood newly applied.

Form: 277607

(2)

Mia Vittoria⁴⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Stefano Cherchi⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss A Murphy| OR: 57

66/1

Placed in Italy (1m2f maiden); raced keenly on stable/AW and GB debut at Chelmsford (1m2f) when finishing last of 13 to Poetic Legacy; 5lb lower; still early days on these shores.

Form: 92540

(9)

Ideal Grace^p⁸⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Raul Da Silva| T: B Barr| OR: 52

40/1

Front-runner; has left Eve Johnson Houghton since finishing a weakening fifth of 15 to Para Queen at Windsor (1m3½f, good) in August; debuts for Ron Barr at a realistic level (£6,000 purchase).

Form: 604845

(6)

Pretty Fantasy³⁸⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: F Norton| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 46

13/8

Irish raider (stablemate of Bajan Excell); absent since finishing in rear at Gowran Park (1m, soft/heavy) in October 2018; market a helpful guide on handicap/AW debut.

Form: 050-

(1)

Freshfield Ferris⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: Cam Hardie| T: B Rothwell| OR: 45

150/1

Started at odds of 200-1 in a 1m novice contest here last week (finished sixth of nine to Snow Ocean); makes precious little appeal on handicap debut.

Form: 6006

Forecasts

Pretty Fantasy (13/8), Bajan Excell (7/2), Twpsyn (6/1), Bolt N Brown (7/1), Thunderoad (8/1), Cormier (12/1), Be Fair (33/1), Ideal Grace (40/1), Mia Vittoria (66/1), Freshfield Ferris (150/1)

A modest opener in which the market is likely to yield the most pertinent clues. Both Gavin Cromwell and Tony Carroll are doubly represented, while it remains early days on these shores for the former Italian racer Mia Vittoria (Amy Murphy). Likely pacesetter Ideal Grace debuts for Teesside trainer Ron Barr, but whether or not she'll have the necessary stamina reserves at the business end remains to be seen. Therefore, a very tentative vote (at this stage) is for the Limerick scorer BAJAN EXCELL.